Tag: Minnesota Twins odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (2-1) face the Minnesota Twins (1-2) Monday for their four-game series finale at the Target Field with the first pitch scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Seattle won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 6-4 featuring two impressive outings from Mariners LHP Robbie Ray Friday and RHP Logan Gilbert Saturday.

However, Minnesota took the third game 10-4 Sunday thanks to a 6 home run performance from its lineup, which included a 1st inning grand slam by first-year Mariner C Gary Sanchez who joined the team following seven years with the New York Yankees.

Mariners at Twins: Projected starters

RHP Chris Flexen vs. RHP Dylan Bundy 

Flexen was 14-6 in 2021 with a 3.61 ERA (179 2/3 IP, 72 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 over 31 starts.

  • 2021 vs. Twins: 1-0 with a 3.46 ERA (13 IP, 5 ER), 12 H, 13 K and 2 BB in 2 starts.
  • vs. Twins on the current roster: 4.31 FIP with a .341 batting average (BA), .361 wOBA, .384 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 13.3 K% and 88.8 mph exit velocity (EV) in 45 plate appearances (PA).

Bundy was 2-9 last season with a 6.06 ERA (90 2/3 IP, 61 ER), 1.36 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 over 19 starts and 4 relief appearances with the Los Angeles Angels.

  • 2021 vs. Mariners: 0-1 with a 4.26 ERA (6 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 8 H, 1 BB and 7 K in 1 start and 1 relief appearance.
  • vs. Mariners on the current roster: 2.23 FIP with a .303 BA, .346 wOBA, .410 xSLG, 27.8 K% and 86.1 mph EV in 36 PA.

Mariners at Twins odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mariners +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Twins -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners +1.5 (-180) | Twins -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Mariners at Twins prediction and picks

Prediction

Mariners 8, Twins 4

Money line

GIMME the MARINERS (+110) for 1 unit as a fade against Bundy as the Twins’ starter. The market continues to support Bundy who was a former No. 4 overall pick in the 2011 draft and is now on his third team.

Bundy has a career 4.46 FIP and graded in the bottom-third of the MLB last season in EV, xSLG, expected wOBA, barrel rate and whiff rate, according to Statcast.

Seattle and Minnesota’s lineups are equal but the Mariners have much better bullpen pitching. Even if Flexen doesn’t give Seattle a quality start, the Mariners could still rundown the Twins.

BET the MARINERS (+110).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Flexen pitched better at home than on the road last season and gave up 5 ER over 5 IP in his one start in Minnesota.

This rules out both the pricey Mariners +1.5 (-180) and the chunky Mariners -1.5 (+170) tickets despite my predicted score.

Over/Under

Slight LEAN to the OVER 9.5 (-105) if at all because I’m high on both lineups entering 2022, the weather forecast is predicting nearly 14 mph winds blowing out to centerfield and the Twins are 87-69-9 O/U since the beginning of last season.

However, most of the market is backing the Over here and I hate following the herd in sports betting.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Seattle Mariners at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

After their original meeting was postponed Thursday due to rain, the Seattle Mariners play the Minnesota Twins for their opening games Friday. First pitch at Target Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Seattle beat Minnesota 4-2 in last season’s series. The Mariners outscored the Twins 30-29 and won two of three games in both the home and away series.

The Mariners were a surprising story in 2021, finishing with a 90-72 record and two games back of the two American League wild-card seeds.

Conversely, the Twins had a down year last season with a 73-89 record after winning back-to-back AL Central crowns in 2019 and 2020.

Mariners at Twins: Projected starters

LHP Robbie Ray vs. RHP Joe Ryan 

Ray is Seattle’s starter for their opener. He won the 2021 American League Cy Young behind a 13-7 record with an AL-leading 2.84 ERA (193 1/3 IP, 61 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 in 32 starts.

  • 2021 vs. Twins: 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA (6 IP, 1 ER), 3 H, 6 K and 4 BB in one start.
  • vs. Twins on the current roster: 3.96 FIP with a .194 batting average (BA), .308 wOBA, .410 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 34.1 K% and 90.6 mph exit velocity (EV) in 44 plate appearances (PA).

Ryan takes the hill for Minnesota’s home opener. He made his MLB debut Sept. 1 and finished 2-1 with a 4.05 ERA (26 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 0.79 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 1.7 BB/9 in five starts.

  • Ryan is Minnesota’s sixth-ranked prospect and MLB.com’s 97th-ranked prospect.
  • vs. Mariners on the current roster: Never pitched against Seattle

Mariners at Twins odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Twins -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (+165) | Twins +1.5 (-205)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Mariners at Twins prediction and picks

Prediction

Mariners 6, Twins 3

Money line

BET the MARINERS (+100) because their lineup versus Minnesota’s is a wash but Seattle has a far better starter on the mound and a much more reliable bullpen.

Seattle’s bullpen was top five last season in FIP, home runs per 9 innings allowed (HR/9) and WAR, whereas Minnesota’s bullpen was 20th or worse in WAR, HR/9 and FIP. The Twins relievers were also dead-last in both hard-hit rate and EV as a unit.

Furthermore, the Twins were just 20-36 overall versus left-handed starters and 29-49 against teams with a winning record.

BET the MARINERS (+100).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Mariners -1.5 (+165) since I like them to win this game outright and Seattle should cover the RL if so.

However, I’m noticing Minnesota’s ML has been hit by sharp money so making an additional bet on the Mariners might be foolhardy.

Minnesota’s disastrous 2021 could be a blip with the Twins winning the divisions the two years prior and making some big moves this offseason including signing coveted free agent SS Carlos Correa.

I want to see what the Twins look like before I’m laying -1.5 against them in Minnesota.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-130) because this total feels shockingly low considering all the firepower in both lineups and the Twins played in the most Overs in the AL last season.

A vast majority of the market is also surprisingly on the Under according to pregame.com and vegasinsider.com, which is mostly due to the defending AL Cy Young taking the hill for Seattle.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (71-87) play host to the Detroit Tigers (75-83) Thursday at Target Field in the finale of their three-game series and regular-season series. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Tigers vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Minnesota won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 8-4.

Season series: Twins lead 11-7.

LHP Tarik Skubal is on the rubber for the Twins. He is 8-12 with a 4.13 ERA (146 IP, 67 ER), 1.24 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 28 starts and two relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB and 1 K in Detroit’s 5-1 win over the Kansas City Royals Saturday.
  • Skubal is 0-2 with a 4.09 ERA (11 IP, 5 ER), 10 H, 3 BB and 13 K against the Twins in 2021.
  • vs. Twins on the current roster (69 PA): 5.73 FIP with a .206 batting average (BA), .307 wOBA, .507 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 30.4 K% and 91.5 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Joe Ryan makes his fifth start for the Twins. He is 2-1 with a 2.45 ERA (22 IP, 6 ER), 0.59 WHIP, 1.2 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 in his rookie season.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-4, with 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 11 K Sept. 22 at the Chicago Cubs.

Tigers at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Tigers +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Twins -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-140) | Twins -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Prediction

Twins 5, Tigers 2

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the TWINS (-190) because this price is on the cusp of unplayable since Minnesota is one of the most disappointing teams in MLB this season.

However, it appears as though Detroit has put Skubal on an inning- or pitch-count since he’s a talented young arm. Skubal hasn’t thrown more than 50 pitches or gone deeper than 4 IP in any of his four starts this month. If that’s the case then the strongest factor in this handicap is Detroit’s weak bullpen.

Tigers’ relievers have the worst SIERA and K-BB% and third-worst xFIP this month. Minnesota’s bullpen has the fourth-best ERA, eighth-best HR/9 and eighth-best K% this month.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS despite my predicted score because the Twins are just 14-38 ATS as home favorites and 30-42 ATS in AL Central games. On the other hand, the Tigers are 40-33 ATS as road underdogs and 37-35 ATS against divisional opponents.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-110) for a small wager because Minnesota is 20th in wRC+ and 22nd in wOBA vs. left-handed pitching. On top of that, Detroit’s lineup is 22nd in wRC+, 23rd in wOBA and 19th in hard-contact rate against righties.

There are also a plethora of Under-friendly trends for both teams entering this game and there’s a “line freeze” in the betting market for the total.

For instance, according to Pregame.com at the time of writing, roughly 70% of the cash wagered is on the Over but this total hasn’t budged since it opened. It’s telling that sportsbooks aren’t moving the total in a game with one-side action in the Over’s direction featuring two poor pitching staffs.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (57-72) look to pull off the three-game sweep when they host the Milwaukee Brewers (78-52) Sunday for the series finale at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Brewers vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Minnesota won the first two games of the series by a combined score of 8-4 and has cooled off what was a hot Milwaukee team that won eight of its previous 11 games before meeting up with the Twins.

Season series: Twins lead 4-1.

LHP Aaron Ashby is Milwaukee’s projected starter. Ashby has yet to earn a decision and has a 4.15 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 11 H, 4 BB and 9 K across three starts and one bullpen outing in his rookie season.

RHP Griffin Jax is on the hill for the Twins. Jax is 3-2 with a 6.29 ERA (48 2/3 IP, 34 ER), 1.35 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 over seven starts and four relief appearances.

  • Last outing: Loss, 11-9, with 4 2/3 IP, 9 ER, 7 H, 4 BB and 4 K Tuesday at the Boston Red Sox.
  • Home splits: 2-0 with a 5.23 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 1.26 WHIP and 3.6 K/BB in two starts and three bullpen outings.

Brewers at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Twins +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+102) | Twins +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Prediction

Brewers 5, Twins 3

Money line (ML)

“LEAN” to the BREWERS (-155) for a half unit because Milwaukee has the most victories over righty starters in the majors, the highest winning percentage on the road and a significant edge in the pitching department.

Ashby is Milwaukee’s No. 1 rated prospect according to FanGraphs and has pitched eight scoreless innings with 1 walk and 9 strikeouts since giving up 4 earned runs in his MLB debut against the Chicago Cubs.

On the other hand, Jax grades in the 18th percentile or worse in exit velocity, hard-hit rate, K%, expected wOBA, expected slugging percentage and barrel rate. Also, Minnesota’s bullpen has the second-highest home run per nine-inning rate and the seventh-worst FIP.

The Brewers are 14-4 outright this season when facing a right-handed starter on the road as money line favorites of -140 or greater with a plus-22.5 return on investment and an average score of 7.2-3.0. The Twins are just 2-4 outright as home underdogs vs. a lefty starter with a minus-23.8% ROI and an average score of 3.0-6.5.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Brewers -1.5 (+102) isn’t a fat enough payout considering they have a rookie getting the start, Minnesota is 14-9 ATS as a home underdog and Milwaukee is 3-11 ATS in interleague games.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 9.5 (-120) since the oddsmaker has liability on the Under already hence the higher vig and the presumed “sharp” money is hammering the Under despite a bunch of Over-friendly situational trends.

Nearly 90% of the cash wagered on the Brewers-Twins total has been on the Under which has caused oddsmakers to move this total down from the 10-run opener, according to Pregame.com.

Aside from both lineups struggling against their respective opponents’ pitching handedness, I cannot make sense of the total for this game and would only put a TINY WAGER on the UNDER 9.5 (-120).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (78-50) kick off a three-game interleague series with the Minnesota Twins (55-72) Friday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Brewers vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Milwaukee had a four-game win streak snapped Thursday when it lost the series finale to the Cincinnati Reds but has won seven of its last 10 games and 14 of the last 20.

Minnesota lost five of its previous six games, all on the road, against the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees.

Season series: Twins lead 2-1.

LHP Eric Lauer gets the start for the Brewers. He is 4-4 with a 3.59 ERA (77 2/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 through 13 starts and four relief appearances.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 3 BB and 3 K in Milwaukee’s 9-6 victory over the Washington Nationals Saturday.
  • 2021 road stats: 1-1 with a 2.97 ERA (30 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.19 WHIP and 3.1 K/BB across four starts and three relief outings.

LHP Andrew Albers (0-0, 2.25 ERA) makes his first start of the year for the Twins. He picked up a no-decision in a relief appearance over 4 IP with 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB and 4 K in Minnesota’s 7-5 loss at the Yankees Aug. 19.

Brewers at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:55 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Twins +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+111) | Twins +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Prediction

Brewers 7, Twins 5

Money line (ML)

BET the BREWERS (-140) for 1 unit since they have a definitive edge in both relief pitching and hitting. Also, Albers is making his first start since 2017 so Milwaukee probably has an edge in the starting pitching duel even though Lauer is a back-of-the-rotation guy for Milwaukee.

Milwaukee’s lineup is second in WAR and sixth in wRC+ since the All-Star break while the Twins rank 23rd in WAR and 17th in wRC+ over that same span.

Furthermore, Minnesota’s bullpen has the second-highest HR/9 and the third-worst WAR whereas the Brew Crew’s relievers are 39-16 with the seventh-best xFIP in MLB.

Lastly, Lauer is 3-0 on the road this season with the Brewers listed as money line favorites of -130 or greater.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Brewers are just 1-2 ATS in Lauer’s three victories as a road favorite of -130 and greater. On top of that, Milwaukee is just 3-9 ATS in interleague contests and Minnesota is 7-6 ATS in those spots.

The payout isn’t high enough on the Brewers to win by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-107) for a half unit as a “contrarian play” against a market that’s backing the Under at a 70% clip, according to Pregame.com.

I’m cool with fading the market in this spot because the Brewers are 21-15-3 O/U as road favorites and the Twins have played to the Over at the highest rate in MLB at 75-46-6 O/U.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (54-71) continue their three-game set with the Boston Red Sox (72-55) Wednesday. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Twins vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Boston held off a 5-run late-inning rally by Minnesota to win the first game of the series 11-9. The Red Sox have somewhat righted the ship by winning three of their last four since falling behind the New York Yankees in the AL Wild Card standings.

Season series: Red Sox lead 4-1.

RHP Bailey Ober is Minnesota’s projected starter. Ober is 1-2 with a 4.38 ERA (63 2/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 14 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 3-1, with 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 3 K Aug. 17 against the Cleveland Indians.
  • August splits: 0-1 with a 2.76 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 18 H, 2 BB and 14 K in three starts.

RHP Nick Pivetta makes his 25th start for the Red Sox. Pivetta is 9-6 with a 4.43 ERA (126 IP, 62 ER), 1.29 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5-2, with 1 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 1 K at the New York Yankees Aug. 18.
  • Home splits: 4-2 with a 5.37 ERA (60 1/3 IP, 36 ER), 1.44 WHIP and 2.4 K/BB in 12 starts.

Twins at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Twins +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Red Sox -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Twins +1.5 (-130) | Red Sox -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Prediction

Twins 7, Red Sox 6

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Twins (+140) because there’s been heavy “reverse line movement” (RLM) in Minnesota’s direction. However, Boston has an edge in the three most important phases of the game (starting and bullpen pitching and hitting).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the TWINS +1.5 (-130) for a half unit since the Red Sox are just 24-28 ATS as a home favorite and we are seeing the same RLM with Minnesota’s run line.

The Twins opened around -113 on the run line but that number has been moved down by oddsmakers despite 90% of the action coming on the Red Sox according to Pregame.com. It’s always a red flag when the sportsbook makes the more popular side cheaper.

Furthermore, the starting and bullpen pitching between the two ball clubs stack up pretty equally after the All-Star Game and both lineups are in the top-10 of wRC+ over the past two weeks.

Boston does have a slight edge in each of these departments but that’s baked into a line that is heading in the opposite direction as the betting public.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 10.5 (-110) for a half unit because Minnesota has the highest rate of Overs on the road and the third-highest rate of Overs as a road underdog.

Also, the Red Sox are 9-7 O/U at home when facing a righty as a -160 money line favorite or greater and the Twins are 6-3-1 O/U on the road against righties as a +140 money line underdog or greater.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Chicago White Sox (24-15) begin a three-game set with the Minnesota Twins (13-25) Monday at Target Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the White Sox vs. Twins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago split its four-game series with the Kansas City Royals after winning Sunday 4-3. The White Sox have won eight of their previous 10 games, which includes a three-game sweep of the Twins last week.

Minnesota lost the rubber match of its three-game set with the Oakland Athletics Sunday and have lost nine of the last 11 games.

Season series: White Sox 3-0.

LHP Dallas Keuchel gets the start for the White Sox. Keuchel is 2-1 with a 4.53 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.26 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 3.7 K/9 over 8 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 13-8, in 5 2/3 IP with 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 1 K vs. the Twins Wednesday.
  • Career vs. the Twins: 5-3 with a 3.91 ERA (46 IP, 20 ER), 1.46 WHIP and 7.6 K/9 in 8 starts and 1 relief appearance.
    • Vs. Twins on the current roster: 162 at-bats with a .259/.324/.407 slash line, 27/16 K/BB, 7 HR and 17 RBIs.

LHP J.A. Happ is on the mound for the Twins. Happ is 2-1 with a 4.26 ERA (31 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 across 6 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 13-8, in 3 1/3 IP with 9 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, and 3 K Wednesday against the White Sox.
  • Last 5 vs. the White Sox: 2-2 with an 8.76 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 24 ER), 10 BB and 29 K.
    • Vs. White Sox on the current roster: 95 at-bats with a .326/.366/.558 slash line, 23/5 K/BB, 3 HR and 17 RBIs.

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White Sox at Twins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:17 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: White Sox -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Twins -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: White Sox -1.5 (+145) | Twins +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

White Sox 8, Twins 4

Money line (ML)

Both teams hit lefties well and each starter’s advanced pitching numbers are alarming, but Chicago’s lineup is the best in the league vs. left-handed pitching.

The White Sox are first in wRC+, wOBA, OPS and seventh in BB/K vs. lefties, however, both Keuchel and Happ grade in the 31st percentile or lower in expected wOBA, expected slugging percentage, whiff% and K%.

Lastly, the White Sox have beaten the Twins in four straight and Minnesota has lost four consecutive meetings with AL Central opponents.

GIMME the WHITE SOX (-110) for 1 unit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

I’ll “SPRINKLE” a tiny wager on the WHITE SOX -1.5 (+145) because they should be able to pad whatever lead they get on Happ vs. Minnesota’s terrible bullpen.

The Twins relievers are a bottom-10 unit in WAR, xFIP and home runs per nine innings and allow the hardest hit rate by 5.4%, whereas White Sox relievers are fifth in WAR and third in xFIP.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS because I prefer the side more than the total in this game, but since both lineups drill lefties and both starters serve up plenty of meatballs to get crushed, I definitely lean Over 9.5 (-110).

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