Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels college basketball odds, picks and best bets

Analyzing Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks and tips.

The Duke Blue Devils (19-3) head to Chapel Hill to play their longtime rival, the North Carolina Tar Heels (10-12), in the Dean E. Smith Center at 6:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Duke-North Carolina odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.

Duke at North Carolina: Three things you need to know

  1. Duke versus North Carolina is one of college basketball’s most storied rivalries. Today will be the 250th meeting between the two schools and the Tar Heels lead the Blue Devils in the all-time series, 138-111.
  2. This North Carolina team is on pace to be the worst Tar Heel team of the Roy Williams era. The Tar Heels have made the NCAA Tournament in 16 of Williams’ 17 seasons at the helm and have never finished below .500.
  3. The Blue Devils come into today’s game on a four-game winning streak after taking back-to-back losses to the Louisville Cardinals and Clemson Tigers. Their star freshman center, Vernon Carey Jr., averaged 20 points and 11.5 rebounds per game in those four wins.

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Duke at North Carolina: Odds, betting lines and picks

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.

Prediction

UNC 73, Duke 70

Moneyline (ML)

This is a fringe play, but let’s SPRINKLE A SMALL WAGER ON NORTH CAROLINA +280 on the money line. From a recruiting standpoint, Duke does have a talent advantage: The Blue Devils have eight RSCI top-100 recruits compared to the Tar Heels’ five top-100 recruits. But North Carolina has the most prized recruit out of the two teams in PG Cole Anthony, who should be a top-5 pick in this summer’s NBA Draft. Between he and PF Garrison Brooks—who’s averaging 14.9 points and nine rebounds per game make him a difficult matchup for Duke’s Carey Jr.—the Tar Heels have real money line value in the Smith Center. 

Against the Spread (ATS)

Betting trends are in favor of BETTING NORTH CAROLINA +8 (-115). First, the Tar Heels are 5-1 against the spread in their last six meetings versus Duke. Second, North Carolina is 4-3 ATS on the road against above .500 teams and 1-0 ATS when getting 7.5-9.5 points. Since 2015, North Carolina’s ACC conference game ATS record is better than Duke’s—the Tar Heels are 52-42-2 ATS, while the Blue Devils are 44-50-2 ATS against ACC competition.

Over/Under (O/U)

We are on the UNDER 150.5 (-115) in North Carolina-Duke. The Under correlates with our Tar Heels money line and ATS picks because they have the most Unders in the ACC with a 7-14-1 Over/Under record. Also, the last six North Carolina-Duke games have gone Under. 

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WATCH: Duke’s Coach K apologizes after yelling at Cameron Crazies to ‘shut up’

Coach K went off on Duke students over a chant about Jeff Capel.

Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski is apologetic following the No. 9 Blue Devils’ 79-67 win versus Pittsburgh. The Hall of Fame coach interrupted the Cameron Crazies’ “sit with us,” chant during the first half of Tuesday night’s game.

Krzyzewski crossed the court from Duke’s (17-3, 7-2 ACC) bench and yelling at the young fans to “Shut up.” The crazies were cheering at Pitt head coach Jeff Capel, who played at Duke and was an assistant on Krzyzewski’s staff for seven seasons before leaving Durham for the Panthers’ head job in 2018. It’s routine for the Duke student section to invite former players (or even committed high school players) to their side of the court to “sit with us.” But, it turns out Coach K couldn’t quite hear anything other than Capel’s name.

“I don’t know if I made a mistake on that, but I’ve never heard another coach’s name yelled out in the middle of the first half when we’re in a war with the team,” Krzyzewski said postgame. “I don’t know if they were saying, ‘Come sit with me.’ We got a different look at what the hell was going on. I thought it was something personal…. I apologize to the students for that.”

Krzyzewski emphasized that more than anything, he wanted the students to understand Capel is one of Duke’s own and added that once he heard the name in the middle of the game, he didn’t exactly waltz over and ask what exactly was being said.

The Duke coach offered up a solution that included cheering for the Blue Devils, saying “Leave the other guy alone.”

The Crazies without taunting? Feels like that goes a bit against their reputation.

Duke’s Coach K apologizes after yelling at Cameron Crazies to ‘shut up,’ for chanting at Pitt coach

Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski is apologetic following the No. 9 Blue Devils’ 79-67 win versus Pittsburgh. The Hall of Fame coach interrupted the Cameron Crazies’ “Sit with us,” chant during the first half of Tuesday night’s game.

Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski is apologetic following the No. 9 Blue Devils’ 79-67 win versus Pittsburgh. The Hall of Fame coach interrupted the Cameron Crazies’ “Sit with us,” chant during the first half of Tuesday night’s game.

Jeff Capel had no problem with the Cameron Crazies chant that infuriated Coach K

Capel responded on Twitter.

Jeff Capel is a Duke legend.

He was beloved a player and was a Blue Devils assistant starting  in 2011 until he was hired by Pittsburgh to be the Panthers’ head coach in 2018.

So you could understand why Duke’s die-hard fan section, the Cameron Crazies, would target Capel with a cheer during Tuesday’s game, a chant — “Jeff Capel, sit with us” — that was all in good fun.

You could also understand why Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski might misinterpret that chant as taking a shot at a Duke legend, which is why Coach K went off, screaming at the Crazies to “shut up!!!”

Krzyzewski apologized, thinking the chant was personal and suggested other chants:

Capel later tweeted he took “no offense” and retweeted a note a Duke fan had snapped from the “dirt sheet” that the student section gets to taunt opponents, which said “nothing bad to say here, love you Capel”:

It was all a big misunderstanding.

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Duke’s new alternate jerseys are so good

These are the best jerseys in college basketball.

It’s hard to make a good alternate jersey. Sometimes they can lean too hard into certain themes. Other times they aren’t doing enough. And, more often than not, they commemorate something that doesn’t really matter — just look at the NBA’s City Jerseys.

But this new Duke alternate jersey is so incredibly good. It’s perfection. This is exactly what an alternate jersey is supposed to look like.

They dropped these new “Brotherhood” jerseys in commemoration of the four decades head coach Mike Krzyzewski has been with the program.

They’re jaw dropping. Everything from the navy blue color to the gothic “Duke” font and the subtle “brotherhood” on the shorts. They’ve got it all.

The school revealed their new jerseys on Twitter in a video ahead of their game against Wake Forest on Saturday night.

I only have two comments here. The first one is that Duke doesn’t deserve these jerseys. They’re too good for a program that is so easily hateable.

The second one: Zion Williamson deserved to wear this jersey last year and we deserve to see him in it. We need to demand that the Pelicans, a squad loaded with Duke players, wear these when he finally returns to the team.

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College basketball fans had jokes about Coach K’s final play design in loss to Stephen F. Austin

The whiteboard showed a messy design for the final play.

Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski clearly had a vision of how the Blue Devils’ final play would go against Stephen F. Austin on Tuesday night. But it’s fair to say that play did not go as Coach K planned. And perhaps that because it looked like a little messy when he drew it up during the final timeout.

The broadcast showed the coach’s play design on his whiteboard during the final stoppage of the game. It was, of course, designed for what would be Duke’s final and failed possession. Duke couldn’t even get off a shot. The Blue Devils turned over a pass to the paint with roughly six seconds remaining. Stephen F. Austin recovered the errant pass, and ran the ball in transition for a buzzer-beating layup and the 85-83 win.

Here’s a look at what the play looked like in real life.

And here’s how Coach K drew it up.

Krzyzewski gave credit to Stephen F. Austin during a postgame interview at Cameron Indoor Stadium, via The Duke Chronicle:

“We were not good, and [Stephen F. Austin] made us that way. This isn’t just about us not showing up or whatever. They played really well. Sometimes when I’m talking about what we didn’t do, I don’t want to disrespect their performance. Their performance was outstanding and they deserve recognition for that, not that we didn’t do something. They did it to us. They made us look bad.”

They did, indeed.

Because of the messy appearance of the play, NCAA basketball fans didn’t hold punches for Krzyzewski.

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