The Milwaukee Brewers (43-39) play the 2nd game of their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-42) Saturday. First pitch from PNC Park is at 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Pirates odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Brewers lead 3-1
The Brewers lost the series opener 8-7 on Friday. The loss snapped a small 2-game win streak. They are 5-3 on this current road trip and 9-5 in their last 14 games overall.
The Pirates are riding a 4-game win streak and have won 5 straight at home. They are 5-2 since their 10-game losing streak from June 13-22.
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Brewers at Pirates projected starters
RHP Corbin Burnes vs. RHP Johan Oviedo
Burnes (5-5, 4.10 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.19 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 94 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 5-4 road win in extra innings vs. Cleveland Guardians Sunday
- 0-1 with 7.56 ERA over last 3 starts (16 2/3 IP)
Oviedo (3-8, 4.06 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 88 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 2-0 road loss vs. Miami Marlins Sunday
- Pirates have lost his last 4 starts despite his 3.42 ERA in that span (23 2/3 IP)
Brewers at Pirates odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:18 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Brewers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Pirates +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers 1.5 (+125) | Pirates +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Brewers at Pirates picks and predictions
Prediction
Pirates 6, Brewers 4
Moneyline
The Pirates are playing well, having won 4 in a row overall, 5 out of their last 7, and 5 in a row at home. Oviedo has pitched well this month. The team was 1-4 in his 5 June starts, but he had a 3.23 ERA in 30 2/3 innings last month.
The Brewers have not suffered consecutive losses since losing 6 straight between June 8-14.
Burnes has a 7.56 ERA over his last 3 outings.
BET PIRATES (+115).
Run line/Against the spread
The Brewers are 36-46 ATS overall this season and the Pirates are 40-41 ATS overall.
The Brewers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as favorites and lost 4 of those games outright.
Betting the Pirates at -150 to cover isn’t a bad bet, but with how Oviedo and Burnes have been pitching and how they have been playing at home recently, it is better to ride the Bucs on the moneyline to win outright.
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Over/Under
The Pirates’ last 4 games and 11 of their last 17 overall have had at least 8 total runs.
Six of the Brewers’ last 11 have had at least 8 runs.
Two of their 4 meetings this season have surpassed 8 total runs.
BET OVER 8 (-115).
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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