Tag: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs odds predictions pick betting line spread

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (58-43) and Chicago Cubs (49-54) close out a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Wrigley Field is set for 2:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Milwaukee leads 7-5

Milwaukee escaped with a 1-0 win Tuesday as a -104 pick-’em with the Under (8.5) cashing for a 2nd game in a row. 2B Brice Turang drove in Milwaukee’s only run with an RBI single that scored 1B Jake Bauers in the top of the 8th.

Five Brewers pitchers combined to shut out the Cubs with RP Elvis Peguero (6-3) picking up the win after working just 1 inning — the bottom of the 7th. Cub SP Jameson Taillon (7-5) was straddled with the loss despite allowing just 1 run on 4 hits and 3 walks with 3 K’s in 7 1/3 innings.

The Cubs took Tuesday’s opener 3-1, so Wednesday will be the rubber match. Chicago is 2-3 since the All-Star break, while Milwaukee is 3-1.

Brewers at Cubs projected starters

TBD vs. LHP Justin Steele

The Brewers haven’t named a starter at the time of this publishing.

Steele (2-4, 3.07 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 91 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-2 home setback vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Friday
  • Career vs. Brewers: 2-2, 2.21 ERA (73 1/3 IP, 18 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 across 13 starts and 2 relief appearances
  • 2024 vs. Brewers: 0-0, 2.08 ERA (13 IP, 3 ER), 10 H, 1 BB, 13 K in 2 starts

Brewers at Cubs odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:09 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Cubs -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-188) | Cubs -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Brewers at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Cubs 1

Moneyline

LEAN BREWERS (+120).

Milwaukee is 4-1 in its last 5 on the road, while the Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 at home.

The Brewers are 5-2 in the last 7 head-to-head matchups vs. the Cubs.

This is a lean because Chicago is 3-2 at Wrigley vs. Milwaukee this season. Both teams are 5-5 in their last 10 overall.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Brewers to cover as +1.5 (-188) underdogs, but the juice is too heavy to risk betting on. Bet on the moneyline and/or Over/Under instead.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-110).

The Under has hit in each of Chicago’s last 8 home games and is 7-3 in its last 10 games overall. The Under is also 56-43-4 for the Cubs this season.

The Under has hit in 3 straight Milwaukee-Chicago games at Wrigley and is 4-1 in the last 5 head-to-head games there in 2024.

However, the Over is 7-4 in Milwaukee’s last 11 games overall. Plus, the Brewers are the 3rd-best Over team in the majors at 54-41-6.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (57-43) visit the Chicago Cubs (49-53) on Tuesday. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 6-5

The Brewers had a 3-game winning streak snapped with a 3-1 loss against the Cubs on Monday while failing to cover as -114 road favorites. SS Willy Adames had Milwaukee’s only RBI with a HR while RHP Tobias Myers allowed 2 ER in 5 1/3 IP to take the loss.

The Cubs covered Monday as +105 home underdogs and have won back-to-back games. LF Ian Happ homered and LHP Drew Smyly (0 ER in 1 2/3 IP) was the winner.

Brewers at Cubs projected starters

RHP Colin Rea vs. RHP Jameson Taillon

Rea (9-3, 3.77 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 2.66 BB/9 and 6.51 K/9 in 105 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 9-3 win against Washington Nationals on July 14
  • Career vs. Cubs: 1-0, 3.05 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 17 H, 7 BB, 22 K in 4 starts
  • Last start vs. Cubs: Win, 5 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 2 B, 8 K on June 28

Taillon (7-4, 3.10 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 1.74 BB/9 and 7.26 K/9 in 93 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 8-3 win at St. Louis Cardinals on July 14
  • Career vs. Brewers: 4-8, 3.29 ERA (90 1/3 IP, 33 ER), 89 H, 18 BB, 85 K in 16 starts
  • Last start vs. Brewers: Loss, 6 IP, 4 H, 4 R (3 ER), 1 BB, 5 K on June 28

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Brewers at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:49 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+155) | Cubs +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Brewers at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Cubs 3

Moneyline

BET BREWERS (-105).

Milwaukee has won 3 of its last 4 games and has scored 8 or more runs in each of the wins. At 9-3, Rea has been one of the team’s best starters which will give the Brewers the advantage against a Cubs squad that has scored 3 runs or fewer in each of its last 4 games. The Cubs have lost 2 of their last 4 and 4 of their last 7.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline has better value in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).

While the Brewers have hit the Over in 7 of their last 10 games, the Cubs have hit the Under in 7 of their last 10. Chicago has scored 4 runs or fewer in 7 of its last 10 games including 3 runs or fewer in each of its last 4 while allowing 3 runs or fewer in 7 of its last 10 including each of its last 3.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (57-42) and Chicago Cubs (48-53) begin a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Wrigley Field is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 6-4

Both teams are coming off close wins.

The Brewers escaped Minneapolis with an 8-7 win as +143 underdogs at the Minnesota Twins Sunday with the Over (7) hitting. They pulled out the win despite a 2-run 9th inning by Minnesota. LF Jackson Chourio and C Eric Haase — Milwaukee’s 8 and 9 hitters, respectively — each had 3 RBIs.

The Cubs won 2-1 in 10 innings as -126 home favorites vs. the Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday as the Under (7) easily cashed. Chicago was trailing 1-0 entering the bottom of the 9th before DH Seiya Suzuki hit a game-tying RBI single. Cubs 2B Nico Hoerner, who scored in the 9th, walked with the bases loaded in the 10th to help Chicago avoid a 3-game sweep.

Brewers at Cubs projected starters

RHP Tobias Myers vs. RHP Javier Assad

Myers (6-3, 3.13 ERA) makes his 14th start and 15th appearance. The rookie has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 72 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 8 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 9-0 home victory against Pittsburgh Pirates July 10
  • 2024 road splits: 4-3, 2.56 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.11 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance
  • Careers vs. Cubs: 0-1, 7.00 ERA (9 IP, 7 ER), 1.78 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 in 2 starts

Assad (4-3, 3.27 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 85 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 0 K in 5-4 road loss vs. St. Louis Cardinals July 13
  • 2024 home splits: 2-1, 2.38 ERA (41 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.32 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Careers vs. Brewers: 1-1, 3.00 ERA (9 IP, 3 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 1 start and 2 relief appearances

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Brewers at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:43 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Cubs +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+140) | Cubs +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Brewers at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 4, Cubs 3

Moneyline

MILWAUKEE (-120) posts the 4th-best record in MLB against divisional opponents at 21-12 (63.6%). Plus, it is 28-25 (52.8%) on the road, good for 8th in the majors.

LEAN BREWERS (-120).

Run line/Against the spread

The Brewers are just 6-14 on the run line as road favorites, and picking the Cubs at -165 is too juicy. I would PASS and stick with the moneyline.

Over/Under

Milwaukee has hit the Over at the highest rate in MLB this season, going 54-39-6 (58.1%) O/U. However, the main driver behind that number is the Brewers’ 27-15-4 (64.3%) Over record at home.

The Cubs are 33-23-2 (58.9%) to the Under as underdogs and 10-6 as home dogs.

Both pitchers have a sub-3.00 ERA in their road/home splits, so runs should be tough to come by.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (20-12) and Chicago Cubs (20-14) wrap up a 3-game series at Wrigley Field Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Cubs won 6-5 as -132 favorites in the 2nd game of the series Saturday with the Over (8.5) hitting in Chicago. Cubs 2B Nico Hoerner, 3B Christopher Morel, and RF Patrick Wisdom each hit a HR as the Cubs snapped a 2-game skid.

The Brewers have won 3 of their last 4 games. Milwaukee has been averaging 5.8 runs per game over that span while allowing 2.5.

Brewers at Cubs projected starters

RHP Freddy Peralta vs. RHP Javier Assad

Peralta (3-0, 3.21 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.86 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 in 33 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 8-2 home victory vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tuesday
  • Career vs. Cubs: 5-1, 3.34 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.15 WHIP in 10 starts and 5 relief appearances

Assad (2-0, 1.97 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 32 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 4-2 loss at New York Mets Tuesday
  • Career vs. Brewers: 0-1, 9.00 ERA (3 IP, 3 ER), 1.67 WHIP in 2 relief appearances

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Brewers at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:33 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Cubs +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+150) | Cubs +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Brewers at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 3, Cubs 2

Moneyline

The BREWERS (-125) should win with Peralta on the mound, as he’s allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 4 of his 6 starts this season. The Brewers were on a 3-game winning streak before Saturday’s loss and should pick up where they left off after losing by just 1 run last time out.

BET BREWERS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

Taking the Brewers to win by multiple runs after losing last time out seems aggressive, and the Cubs +1.5 (-185) are a little expensive.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

Assad has allowed 1 ER or fewer in 3 straight games, and Peralta has allowed 3 or more ER just twice this season. This total is too low to bet the Under, but it’s definitely worth playing if you can find it at 7.

LEAN UNDER 6.5 (-115).

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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (74-57) and Chicago Cubs (69-62) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Tuesday at Wrigley Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 5-3

The Brewers won 6-2 as +117 underdogs in the series opener. LF Christian Yelich and DH Mark Canha both homered in Milwaukee’s 4-run 1st inning as the Brewers won their 9th straight game. Milwaukee owns a 5-game lead over the 2nd-place Cubs in the NL Central.

The Cubs are 8-4 in their last 12 outings and have not lost back-to-back games since a 2-game skid from Aug. 13-15.

Brewers at Cubs projected starters

RHP Corbin Burnes vs. LHP Justin Steele

Burnes (9-6, 3.65 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 in 158 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 8-7 home victory in 10 innings vs. Minnesota Twins Wednesday
  • 2023 road stats: 5-3, 3.08 ERA (87 2/3 IP, 30 ER) in 14 starts
  • 2023 vs. Cubs: Loss, 5 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 1 start, a 4-0 road loss March 30 (Opening Day)
  • Career vs. Cubs: 2-3, 3.48 ERA (62 IP, 24 ER) in 9 starts and 6 relief appearances

Steele (14-3, 2.80 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 138 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 R (2 ER), 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 5-4 victory in 10 innings at Pittsburgh Pirates Thursday
  • 2023 home stats: 10-2, 2.65 ERA (78 IP, 23 ER) in 14 starts
  • 2023 vs. Brewers: 0-0, 2.25 ERA (12 IP, 3 ER) in 2 starts — Most recent: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 ER, 9 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-3 road victory July 5
  • Career vs. Brewers: 1-2, 2.48 ERA (54 1/3 IP, 15 ER) in 10 starts and 2 relief appearances

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Brewers at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:24 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Cubs -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-200) | Cubs -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Brewers at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 4, Brewers 3

Moneyline

The CUBS (-135) should end Milwaukee’s 9-game win streak with Steele on the mound Tuesday. The Cubs have won in 11 of Steele’s last 12 starts, and the left-hander has allowed 3 or fewer ER in 13 straight outings.

It’s unlikely that the Brewers will win a 4th straight game at Wrigley, especially vs. 1 of the best starters in MLB this season.

BET CUBS (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

The Brewers have not lost a game by multiple runs since Aug. 16. While Milwaukee +1.5 (-200) will probably hit, there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Chicago ML is the better play.

PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.

Over/Under

After a dominant July (1.85 ERA across 6 starts), Burnes has allowed 5 or more ER in 2 of his 4 outings in August.

Steele is also having a down month, compared to the rest of his season. The left-hander has allowed a minimum of 2 ER in each of his 5 starts in August and has allowed 6 or more hits each time out.

While I like this game to land on 7 on the dot, I would lean more toward the Over if I were forced to bet it.

LEAN OVER 7 (-105).

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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (73-57) travel to Wrigley Field to begin a 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs (69-61) on Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Brewers lead 4-3

The Brewers defeated the San Diego Padres 10-6 on Sunday, extending their winning streak to 8 games. With Milwaukee’s recent stretch of success, it leads Chicago by 4 games atop the NL Central.

The Cubs secured a 10-1 victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving them 7 wins in their last 10 contests. Besides being only 4 games back of Milwaukee, Chicago holds the 2nd Wild-Card spot in the NL.

Brewers at Cubs projected starters

LHP Wade Miley vs. RHP Jameson Taillon

Miley (6-3, 3.18 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 87 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in a 7-3 home win against the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday
  • Road stats: 2-2, 3.03 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 13 ER) in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Cubs: 9-4, 4.01 ERA (101 IP, 45 ER) in 17 starts

Taillon (7-8, 5.60 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 115 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in a 6-4 road win over the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday
  • Home stats: 3-5, 5.85 ERA (60 IP, 39 ER) in 12 starts
  • Career vs. Brewers: 3-6, 3.75 ERA (62 1/3 IP, 26 ER) in 12 starts

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Brewers at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:28 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Cubs -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-190) | Cubs -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Brewers at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Brewers 6, Cubs 5

Moneyline

While the Cubs have looked solid recently, I’ll back the BREWERS (+105) on the road as they look to win their 9th straight. Miley has been slightly better on the road this season, while Taillon has performed worse at home.

Run line/Against the spread

Even though I have the Brewers defeating the Cubs outright, I’ll PASS on their run line in this divisional bout. Wagering on Milwaukee’s spread at nearly -200 odds isn’t advised.

Over/Under

OVER 9 (+100) is the play in this game as Miley doesn’t miss many bats and Taillon has struggled all season. The Brewers have tallied at least 5 runs in 8 consecutive games, while the Cubs have produced at least 5 runs in 7 of their last 9.

The Over is also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings this season.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs kick off their 2023 seasons with a Thursday matchup at Wrigley Field. First pitch is set for 2:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First of 13 meetings in 2023; Cubs took the 2022 season series 10-9.

The Brewers finished 2022 in 2nd place in the NL Central at 86-76 and missed the playoffs after finishing 95-67 in 2021 and 1st in division. Chicago was 74-88 last season and 3rd in the NL Central. They were 71-91 and 4th in 2021.

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Brewers at Cubs projected starters

RHP Corbin Burnes vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Burnes went 12-8 last year with a 2.94 ERA. He posted a 0.965 WHIP and 2.27 BB/9 with 10.83 K/9 in 202 IP.

  • In 15 road starts last year he went 5-4 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.018 WHIP
  • Was 1-0 in his 4 March/April games last season, posting a 1.75 ERA and 0.740 WHIP

Stroman went 6-7 last season with a 3.50 ERA. He also clocked a 1.147 WHIP with 2.34 BB/9 and 7.72 K/9 in 138.2 IP.

  • Went 0-3 in his 4 March/April starts with a 6.98 ERA and 1.448 WHIP
  • In 12 home starts in 2022 he went 3-5 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.321 WHIP

Brewers at Cubs odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:04 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers -140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Cubs +120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+120) | Cubs +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -125 | U: -102)

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Brewers at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 5, Brewers 4

Moneyline

LEAN CUBS +120.

The Cubs, despite being the home underdog, have a very good chance of winning this game. Chicago won its last 6 home games last season. The Brewers do seem to be starting a stronger pitcher, but Milwaukee is also only 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago, making the Cubs the safer lean here, especially at plus-money.

Run line/Against the spread

BET CUBS +1.5 (-140).

Whether the Cubs win or lose they should be able to keep this game within 1 run. The Brewers are the slightly better team, but 6 of the last 10 meetings were within 2 runs, with Chicago winning 5 of those games.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 7 (-125).

The Over/Under is 4-5-1 in the last 10 meetings and 15-7-3 in the last 25 meetings overall. The Over is 8-2-3 in the last 13 meetings in Chicago.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (32-18) meet the Chicago Cubs (19-29) Tuesday at Wrigley Field for the 3rd game of a 4-game series. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Milwaukee swept Monday’s series-opening doubleheader by a combined score of 10-7 – 7-6 in the opener and 3-1 in the nightcap.

Chicago has lost 3 straight and is 4-6 in its last 10 games, while Milwaukee is on a 3-game winning streak and 6-4 in its last 10.

Season series: Brewers lead 5-3 with a 10-run differential

Brewers at Cubs projected starters

LHP Eric Lauer vs. LHP Justin Steele

Lauer is 5-1 with a 2.31 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.6 K/9 in 46 2/3 IP over 8 starts.

  • Last start: 4-3 road win at the St. Louis Cardinals Thursday with 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 4 BB and 1 K.
  • 2022 vs. the Cubs: One start – a 9-1 home win April 30 – with 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 HR, 1 BB and 11 K.

Steele is 1-5 with a 5.40 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 35 IP across 9 starts.

  • Last start: Loss, 2 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 2 K in 20-5 shellacking at Cincinnati Reds Thursday.
  • 2022 vs. the Brewers: 1-1, 2.25 ERA (8 IP, 2 ER), 11 H, 2 BB, 9 K in 2 starts.

Brewers at Cubs odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:09 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Brewers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Cubs +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+115) | Cubs +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

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Brewers at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 5, Brewers 3

Money line

LEAN to the CUBS (+115) only because I prefer Chicago’s RL.

There’s a suspicious line freeze in the betting market, Milwaukee’s lineup struggles both on the road and vs. left-handed pitching and Chicago’s bullpen is sneaky good.

More than 70% of the cash is on the Brewers (-140), according to Pregame.com, but that line hasn’t budged off the opener. It appears as though the oddsmakers are enticing more pro-Milwaukee action.

The Brewers are 8-9 vs. lefty starters and rank 26th in wRC+, 22nd in wOBA and 18th in BB/K rate against lefties, per FanGraphs. Milwaukee’s lineup is 21st in wRC+ and 17th in both wOBA and BB/K rate on the road.

Finally, Milwaukee’s pitching staff is one of the best in MLB, but Chicago’s bullpen is 1st in xFIP and 2nd in K/BB rate, according to FanGraphs.

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Run line/Against the spread

BET CUBS +1.5 (-140) based on the previous analysis and because the Brewers -1.5 (+115) are 7-15 RL as road favorites, while the Cubs are 22-11 RL as underdogs.

Since Chicago’s RL is a tad pricey, RISK 1 unit on CUBS +1.5 (-140) instead of betting to win 1 unit. If your standard wager is $100 then bet that on Chicago’s RL to earn a $71.43 profit (some sportsbooks will round off).

Over/Under

PASS. 

I “lean” Under 9.5 (-120) because of the strength of both bullpens, Milwaukee’s futility vs. left-handed pitching and on the road.

However, the trends point to a high-scoring affair and Wrigley Field is 2nd in park factor, meaning it’s extremely hitter-friendly.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

After taking the first three games of the road series, the Milwaukee Brewers (69-46) seek to complete the four-game sweep against the Chicago Cubs (52-64) Thursday afternoon. First pitch for the finale is at 2:20 p.m. ET at Wrigley Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Brewers RHP Brandon Woodruff (7-6, 2.23 ERA) makes his 23rd start of the season. He has a league-best 0.89 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 137 1/3 IP.

  • Woodruff has not won a decision since June 29, and the Brewers have lost five of his last six starts. The Milwaukee offense has scored just two runs or less in four of those games.
  • This will be his fifth start of the year against the Cubs. The Brewers are 3-1 in his previous four starts against them. Woodruff is 2-0 with a 0.72 ERA over 25 innings against them.

Cubs RHP Kyle Hendricks (13-4, 3.68 ERA) makes his 24th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 134 2/3 IP.

  • Hendricks leads the league in both wins and hits allowed.
  • He has won 11 straight decisions. The last time he picked up a loss was May 9. That said, the Cubs are 4-4 in his last eight starts.

Brewers at Cubs odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Cubs +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (-135) | Cubs +1.5 (+110)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +105 | U: -130)

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Prediction

Brewers 4, Cubs 3

Money line (ML)

The Brewers have won all three games of the series so far outscoring the Cubs 20-5, and they have won 12 of 15 against them this season. The Brewers are 11-4 in their last 15 games overall.

The Cubs have lost their last seven games overall and 13 of their last 15 games. They have lost nine in a row at Wrigley Field.

Of all the pitchers to have on the mound to end the streak, Hendricks is the guy, but Woodruff has been too good against the Cubs.

Take the BREWERS (-220).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Brewers are 65-50 ATS overall this season, the second-best mark in all of baseball, and they are a league-best 38-18 ATS on the road. In their 12 wins over the Cubs this season, they have failed to cover the spread only once.

The Cubs are 61-55 ATS overall but 26-32 ATS at home. They have failed to cover the spread in their last six games. It is the longest stretch they have gone all season without covering.

Take the CUBS +1.5 (+110).

Over/Under (O/U)

Only four of 12 games between the two teams this season have finished with totals of 10 or more runs.

50% of games at Wrigley Field this season have hit the Over.

Only three of the Brewers’ last 11 games finished with 10 runs or more.

Only four of Hendricks’ last 14 starts and only two of Woodruff’s last nine finished with 10 or more runs.

Take UNDER 9.5 (-130).

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Milwaukee Brewers (66-46) travel to the Windy City to start a four-game series with the Chicago Cubs (52-61) at Wrigley Field Monday. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Milwaukee lost the rubber match of a three-game set against the San Francisco Giants Sunday but is 6-4 over its last 10 games and 13-7 in the previous 20.

Chicago was swept in an interleague set against the crosstown rival Chicago White Sox this past weekend and is just 6-14 over its last 20 games.

Season series: Brewers lead 9-3.

RHP Freddy Peralta is Milwaukee’s projected starter. He is 8-3 with a 2.21 ERA (114 IP, 28 ER), 0.90 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 through 20 starts and one relief appearance.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 9 K in Milwaukee’s 4-2 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates Wednesday.
  • Peralta is 2-0 this season against Chicago with a 2.14 ERA (21 IP, 5 ER), 1.00 WHIP and 3.0 K/BB rate over four starts.
    • vs. Cubs on the current roster (46 PA): 2.31 FIP with a .146 batting average (BA), .222 wOBA, .269 expected slugging percentage (xSLG), 41.3 K% and 86.9 mph exit velocity (EV).

RHP Alec Mills is on the mound for the Cubs. He is 5-4 with a 4.41 ERA (69 1/3 IP, 34 ER), 1.44 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 10 starts and 12 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: Win, 3-2, with 6 IP, 2 ER, 8 H, 2 BB and 3 K at the Colorado Rockies Wednesday.
  • Mills is 0-0 against Milwaukee this season with 3 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 1 K in one start and three relief outings spanning 8 1/3 IP.
    • vs. Brewers on the current roster (45 PA): 6.11 FIP with a .214 BA, .315 wOBA, .431 xSLG, 11.1 K% and 85.7 mph EV.

Brewers at Cubs odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Brewers -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Cubs +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (-120) | Cubs +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Prediction

Brewers 4, Cubs 1

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” toward the Brewers (-200) because Milwaukee is the right side but a little too pricey in this spot.

Peralta is low-key putting up a Cy Young caliber season. He grades in the 85th percentile or better in hard-hit rate and EV, 96th percentile in expected wOBA, 97th percentile in xSLG and 94th percentile in K%.

Peralta’s numbers don’t dip much on the road, either. He has a 2.51 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP and a .573 OPS allowed as a visitor.

I wouldn’t hate risking 1 unit on the Brewers (-200), as in if your typical bet is $100 then wager that on Milwaukee’s money line to earn a $50 profit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the BREWERS -1.5 (-120) for 1 unit because Milwaukee has the third-best cover rate in divisional matchups at 31-19 ATS.

More importantly, the Cubs have flipped their season into “tank mode” and had a fire sale of assets around the trade deadline. I’m in favor of fading Chicago against a Milwaukee team trending in the other direction.

Since the deadline, the Cubs’ lineup is in the bottom-six of WAR, wRC+, wOBA and hard-hit rate. Also, Chicago’s bullpen is 0-3 with the highest home run per nine-inning rate and the second-worst FIP in MLB over that span.

Over/Under (O/U)

TAKE the UNDER 8.5 (+105) because Milwaukee’s lineup ranks right around Chicago’s in most hitting categories this month and averages fewer than 4 runs per game at Wrigley Field this year.

Furthermore, Mills has the fifth-highest contact rate of any pitcher with a minimum of 60 IP but the Brew Crew’s lineup is below-average in hard-contact and barrel rates so I feel good about Mills’ chances of having a quality start.

On top of that, if Peralta gets roughed up or isn’t dialed in then Milwaukee can resort to its awesome bullpen that ranks sixth in SIERA, ninth in xFIP and sixth in K-BB%.

For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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