Michigan State vs Rutgers Prediction Game Preview

Michigan State vs Rutgers game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 11 game on Saturday, November 12

Michigan State vs Rutgers prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 11, Saturday, November 12


Michigan State vs Rutgers How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 12
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI
How To Watch: BTN
Record: Michigan State (4-5), Rutgers (4-5)
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Michigan State vs Rutgers Game Preview

Why Rutgers Will Win

Can Rutgers start taking the ball away again?

The program hasn’t been great at doing anything amazing under Greg Schiano over the last few years if it’s not forcing a bunch of takeaways. In 2000, the season opened with a stunning Scarlet Knight win thanks to three Spartan turnovers.

Start there – Rutgers has to at least win the turnover margin – and there have to be a few crazy scores coming from somewhere. The defense has been decent enough, it’s good at getting off the field, and the special teams have been fine.

But …

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Why Michigan State Will Win

Rutgers can’t score.

The team has yet to get past 24 against any FBS team and the 24-17 win over Indiana was like an explosion considering it’s been a grind to get past 13 points.

That’s a problem, and now the run defense is starting to crash. Playing Minnesota and Michigan had something to do with that, and Michigan State isn’t running well, but this is when the ground game needs to grind.

It’s the first time in a month the Spartans get to go against a mediocre run D, and they should be able to get past four yards per carry for the first time since the loss to Maryland in early October.

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What’s Going To Happen

With wins over Wisconsin and Illinois over the last three weeks, the Spartans are now have a real shot to save the season with a bowl bid. Win this, beat Indiana, and there’s something positive to build on going into the regular season finale against Penn State.

They’re not doing anything easy, but they’re still playing hard, they’re playing better, and they’ll pull this off after a rough first half.

Rutgers will go up early and stall.

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Michigan State vs Rutgers Prediction, Line

Michigan State 27, Rutgers 16
Line: Michigan State -10.5, o/u: 40.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
Michigan State vs Rutgers Must See Rating (out of 5): 2.5
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Michigan State vs Rutgers Prediction, Game Preview

Michigan State vs Rutgers prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9

Michigan State vs Rutgers prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9


Michigan State vs Rutgers How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 9
Game Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: SHI Stadium, Piscataway, NJ
How To Watch: BTN
Record: Michigan State (5-0), Rutgers (3-2)
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Michigan State vs Rutgers Game Preview


Why Michigan State Will Win

The pass rush has been suffocating.

The Spartans are doing a whole slew of things right, but they’re hardly perfect. They’re able to make up for several problems by getting into the backfield on a regular basis with 18 sacks on the year and two or more in every game.

For all of the good things Rutgers is doing, the offensive line allows way too many plays behind the line for an offense that doesn’t have a whole lot of margin for error.

There isn’t much of a Scarlet Knight running game and the passing attack isn’t explosive enough to keep up if Michigan State can get out to an early start. But …

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Why Rutgers Will Win

Michigan State’s secondary is getting hit hard.

To be fair, Bailey Zappe and the WKU offense bomb away on everyone, but Miami’s D’Eriq King was able to throw well, Nebraska’s Adrian Martinez came up with a good day, and even Northwestern was able to crank up the passing game in the second half.

This might not be a high-octane Rutgers passing game, but Noah Vedral hasn’t been bad yardage-wise, throwing for over 200 yards in two of the last three games.

But with Rutgers, it comes down to the mistakes. At least before the 52-13 loss last week to Ohio State, the team has been air tight with just one giveaway over the first four games before turning it over three times against the Buckeyes. This is still one of the nation’s top teams in fewest penalties, and …

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What’s Going To Happen

Can the Scarlet Knights do that again?

It was the opener of the Greg Schiano era on one side, and the first game for Melvin Tucker on the other. Rutgers went to East Lansing and forced seven Michigan State takeaways in a stunning 38-27 win to kickoff the 2020 season.

Michigan State has only turned it over three times this season.

Under Tucker, the Spartans are now 7-1 when turning it over fewer than twice, and 0-4 when giving it up two or more times. Rutgers forced eight takeaways in the first two games and hasn’t come up with one over the last three.

As long as Michigan State is very, very careful, keeps things conservative, and manages to keep the Rutgers running game under wraps, it’ll be okay. It’ll be a grind, but the Spartans will be 6-0 for the first time since 2015.

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Michigan State vs Rutgers Prediction, Line

Michigan State 26, Rutgers 17
Line: Michigan State -5, o/u: 50
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2.5

Must See Rating: 3

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