Miami Dolphins tight end Mike Gesicki has displayed consistent improvement in his 4 NFL seasons but has yet to make the jump to the next level of tight ends — something the Miami coaching staff thinks will change with a new-look offense.
Below we look at Mike Gesicki‘s 2022 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.
Gesicki has improved in production in every season, both in receptions (22-51-53-73) and receiving yards (202-570-703-780). With expectations high for Miami’s offense this season, Gesicki is expected to once again push the envelope and continue improving his numbers.
Mike Gesicki’s ADP: 112.89
(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)
Despite being viewed as a low-end TE1 or very high-end TE2, his ADP lands him in the 10th to 12th round of drafts (depending on league size). In most drafts, Gesicki has been landing as the 11th or 12th TE coming off draft boards.
After the run on the elite tight ends has ended, the next group of TEs are going approximately 1 per round. Gesicki finds himself behind Zach Ertz (Arizona Cardinals) with an ADP at 99.50 and Dawson Knox (Buffalo Bills) at 104.45 and ahead of Pat Freiermuth (Pittsburgh Steelers) at 120.45 and Cole Kmet (Chicago Bears) at 128.75.
For those willing to hold off on getting their 1st tight end on draft day, the competition for players like Gesicki will drop because the analysis shows us that once the 1st run on tight ends slows down, owners won’t be double-dipping on the position that invested in early.
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Mike Gesicki’s 2021 stats
Games: 17
Receptions | targets: 73 | 112
Receiving yards: 780
Receiving touchdowns: 2
Where should you draft Gesicki?
Gesicki finds himself in an interesting spot when it comes to what his role will be in Miami’s offense. The arrival of WR Tyreek Hill opens up the deep passing game and pulls safeties out of the middle of the field. The volume of short passes caught by WR Jaylen Waddle forces defenders to move laterally to keep coverage on him and will give QB Tua Tagovailoa more viable options on every pass play.
The result of the skill set of Hill and Waddle is that there will be more plays that Gesicki will be locked 1-on-1 going down the seam with a linebacker in coverage. The mere presence of Hill is going to alter how defenses guard receivers and Gesicki will get more opportunities for big plays.
His lack of consistent scoring production is concerning (just 13 touchdowns in 64 career games), but it seems there is a clearly defined demarcation line associated with Gesicki — the clear TE1 players taken before him and the clear TE2 players taken after him. His value goes up the deeper into the draft you get.
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