Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds odds predictions pick betting line spread

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (80-56) and Cincinnati Reds (64-73) meet Sunday for the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 12:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Milwaukee leads 9-3

Milwaukee squeezed out a 5-4 win over Cincinnati Saturday while covering as a -127 road favorite. LF Jackson Chourio hit the tie-breaking solo shot in the top of the 9th as the Brewers extended their win streak to 5 games.

Reliever Justin Wilson took the loss, pitching only 1 inning, but allowing 1 ER, 2 H and 1 BB. The Reds have lost 3 straight with 2 of those losses coming by a single run.

Brewers at Reds projected starters

RHP Tobias Myers vs. TBD

Myers (6-5, 2.99 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 through 108 1/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 5-4 loss vs. San Francisco Tuesday
Career vs. Cincinnati: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 0 ER), 3 H, 0 BB, 9 K in 1 start

No Cincinnati pitcher announced at time of publishing but RHP Brandon Williamson is expected to come off the IL (shoulder) and make his 1st start of the season. He went 5-5 with a 4.46 ERA in 23 starts in 2023.

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:33 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Brewers -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+122) | Reds +1.5 (-146)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 7, Reds 4

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (-130).

Milwaukee is 7-3 in its last 10 overall while the Reds are only 2-8 in their last 10. The Brewers are also 5-1 in their last 6 on the road while Cincinnati is 1-5 in its last 6 at home.

Milwaukee has also won 3 straight against Cincinnati and is 4-0 in its last 4 meetings with the Reds in Cincinnati. The Brewers are a dominant 8-2 in their last 10 matchups vs. the Reds.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I am not a fan of either line here as neither team has a real ATS advantage. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9.5 (-110).

The Over has hit in each of Cincinnati’s last 5 games and is 7-2-1 in its last 10. For Milwaukee, the Over is 5-1 in its last 6 road games and 6-3-1 in its last 10 overall. The Over has also hit in each of the last 3 Milwaukee-Cincinnati meetings and the Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Cincy and 6-4 in the last 10 meetings overall.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (64-72) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (79-56) to Great American Ball Park Saturday night. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 8-3.

Milwaukee has won 4 games in a row after taking down Cincinnati 2 times Friday, including the 2nd game of the doubleheader 14-0, while covering as a +108 road underdog. 1B Rhys Hoskins and SS Willy Adames each had 3 RBIs while 8 Brewers players had at least 1 RBI. LHP DL Hall allowed 0 ER in 7 innings to pick up the win.

Cincinnati has lost back-to-back games after falling twice Friday, including the 2nd game, and failing to cover as a -116 home favorite. The Reds were held to just 5 hits while RHP Rhett Lowder allowed just 1 ER in 4 innings and picked up the loss in his major league debut. The Reds allowed 10 runs in the 9th inning after reaching the end of their bullpen.

Brewers at Reds projected starters

RHP Frankie Montas vs. RHP Fernando Cruz

Montas (6-9, 4.64 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 120 1/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 4-3 loss at Oakland A’s Sunday.
Saturday will be his first career appearance against the Reds.

Cruz (5.17, 1.37 ERA) makes his 2nd start (63rd appearance). He has a 1.37 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 13.7 K/9 through 55 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 9-6 loss against Oakland A’s Wednesday.
Career vs. Brewers: 0-1, 2.08 ERA (13 IP, 3 ER), 5 H, 8 BB, 16 K in 13 appearances — last outing Aug. 9.

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:25 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Reds +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+140) | Reds +1.5 (-165)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Reds 5

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (-120).

In Montas’ first start against Cincinnati since being traded earlier this season, expect him to take control against a Cincinnati offense that has struggled recently. The Reds are just 3-7 in their last 10 games and have lost 5 of their last 6 overall. Milwaukee has won 6 of its last 8 including 4 of its last 5 on the road.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is better value on the Brewers’ moneyline.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (-115).

The Brewers have avoided the Under in 7 of their last 10 games and including 4 of their last 5 games. Milwaukee has scored 5 or more runs in each of their last 5 games. Cincinnati has avoided the Under in 8 of their last 10. It has allowed 5 or more runs in each of its last 5 games.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (77-56) visit the Cincinnati Reds (64-70) on Friday afternoon for the 1st game of a doubleheader. First pitch is scheduled for 12:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 6-3

The Brewers have won back-to-back games after beating the San Francisco Giants 6-0 Thursday and covering as -121 home favorites. RHP Aaron Civale allowed 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 7 IP to pick up his 5th wi of the season.

Cincinnati snapped a 3-game losing streak on Thursday by beating the Oakland A’s 10-9 in a walk-off fashion and covering as a -124 home favorite. CF TJ Friedl capped Cincinnati’s 3-run 9th inning with a 2-run single. C Tyler Stephenson had 3 hits, a HR and 2 RBIs while extending his hitting streak to 13 games.

Brewers at Reds projected starters

RHP Colin Rea vs. RHP Nick Martinez

Rea (12-4, 3.61 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 142 IP.

Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 9-5 win at Oakland Athletics Saturday
Career vs. Reds: 5-0, 5.01 ERA (32 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 33 H, 11 BB, 35 K in 6 starts
Last start vs. Reds: Win, 6 IP, 4 H, 3 R (2 ER), 1 BB, 6 K in 5-4 win June 16

Martinez (6-6, 3.62 ERA) makes his 11th start and 37th appearances. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.1 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 104 1/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 3 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 4-3 loss at Pittsburgh Pirates Sunday
Career vs. Brewers: 0-0, 3.12 (26 IP, 9 ER), 19 H, 8 BB, 23 K in 3 starts

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:13 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Brewers -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Reds +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+120) | Reds +1.5 (-145)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Reds 5

Moneyline

PASS.

While the Brewers’ (-130) moneyline bet should not be overlooked, the Reds’ run line is a safer, and more profitable, play.

Run line/Against the spread

BET REDS +1.5 (-145).

Cincinnati has scored 6 or more runs in 3 of its last 5 games while 3 of its last 4 losses have come by just 1 run. Its bats have been clicking over its recent home stretch and with Martinez on the mound, Cincinnati will be able to hang around.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9.5 (-120).

Milwaukee has scored 4 or more runs in 5 of its last 6 games including 5 or more runs in 4 of its last 6. Cincinnati has hit the Over in 8 of its last 10 games and has scored 38 combined runs in its last 6 games. It has also allowed 35 runs in that span.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (8-3) and Cincinnati Reds (6-6) wrap up a 4-game series at Great American Ball Park Thursday. First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 2-1

After a rain delay for about an hour and a half, the Brewers came out hot and won 7-2 Thursday. They have won 2 straight and scored at least 8 runs in all 3 games against Cincinnati. Milwaukee is 5-1 straight up on the road and 7-4 against the spread (ATS) on the season. It has won 3 of its last 4.

The Reds kicked the series off with a thrilling 10-8 win Monday but have struggled to limit Milwaukee since. They have lost 3 of their last 4 and 4 of their last 6. Cincinnati is 5-7 ATS on the season. The Reds are 4-5 straight up at home.

Brewers at Reds projected starters

RHP Freddy Peralta vs. RHP Nick Martinez

Peralta (1-0, 3.09 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.60 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 11.6 K/9 in 11 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 6-5 home win vs. Seattle Mariners Friday
2023 road splits: 5-6, 4.34 ERA (76 2/3 IP, 37 ER), 72 H, 29 BB, 83 K in 14 starts

Martinez (0-0, 7.20 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 10 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 9-6 home win vs. New York Mets Saturday
2023 home splits: 3-1, 2.60 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 53 H, 19 BB, 41 K in 4 starts and 29 relief appearances with San Diego Padres

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Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Brewers -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Reds +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+126) | Reds +1.5 (-152)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

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Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Reds 3

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (-126).

Milwaukee has historically been a tough team for Cincinnati, winning 10 of 13 games last season against a solid Reds roster. The Brewers have continued to dominate, scoring at least 7 runs in all 3 games. They have scored at least 6 in 5 of their last 6.

Milwaukee is 2-0 in games which Peralta has started as well. After winning 4 of their 1st 6, the Reds have lost 4 of their last 6 and have allowed at least 5 runs in both games that Martinez has started. Cincinnati is struggling, while Milwaukee is surging.

Back BREWERS (-126).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The spread for the red-hot Brewers does have some value, but at these odds, the moneyline is the better the play.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 8.5 (-122).

Both teams have hit the Over consistently this season. The Reds are 9-3 O/U and have gone Over in 4 of their last 5 games, scoring at least 5 runs in 3 of those and allowing at least 6 in 4.

The Brewers have gone Over in 4 straight and in 6 of their last 7, allowing at least 5 in 4 of their last 6. The Reds are 2-0 O/U in games Martinez has started, while the Brewers are 1-1 in games Peralta has started.

Considering those trends, back OVER 8.5 (-122).

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Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (7-3) and Cincinnati Reds (6-5) meet for game 3 of a 4-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

Milwaukee picked up a 9-5 win Tuesday as a +118 road underdog to even the series. RHP Joe Ross was credited with the win, allowing 2 earned runs on 5 hits and a walk, while striking out 7 in 6 1/3 innings. LF Christian Yelich (2-for-4) and CF Black Perkins (3-for-5, 2 runs) knocked in 3 runs apiece, while RF Sal Frelick went 3-for-4 with 2 runs and an RBI.

The Brewers led 9-1 after 6½ innings before the Reds plated 2 in the 7th and 2 in the 8th to cut the defice to 9-5. But Milwaukee’s lead proved to be too much for the Reds to overcome late in the ball game.

Brewers at Reds projected starters

LHP Wade Miley vs. RHP Hunter Greene

This will be Miley’s 1st start of the season. The former Red went 9-4 with a 3.14 ERA in 23 starts for the Brewers in 2023. He had a 1.14 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 across 120 1/3 IP.

2023 road splits: 4-2, 2.65 ERA (54 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 40 H, 18 BB, 37 K in 11 starts
Career vs. Reds: 7-3, 2.86 ERA (78 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 67 H, 24 BB, 75 K across 13 starts and 1 relief appearance

Greene (0-0, 2.53 ERA) makes his 3rd start this season. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 10 2/3 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 3-2 Reds loss vs. the New York Mets Friday
Career vs. Brewers: 0-3, 8.00 ERA (18 IP, 16 ER), 19 H, 10 BB, 27 K in 4 starts

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:54 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Brewers +116 (bet $100 to win $116) | Reds -136 (bet $136 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-182) | Reds -1.5 (+150)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Reds 4

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (+116).

Milwaukee has won 2 of its last 3 games vs. Cincinnati dating back to last season and is 6-3 in the last 9 vs. the Reds. They are also 7-2 in their last 9 visits to Cincinnati. Plus, they are 2-1 in its last 3 games overall and 4-1 on the road so far this season.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect the Brewers +1.5 (-182) to cover here, but they are not worth the risk of betting on with the line being this heavy. Bet on the moneyline and/or the Over/Under.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9 (-108).

The Over has hit in 3 consecutive games for the Brewers and is 5-1 in their last 6 overall. For the Reds, the Over has hit in back-to-back games and is 3-1 in their last 4.

This is only a lean because the Under is 7-3 in the last 10 Milwaukee-Cincinnati matchups.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cincinnati Reds (5-4) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (6-2) to Great American Ball Park Monday. First pitch to kick off the 4-game series is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Brewers won 10-3 last season

The Reds lost to the New York Mets 3-1 at home Sunday, marking their 1st series loss this season. They lost 2 of 3 outright against the Mets and are 3-3 straight up at home. Cincinnati is 4-5 against the spread (ATS) this season.

The Brewers beat the Seattle Mariners 12-4 to close their home series Sunday, winning 2 of 3. Milwaukee is 3-0 straight up and ATS on the road, having swept the Mets in 3 straight to start the season.

Brewers at Reds projected starters

LHP Aaron Ashby vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft

Ashby (2-10, 4.44 ERA) made 27 starts in 2022, not taking the mound in 2023. He had a 1.42 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 107 1/3 innings.

2022 road splits: 1-7, 5.03 ERA (68 IP, 38 ER), 76 H, 33 BB, 82 K in 12 starts and 5 relief appearances
Career vs. Cincinnati: 0-1, 5.19 ERA (8 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 7 H, 7 BB, 8 K in 1 start and 2 relief appearances

Ashcraft (0-1, 3.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start. He allowed 3 R (2 ER) on 4 H and 1 BB with 5 K in 6 IP in his debut at the Philadephia Phillies Tuesday.

2023 home splits: 3-8, 5.60 ERA (82 IP, 51 ER), 83 H, 29 BB, 58 K in 15 starts

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Brewers -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Reds -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+150) | Reds +1.5 (-182)
Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -114 | U: -106)

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Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Brewers 4

Moneyline

BET REDS (-108).

Given Ashby hasn’t pitched in over a year, it is difficult to trust him on the road against a Reds offense that has scored at least 6 runs in 4 of 9 games this season, with 3 of those 4 times coming at Great American.

While Ashcraft wasn’t stellar in his lone start, the bullpen is what let Cincinnati down. The Reds have been better also of late, allowing 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4 games.

The Reds should have the pitching advantage, and that will matter, as both offenses have been strong to start the season. Take REDS (-108).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There isn’t any value on the spread. The Reds are too expensive as run-line underdogs, while the Brewers don’t have much value as plus-money run-line favorites.

Regardless of who one likes, play the moneyline here.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 9 (-114).

Both teams have dynamic offenses and don’t have their aces on the mound. The Brewers have scored at least 6 in 2 of their last 3 and have gone Over in 3 of their last 4. Milwaukee is 4-4 O/U on the season.

The Reds are 6-3 O/U and are 4-2 O/U at home. They have scored at least 6 runs in 4 of 6 home games while allowing at least 5 in 3 of those 6. Expect a high-scoring game, and take OVER 9 (-114).

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Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (51-42) and Cincinnati Reds (50-43) meet Sunday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 12:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 7-2

Milwaukee won 3-0 as +111 road underdogs on Saturday with all 3 of the Brewers’ runs on solo home runs from DH Christian Yelich, C William Contreras, and 1B Owen Miller. SP Freddy Peralta pitched 6 scoreless innings with 6 K’s.

The Brewers have now won 3-straight and are 8-3 in their last 11 game to take a 1-game lead on the Reds in th NL Central. Cincinnati has lost 3 straight, but still is 6-4 in their last 10 games. Milwaukee is 25-21 on the road while the Reds are 23-23 at home.

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Brewers at Reds projected starters

RHP Adrian Houser vs. RHP Ben Lively

Houser (3-2, 3.68 ERA) makes his 10th start and 12th appearance. He has a 1.54 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 in 54 1/3 innings.

Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 4-3 home loss July 5 vs. the Chicago Cubs
Career vs. Cincinnati: 5-4, 4.90 ERA (68 IP, 37 ER), 69 H, 49 K, 1.44 WHIP in 16 appearances (13 starts)

Lively (4-5, 3.83 ERA) makes his 9th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 51 2/3 innings.

Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 1-0 road loss Sunday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Career vs. Milwaukee: 0-2, 4.26 ERA (12 2/3 IP, 6 ER), 10 H, 5 BB, 10 K in 2 starts

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Reds -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-165) | Reds -1.5 (+140)
Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 7, Reds 2

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (+110).

The Brewers are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings overall and 4-1 in the last 5 game againstbthe Reds. They are also the hotter team winning 5 of their last 6 while the Reds have lost4 of the last 5. Milwaukee is also 3-0 in Houser’s last 3 starts vs. Cincinnati while Lively has yet to beat Milwaukee in his career.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The Brewers should cover here at +1.5 (-165) as I expect them to come away with the win, but the line is simply not worth the juice especially when each of the other 2 plays are safer. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 10.5 (-105).

The Under is 3-0 in the last 3 matchups and 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. The Under is also 4-0-1 in Houser’s last 5 starts overall and 3-0 in his last 3 starts vs. Cincinnati. The Under is 2-0 in each of Lively’s 2 career starts vs. Milwaukee as well.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (50-42) and Cincinnati Reds (50-42) play Game 2 of a 3-game series at Great American Ball Park Saturday. First pitch is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 6-2

The Brewers began the second half of their season as they ended it with a win over the Reds. They outlasted Cincinnati 1-0 Friday night. Milwaukee is now tied for the lead in the NL Central with Cincinnati. The Brew Crew have performed well against division rivals, going 18-9 against NL Central foes on the season.

Friday’s loss to the Brewers was the 6th of the season for Cincinnati. The Reds are only 1 game above .500 at Great American Ball Park after the loss. This team has struggled against their division rivals, going 12-15 against NL Central opponents on the season.

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Brewers at Reds projected starters

RHP Freddy Peralta vs. LHP Andrew Abbott

Peralta (5-7, 4.70 ERA) will make his 18th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 92 innings.

Last start: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 10 K in a 6-5 home victory vs. the Cubs on July 6
Last 5 starts vs. Reds: 2-1, 3.28 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 30 K in 24 2/3 IP
2023 road splits: 1-4, 5.82 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 25 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 11.5 K/9, .268 opponent batting average (OBA) across 7 starts

Abbott (4-1, 2.38 ERA) will make his 8th start. He has a 1.03 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 41 2/3 innings.

Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 9 K in a 7-3 loss at Milwaukee Brewers July 7
2023 home splits: 1-0, 1.83 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 0.71 WHIP, 12.8 K/9, .134 OBA in 3 starts

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Brewers +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Reds -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+162) | Reds +1.5 (-196)
Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -122 | U: +100)

Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Brewers 5

Moneyline

PASS.

My lean is obviously the Reds (-118), but I don’t love them enough to endorse betting them. I know the Brewers have owned Cincinnati this season, but I feel like they get this one at home.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

I want to take the Reds +1.5 (-196), but putting nearly 2 units to win 1 on a bet I am not 100 percent sold on is not a bet I’m going to make.

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Over/Under

BET OVER 9.5 (-122).

Peralta has allowed at least 3 earned runs in each of his last 3 starts. Abbott got lit up for 6 earned runs by this same Brewers squad just a week ago.

Cincinnati scores 5.02 runs per game at home, but they allow 5.66 runs per game to their opponents at home this season. We should see some fireworks Saturday evening in the Queen City.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers (49-42) and Cincinnati Reds (50-41) begin a 3-game series at Great American Ball Park Friday. First pitch is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 5-2

The Brewers begin the second half of their season with a 6-game road trip. Milwaukee is in 2nd place in the NL Central, just 1 game back of Cincinnati. The Brew Crew performed well against division rivals, going 17-9 against NL Central foes prior to the All-Star break.

Cincinnati finished the first half of the season losing 2 games of a 3-game set in Milwaukee. The Reds are just 23-21 at Great American this season, including 3 losses in a 4-game series when they hosted the Brewers in early June.

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Brewers at Reds projected starters

RHP Corbin Burnes vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft

Burnes (7-5, 3.94 ERA) will make his 19th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 107 1/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 4 BB, 6 K in a 7-3 home victory vs. the Reds last Friday
2023 Road Splits: 3-3, 3.76 ERA (55 IP, 23 ER), 1.06 WHIP, 8.3 K/9, .198 opponent batting average (OBA) across 9 starts

Ashcraft (4-6, 6.28 ERA) will make his 17th start. He has a 1.59 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 in 81 2/3 innings.

Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 3 BB, 2 K in a 9-2 road win vs. the Washington Nationals on July 5
Last start vs. Brewers: Loss, 4 IP, 10 ER, 9 H, 4 BB, 2 K in a 10-8 win on June 3
2023 Home Splits: 2-5, 7.95 ERA (43 IP, 38 ER), 1.65 WHIP, 6.9 K/9, .297 OBA in 9 starts

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:55 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Brewers -124 (bet $124 to win $100) | Reds +106 (bet $100 to win $106)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+126) | Reds +1.5 (-152)
Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 7, Reds 3

Moneyline

BET THE BREWERS (-124).

I have zero faith in Ashcraft being able to hold down the Brewers’ offense, in part because he allowed 10 earned runs against them in early June. Milwaukee has also won 5 of their 7 head-to-head matchups this season while outscoring Cincinnati 33-26.

Run line/Against the spread

BET BREWERS -1.5 (+126).

I’m all in on the Brewers to win this game and they’ve covered the run line in 3 of their 5 wins against the Reds this season.

I also really like that Milwaukee has the 2021 NL Cy Young-winning Burnes on the hill. He is 3-1 with a 2.80 ERA in 6 starts and 10 relief appearances in his career vs. the Reds.

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Over/Under

AVOID.

This a big number but not out of the realm of possibilities Friday, and I just don’t have a good feeling either way. If I had a lean, it would be the Under because of Burnes being on the mound, but I’d rather focus on the Milwaukee moneyline and run line wagers.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @DrewPhelps05 on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cincinnati Reds (26-31) welcome the Milwaukee Brewers (30-27) to Great American Ball Park Saturday. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 1-0.

The Reds have now lost 2 straight games after snapping their 5-game winning streak. Cincinnati is 14-15 at home this season.

Milwaukee, which leads the NL Central, is 14-15 on the road and 5-5 over its last 10 games. The Brewers have traded off winning and losing over their last 6 games, beating the Reds 5-4 in 11 innings Friday.

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Brewers at Reds projected starters

RHP Colin Rea vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft

Rea (2-3, 4.89 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.43 K/9 through 42 1/3 IP.

The Brewers won 7-5 in Rea’s last start Sunday. He went 6 innings and gave up 4 earned runs, striking out 6.
The 32-year-old has won his last 2 games but has allowed at least 4 earned runs in his 9 appearances. Milwaukee is 5-4 in his 9 appearances.

Ashcraft (3-3, 5.55 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 58 1/3 IP.

Ashcraft had 6 strikeouts in an 8-5 win over the Cubs his last time on the mound Sunday. He allowed 3 earned runs in 5 innings.
The Reds are 6-5 in Ashcraft’s 11 starts. He has pitched at least 5 innings in 4 straight starts.

Brewers at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:50 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Brewers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Reds -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+135) | Reds +1.5 (-165)
Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Brewers at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 6, Brewers 5

Moneyline

BET REDS (-105).

The Brewers have had a consistency problem this season. They have traded off winning and losing over their last 6 games, suggesting they’re primed to come up short. Milwaukee is just 14-15 on the road and just 4-6 as a road favorite.

The Reds have cooled down over their last 2, but they are 7-4 over their last 11 games. They have played far better over the last few weeks, and at home following an extra-innings loss, Cincinnati is a good play here.

Take REDS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

Trends point to the Reds being the better play here, but I would ultimately pass as +1.5 (-165) is too expensive. The Brewers don’t pose enough value given how they have played on the road this season as well.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 10 (-120).

Neither team has an ace on the mound here. The Reds have gone Over in 5 of their last 7 games and are 16-13 O/U at home this season.

The Brewers have been better on the Under this season, but Rea has struggled in several of his starts. He has given up at least 4 earned runs in 2 of his last 3 starts.

Back the OVER 10 (-120) for a small unit.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

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