Minnesota Twins at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Twins at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (55-53) will play the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the St. Louis Cardinals (47-61) on Wednesday at Busch Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 1-0

The Twins defeated the Cardinals 3-2 on Tuesday to snap a 5-game losing streak. Despite its recent woes, Minnesota is still 2 games ahead of the Cleveland Guardians atop the AL Central.

In Tuesday’s 1-run loss, OF Tyler O’Neill hit his 3rd homer of the season. St. Louis has lost 4 of its last 5 games and remains in last place in the NL Central.

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Twins at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Joe Ryan vs. RHP Dakota Hudson

Ryan (9-7, 4.06 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 in 122 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 8-7 home loss vs. Seattle Mariners July 26
  • Road stats: 3-3, 4.23 ERA (55 1/3 IP, 26 ER) in 10 starts
  • Never faced Cardinals before

Hudson (1-0, 4.19 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 19 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 3 K in relief during 10-3 home loss vs. Chicago Cubs Thursday
  • Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 6-4 home win vs. Miami Marlins July 19
  • Home stats: 1-0, 4.73 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 7 ER) in 4 games (1 start)
  • Never faced Twins before

Twins at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:44 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Cardinals +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+115) | Cardinals +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Twins at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Cardinals 4

Moneyline

With how these teams have performed this season, I’ll take the TWINS (-140) on the road in Wednesday’s contest. Ryan has also been solid this season, while the Cardinals could have a bullpen game with Hudson not pitching deep into games.

Run line/Against the spread

TWINS -1.5 (+115) has solid value with Hudson taking the mound for the Cardinals. Minnesota is 5th in ISO (.215), 5th in wOBA (.352), and is tied for 3rd in wRC+ (127) against right-handed pitching since the start of July.

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Over/Under

OVER 9 (+100) is the play in this showdown despite Tuesday’s game being a low-scoring affair. Besides the Twins’ numbers from above, the Cardinals also boast the 9th-best wOBA (.344) and wRC+ (119) against right-handed pitching since the beginning of July.

The Twins are 13-5 to the Over in their last 18 games, while the Cardinals are 26-18 to the Over in their last 44 home games.

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Minnesota Twins at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Twins at St. Louis Cardinals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The St. Louis Cardinals (52-51) host the Minnesota Twins (43-61) Saturday for the second game of their three-game interleague set at Busch Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Cardinals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

St. Louis took the first game of the series Friday, 5-1, as the Cardinals lineup raked Minnesota’s bullpen for 4 runs on 6 hits and 1 walk with just 3 strikeouts in 3 innings of work.

Season series: Cardinals lead 1-0.

RHP Bailey Ober gets the nod for the Twins. Ober is 1-1 with a 5.19 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 across 10 starts in his rookie season.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 4 K in Minnesota’s 6-2 loss to the Los Angeles Angels Sunday.
  • 2021 road splits: 0-1 with a 4.96 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 15 H, 3 BB and 17 K in four starts.

RHP Jake Woodford is on the rubber for the Cardinals. Woodford is 2-2 with a 4.25 ERA (36 IP, 17 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 over two starts and 17 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5-3, with 5 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 2 K at the Cincinnati Reds July 24.
  • 2021 home splits: 1-1 with a 3.21 ERA (14 IP, 5 ER), 13 H, 7 BB and 12 K in one start and six relief appearances.

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Twins at Cardinals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:51 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Cardinals -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Twins +1.5 (-180) | Cardinals -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Twins 6, Cardinals 5

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the TWINS (+105) because I see some value in Minnesota’s First 5 Innings run line and think the Twins can steal this game against St. Louis’s awful bullpen if need be.

For instance, Woodford just got moved into the starting rotation earlier this month and the Cardinals relievers rank dead-last in the majors in K-BB%, SIERA and xFIP.

Also, we have a “pros vs. Joes” scenario in the betting market according to pregame.com with more than half of the cash on Minnesota but over 80% of the public backing St. Louis.

Typically, in sports betting, it’s profitable to follow the money especially when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the crowd.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the TWINS +0.5 (-135) FIRST 5 INNINGS because it’s an awesome price for a half run worth of insurance in a starting pitching matchup that’s essentially a draw.

Furthermore, Minnesota’s lineup ranks 11th or better in wRC+, wOBA, BB/K and hard-contact rate while St. Louis’s lineup is 20th or worse in each of those metrics.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” for the OVER 8.5 (-115) as a “contrarian play” against a market that has steamed this total down from the 9-run opener and because I have no faith in either pitching staff.

In addition, Minnesota is 15-7-1 O/U as a road underdog with an MLB-high plus-2.4 total margin and these teams have a combined 30-25-2 O/U record in interleague play since the beginning of last season.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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