Tag: Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners odds predictions pick betting line spread

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Twins (50-47) conclude a 4-game series against the Seattle Mariners (47-48) on Thursday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Twins lead 2-1

The Twins secured a 6-3 victory over the Mariners on Wednesday with 2B Edouard Julien, OF Max Kepler, and 1B Alex Kirilloff hitting home runs. Minnesota has won 5 of its last 6 games and is 2 1/2 games ahead of the Cleveland Guardians atop the AL Central.

In Wednesday’s defeat, RHP Luis Castillo struck out 11 batters and surrendered 3 ER for the Mariners. Seattle has lost 4 of its last 6 games and is 10 games back of the Texas Rangers in the AL West race.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP George Kirby

Lopez (5-5, 4.24 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 in 116 2/3 innings.

  • Has posted 6 or more K’s in 17 of his 19 starts
  • Has given up 3 ER or more in 6 of his last 9 starts

Kirby (8-8, 3.43 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 0.9 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 112 2/3 innings.

  • Has walked fewer than 2 batters in 17 of his 18 starts
  • Has pitched 6 innings or more in 14 of his 18 starts

Twins at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:37 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-190) | Mariners -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 5, Twins 4

Moneyline

Despite their recent struggles, the MARINERS (-135) are my pick. Lopez and Kirby are both coming off forgettable starts, but I’ll trust Kirby as he is typically able to avoid putting himself in difficult spots.

Run line/Against the spread

I’ll PASS on the pricey run line in this game even though the Twins should keep this game close on the road.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

OVER 7.5 (+100) is the play in this game at such a low total. The Twins have produced 5 or more runs in 6 straight games, and they’ve hit the Over in 7 straight contests. The Mariners have achieved the Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Skyler Carlin on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[anyclip pubname=”2129″ widgetname=”0016M00002U0B1kQAF_M8190″]

The Minnesota Twins (49-47) and Seattle Mariners (47-47) meet Wednesday for game 3 of a 4-game series. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Minnesota won 10-3 as +111 road underdogs to tie the series at 1 a-piece Tuesday. Both teams had a busy 1st inning as the Twins scored twice in the top of the innings and the Mariners scored 3 in the bottom half before the Twins took control.

The AL Central-leading Twins have now won 4 of their last 5 and are 9-5 in their last 14 games. The Mariners are also 9-5 in their last 14 overall, but are only 2-3 in their last 5. Minnesota sits at 23-25 on the road while Seattle is 26-23 at home on the year.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Kenta Maeda vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Maeda (2-5, 5.50 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 36 innings.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 6 K in a 5-4 road win Friday vs. the Oakland Athletics
  • 1 career start vs. Seattle: 0-0, 2.25 ERA (4 IP, 1 ER), 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K

Castillo (6-7, 2.96 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 112 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in a 5-4 home loss Friday vs. the Detroit Tigers
  • Career vs. Minnesota: 1-1, 8.18 ERA (11 IP, 10 ER), 18 H, 3 BB, 11 K in 3 starts

Twins at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Mariners -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-155) | Mariners -1.5 (+125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 6, Mariners 4

Moneyline

LEAN TWINS (+135).

Both teams are 3-2 in each of their starting pitcher’s last 5 games overall. The Twins have a 6-4 edge in the last 10 matchups and I like that they have won  Maeda’s last 2 starts, which gives them the slight edge here.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS. 

I like the Twins to cover here but at +1.5 (-155) the line is not worth the juice, bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Over is 7-2-1 in Minnesota’s last 10 overall and 2-0 in each of Maeda’s last 2 starts. For Seattle, the Over is 4-0 in Castillo’s last 4 starts overall and 3-0 in each of his last 3 starts vs. Minnesota. And the Over is also 2-0 in the last 2 meetings.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @payton_shanks on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[anyclip pubname=”2129″ widgetname=”0016M00002U0B1kQAF_M8190″]

The Minnesota Twins (48-47) and Seattle Mariners (47-46) meet Tuesday for the 2nd game of a 4-game series. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 1-0

Seattle won 7-6 as a -149 home favorite in the series opener Monday. The Mariners led 7-3 heading into the top of the 9th but a 3-run HR from Twins OF Max Kepler gave them a bit of a scare before they managed to shut the door. RHP Logan Gilbert pitched 5 innings with 2 ER and 5 K’s.

The Mariners have won back-to-back games and are 6-4 in their last 10 overall and 26-22 at home on the year. Monday’s loss ended a 3-game win streak for Minnesota, who is also 6-4 in its last 10 contests and 22-25 on the road this season.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Bailey Ober vs. RHP Bryan Woo

Ober (5-4, 2.61 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 82 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 3-1 home loss on July 7 vs. the Baltimore Orioles
  • Career vs. Seattle: 1-0, 4.00 ERA (9 IP, 4 ER), 5 H, 2 BB, 10 K through 2 starts

Woo (1-1, 3.63 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 34 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 3-2 road loss on July 8 vs. the Houston Astros
  • First career start vs. Minnesota

Twins at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:53 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Mariners -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-210) | Mariners -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 5, Mariners 4

Moneyline

LEAN TWINS (+100).

The Twins and M’s have split their last 10 meetings and both teams are 6-4 in their last 10 games overall. I like the Twins here as this is Woo’s first start vs. Minnesota and the Twins are 2-0 in Ober’s 2 starts vs. Seattle.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m confident that the Twins +1.5 (-210) will cover here as 3 of Seattle’s last 4 wins in this series were of the 1-run variety. However, the line is not worth the juice, so bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-110).

The Over is 5-0 in Minnesota’s last 5 overall and 7-2-1 in its last 10. The Over is also 2-0 in each of Ober’s 2 career starts vs. Seattle.

The Over is 3-2 in Woo’s last 5 starts.

This is only a lean because the Under has been slightly safer in recent Minnesota-Seattle matchups and has cashed more frequently in Seattle’s last 10 overall.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @payton_shanks on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

[anyclip pubname=”2129″ widgetname=”0016M00002U0B1kQAF_M8190″]

The Minnesota Twins (48-46) and Seattle Mariners (46-46) meet Monday to kick off a 4-game series. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is set for 9:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Twins won 4 of 7 games in 2022

Minnesota won 5-4 as -176 road favorites Sunday to complete a 3-game sweep of the Oakland Athletics. The Twins are 8-4 in their last 12 games and have opened a 2 1/2-game lead in the AL Central. They are 22-24 on the road.

Seattle won 2-0 as -155 home favorites on Sunday to avoid being swept by the Detroit Tigers, losing the series 2-1. The Mariners are also 8-4 in their last 12 games and are 25-22 at home.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Sonny Gray vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Gray (4-3, 2.89 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 99 2/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 6 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 5 K in a 6-2 home loss July 8 vs. the Baltimore Orioles
  • Career vs. Seattle: 5-3, 2.73 ERA (89 IP, 27 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 14 starts

Gilbert (7-5, 3.66 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 108 1/3 innings.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 3-1 road win Sunday vs. the Houston Astros
  • Career vs. Minnesota: 1-0, 0.82 ERA (11 IP, 1 ER), 7 H, 2 BB, 13 K in 2 starts

Twins at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Twins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-190) | Mariners -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -125 | U: +105)

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW23 for $15 OFF a full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 9/30/2023. Subscribe today and start winning!

Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 3, Twins 2

Moneyline

LEAN MARINERS (-135).

These teams are very evenly matched, but the Mariners have the minor advantage in a few areas. Seattle is a slightly better home team than the Twins are as an away team. It also has the advantage in the pitching matchup. Seattle is 3-2 in Gilbert’s last 5 starts and 2-0 in his last 2 starts vs. Minnesota. Meanwhile Minnesota is 1-4 in Gray’s last 5 starts and 1-2 in his last 3 starts vs. Seattle.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’m not too confident on either team for this bet but if I had to choose I would lean toward the Twins to cover, however at +1.5 (-190) they are far too heavy of a favorite to risk betting on.

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7 (+105).

The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and is 7-3 in the last 10 matchups. The Under is also 7-3 in Seattle’s last 10 overall, 3-1-1 in Gilbert’s last 5 starts, and 2-0 in Gilbert’s starts vs. Minnesota.

The Under is 3-1-1 in Gray’s last 5 starts and 2-0-1 in his last 3 starts vs. Seattle.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @payton_shanks on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (36-28) and Seattle Mariners (28-34) will play the 7th and final game of their season series on Wednesday, meeting for an afternoon matchup at T-Mobile Park. First pitch from Seattle will be at 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 3-3

The Twins fell to the Mariners 5-0 on Tuesday to snap a 3-game winning streak against Seattle. Minnesota is now 3-2 in its last 5 games and has the 8th-best team batting average in the league.

The Mariners have lost 2 of their last 3 games and sit 4th in the AL West. They’re tied for 24th in runs scored (253) and 20th in team ERA (3.98).

Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Sonny Gray vs. LHP Marco Gonzales

Gray (3-1, 2.41 ERA) makes his 8th start. He has a 0.98 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 33 2/3 IP.

  • Making his return from the injured list for his 1st start since May 29 when he pitched 6 innings and gave up just 1 run in a 7-3 win over Kansas City.
  • Twins have won 5 straight starts by Gray, who has not allowed more than 2 ER in a start all season.

Gonzales (3-6, 3.63 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 in 62 IP.

  • Mariners have lost 3 straight starts by Gonzales, a stretch in which they’ve scored just 6 total runs and allowed 9.
  • Walked 6 batters in last start, a 4-3 loss Friday to the Boston Red Sox, though he only gave up 2 H and 2 R.

Twins at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Twins -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Mariners +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+120) | Mariners +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 4, Mariners 2

Money line

The Twins have been a terrific bounce-back team as of late. In their last 5 games following a loss, the Twins are 5-0. They’ve also won 5 straight starts by Gray and though this is his 1st game back after a 2-week absence, he’s been sharp all year.

Bet the TWINS (-145) to win outright against the Mariners.

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

Minnesota is only 29-35 ATS this season, slightly worse than Seattle’s 31-31 ATS mark. But in 2 of their 3 wins against the Mariners this season, the Twins covered the spread.

With Gray on the mound, OF Byron Buxton knocking the cover off the ball and the Mariners struggling offensively, I would sprinkle some on the TWINS -1.5 (+120).

Over/Under

There has only been 1 high-scoring game between these teams this season, a 10-4 win by the Twins in April. Otherwise, they haven’t combined for more than 7 runs in any of their other 5 meetings.

If Gonzales can find the strike zone and Gray continues his hot start, this should be another low-scoring game. Bet the UNDER 7.5 (+105).

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (35-27) head to T-Mobile Park Monday to begin a 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners (27-33) with first pitch at 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Minnesota is 5-5 straight up (SU) in the last 10 games, which includes a 2-1 home series win vs. the Tampa Bay Rays last weekend.

Seattle lost the rubber match of a 3-game home set with the Boston Red Sox Sunday, but is 6-4 SU in the last 10.

Season series: Tied 2-2, but the Twins have a plus-8 run differential.

Twins at Mariners projected starters

RHP Chris Archer vs. RHP Chris Flexen  

Archer is 1-2 with a 3.65 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 6.9 K/9 in 44 1/3 IP over 11 starts.

  • Last start: Won 8-1 Wednesday at home vs. the New York Yankees with 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 4 BB and 2 K.

Flexen is 2-7 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 62 IP over 11 starts.

  • Last start: Lost 4-1 Tuesday at the Houston Astros with 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 2 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Twins: One start, a 4-0 loss in Minnesota April 11 with 4 1/3 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 3 BB and 3 K.

Twins at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:18 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Twins -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Mariners -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins -1.5 (+155) | Mariners +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Twins at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Twins 7, Mariners 4

Money line

BET a half-unit the TWINS (-108).

Despite Minnesota being 1st in the AL Central and Seattle being 4th in the AL West, there isn’t much of a difference between these 2 teams so this is a sharp number.

However, the Twins are 7-4 SU as road underdogs and slightly better than the Mariners (-112) in the 3 most important phases of the game (starting and relief pitching and hitting).

More importantly, Minnesota’s ML is being moved by sharp action. Seattle opened as -115 favorites (per Pregame.com) and nearly 60% of the bets placed at Tipico Sportsbook are on the Mariners.

But, a slight majority of the money is on the Twins and the oddsmakers have reacted by lowering Seattle’s ML from the opener. These betting splits indicate the professionals are betting on the Twins while the public is on the Mariners.

BET the TWINS (-108).

Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 6/30/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Two of the Twins-Mariners meetings this season have been decided by 1 run, Minnesota is just 6-11 RL as road favorites while Seattle is 8-2 RL as home underdogs. The Twins’ RL would need to be north of +170 to take a stab.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-115).

Both starters are bottom-of-the-rotation guys who grade poorly across several advanced pitching metrics and both lineups are top seven in wRC+ (per FanGraphs).

Also, Twins-Mariners are 4-1 O/U in their last 5 meetings in Seattle and T-Mobile Park is surprisingly more hitter-friendly this year, ranking 11th in park factor.

My hesitation with the OVER 8.5 (-115) is it almost feels too easy and the Mariners are 3-8 O/U in Flexen’s 11 starts.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (26-40) and Seattle Mariners (33-35) play the second of a three-game set Tuesday at 10:10 p.m. ET at T-Mobile Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP J.A. Happ is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 3-2 with a 5.75 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 6.2 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 56 1/3 IP over 11 starts.

Happ has allowed four or more runs in each of his two June starts and five of his past six outings overall. This will be his appearance against the Mariners since Aug. 26, 2019, when he was a member of the New York Yankees.

RHP Chris Flexen is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 5-3 with a 4.68 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 in 59 2/3 IP over 11 starts.

Flexen has lasted at least six innings in each of his past three starts, but he is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in two starts in June. While he has been eating innings, he hasn’t been terribly consistent this season.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Twins at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Twins -1.5 (+140) | Mariners +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Mariners 5, Twins 3

Money line (ML)

MARINERS (-105) is the lean here as short ‘dogs at home. Happ has been getting crushed lately, and while Flexen has been a little erratic, he is an innings eater who keeps the bullpen fresh. The Twins (-115) are likely to need their bullpen sooner rather than later, and they rank 27th in the majors with a 4.97 bullpen ERA. Advantage Seattle.

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The MARINERS +1.5 (-165) are a decent value at home if you want a little bit of insurance. Seattle isn’t terribly expensive as they look for a second straight win in the series after taking the opener 4-3 as home ‘dogs Monday.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 8.5 (-115) is the lean. While Happ and Flexen have been coughing up plenty of runs overall, Flexen has been somewhat respectable at home. He has a 2.67 ERA in 33 2/3 innings at home vs. a 7.27 ERA in 26 innings on the road.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Joe Williams on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (32-35) host the Minnesota Twins (26-39) Monday for the first of a three-game series in T-Mobile Park with a 10:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Minnesota was clobbered 14-3 Sunday in the rubber match of a three-game series with the Houston Astros. The Twins are just 4-6 in their last 10 games and haven’t won a series since May 24-26 vs. the Baltimore Orioles.

Seattle prevented a three-game sweep at the hands of the Cleveland Indians, and snapped a three-game losing skid, with a 6-2 win Sunday. The Mariners are also 4-6 in their last 10 games.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-1.

RHP Kenta Maeda is the projected starter for the Twins. Maeda is 2-2 with a 5.27 ERA (42 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 across 9 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 6 K in Minnesota’s 5-3 loss at the Cleveland Indians on May 22.
  • No career appearances against the Mariners.

LHP Marco Gonzales makes his eighth start for the Mariners. Gonzales is 1-4 with a 5.45 ERA (36 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5-3, with 4 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 2 K at the Detroit Tigers Tuesday.
  • Gonzales got drilled in a loss to the Twins on April 8 with a stat line of 4 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 9 H, 2 BB and 6 K in Seattle’s 10-2 loss in Minnesota.
  • vs. Twins on the current roster: 66 at-bats with a .394/.423/.561 slash line, 11/3 K/BB, 2 HR and 10 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Twins at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:27 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Mariners +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Twins -1.5 (+115) | Mariners +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Mariners 9, Twins 5

Money line (ML)

GIMME the MARINERS (+120) for 1 unit because the Twins are being priced like they are the same team from the past two seasons when in reality Minnesota is worse in all phases of the game.

Maeda has just been activated off of the 10-day IL and the Twins are hoping he’s finally right because his 2021 numbers have fallen off a cliff.

For instance, Maeda has gone from the 88th percentile or better to the 27th percentile or worse in the following advanced pitching metrics: K%, hard-hit rate, exit velocity, expected opponent’s wOBA and expected ERA.

Also, Minnesota’s bullpen went from the third-highest WAR in 2020 to the 24th-ranked WAR thus far in 2021.

These sharp declines in pitching numbers for both Maeda and Minnesota’s bullpen are the reason why the Twins are just 2-7 in Maeda’s nine starts this season and why I’m more fading Minnesota than BETTING the  MARINERS (+120).

FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!

Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the MARINERS -1.5 (+165) for a quarter unit because of the aforementioned rationale and Minnesota’s last five losses have all been by at least two runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8 (-110) for a half unit because Gonzales is a fringe rotation guy, and Maeda is in the midst of a career-worst season with the Twins going Over the total in seven of his nine starts.

Furthermore, more than 95% of the money at the time of writing is on the Under (according to Pregame.com) and my instinct is to fade such a lopsided sports betting market.

That being said, I’d imagine the big bucks being wagered on the Under is “sharp” money considering who’s betting the Under in a Twins-Mariners Monday game with two NBA playoff games also on the sports calendar.

For that reason, I can only “LEAN” to the OVER 8 (-110).

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]