ESPN’s FPI projection for Wisconsin’s contest vs. No. 3 Ohio State

Wisconsin enters Saturday’s contest vs. No. 3 Ohio State as 18.5-point underdogs:

The Wisconsin Badgers (2-1) enter Saturday’s road contest against the No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes (3-0) as 18.5-point underdogs in a David vs. Goliath matchup under the lights in Columbus, Ohio.

The Badgers, coming off a 66-7 victory over New Mexico State, looked sharp on offense after a lousy performance the week before; however, it was against one of the nation’s worst programs.

UW will need an efficient game from starting quarterback Graham Mertz and the offensive line to hold up in pass protection if they are going to have a chance against the Buckeyes, who are 37-4 under head coach Ryan Day and rarely lose at home.

Ahead of Saturday’s matchup, ESPN’s FPI model gives Wisconsin an 11% chance of winning on the road against the Buckeyes.

This projection is more than fair, considering Wisconsin hasn’t beaten Ohio State since 2010. Not to mention the talent disparity between the two programs, at least on paper.

For Wisconsin, I’d love to see the Badgers execute in the passing game and use it to open up the run – continuing the shift to a more balanced offensive approach under first-year OC Bobby Engram.

I have no expectations of Wisconsin winning this game. But playing the Buckeyes tough into the fourth quarter would undoubtedly inspire confidence in UW moving forward as they pursue a Big Ten West title.

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Report: Michigan vs. Ohio State is in serious jeopardy, which if true could create a Buckeye–Badger postseason contest

The Michigan Wolverines’ contest this weekend against the Maryland Terrapins was canceled earlier today due to COVID-19 cases…

The Michigan Wolverines‘ contest this weekend against the Maryland Terrapins was canceled earlier today due to COVID-19 cases within the Michigan football program.

As we saw with the Wisconsin Badgers earlier this season, COVID-19 outbreaks within a program are rarely a 1-week thing.

Why is this significant? Because on December 12 the Wolverines are scheduled to face off against the Ohio State Buckeyes, a team that has already seen two games canceled due to COVID-19 cases.

Related: Opinion: A Big Ten rule is close to taking away the remaining credibility of the 2020 season

According to Chris Balas, senior editor of Rivals’ TheWolverine, the situation at Michigan is not getting any better and the rivalry contest against Ohio State is in serious jeopardy.

If this were to come true, the Buckeyes would only have five regular-season games and would not qualify for the Big Ten Championship.

That then, if Wisconsin is able to defeat Indiana and Iowa to close out the regular season, would set up a Big Ten “Champions Week” matchup between the Badgers and the Buckeyes.

Going into the season, many predicted a postseason matchup between these two schools. The thought was that it would occur in the conference championship, though, and not as the second-place game.

Related: Five keys to a Wisconsin victory over Indiana on Saturday

Related: Team preview: Indiana Hoosiers

Wisconsin still, believe it or not, has a long-shot chance at making the College Football Playoff with ESPN FPI still giving them a 4 percent chance. For that to happen these reports must come true and the Badgers must face off and defeat the Buckeyes.

It’s a long shot, and if the Big Ten didn’t have a 6-game requirement to qualify for the conference championship we wouldn’t even be in this position. But that is the situation we’re in as the Big Ten season continues to unravel as it nears the finish line.