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The Milwaukee Brewers (20-12) and Chicago Cubs (20-14) wrap up a 3-game series at Wrigley Field Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Cubs won 6-5 as -132 favorites in the 2nd game of the series Saturday with the Over (8.5) hitting in Chicago. Cubs 2B Nico Hoerner, 3B Christopher Morel, and RF Patrick Wisdom each hit a HR as the Cubs snapped a 2-game skid.
The Brewers have won 3 of their last 4 games. Milwaukee has been averaging 5.8 runs per game over that span while allowing 2.5.
Brewers at Cubs projected starters
RHP Freddy Peralta vs. RHP Javier Assad
Peralta (3-0, 3.21 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 0.86 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 12.0 K/9 in 33 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 7 K in 8-2 home victory vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tuesday
- Career vs. Cubs: 5-1, 3.34 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 22 ER), 1.15 WHIP in 10 starts and 5 relief appearances
Assad (2-0, 1.97 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 32 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 4-2 loss at New York Mets Tuesday
- Career vs. Brewers: 0-1, 9.00 ERA (3 IP, 3 ER), 1.67 WHIP in 2 relief appearances
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Brewers at Cubs odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Cubs +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers -1.5 (+150) | Cubs +1.5 (-185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Brewers at Cubs picks and predictions
Prediction
Brewers 3, Cubs 2
Moneyline
The BREWERS (-125) should win with Peralta on the mound, as he’s allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 4 of his 6 starts this season. The Brewers were on a 3-game winning streak before Saturday’s loss and should pick up where they left off after losing by just 1 run last time out.
BET BREWERS (-125).
Run line/Against the spread
Taking the Brewers to win by multiple runs after losing last time out seems aggressive, and the Cubs +1.5 (-185) are a little expensive.
PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.
Over/Under
Assad has allowed 1 ER or fewer in 3 straight games, and Peralta has allowed 3 or more ER just twice this season. This total is too low to bet the Under, but it’s definitely worth playing if you can find it at 7.
LEAN UNDER 6.5 (-115).
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