Tag: Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds odds predictions pick betting line spread

Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Marlins (59-56) and the Cincinnati Reds (60-56) wrap up a 3-game series Wednesday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET (MLB Network/ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 3-2

The Marlins won 3-2 on Tuesday at GABP, as Miami picked up a victory for just the 2nd time in 5 meetings with Cincinnati this season. The Under (10) cashed Tuesday and has connected in 3 straight meetings. The total has gone low in 5 of the past 6 games overall for Miami.

The Reds have dropped 7 of the past 8 games overall, slipping 1 1/2 games back of the 1st-place Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central. The Under has cashed in 6 straight games for Cincinnati.

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Marlins at Reds projected starters

RHP Johnny Cueto vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft

Cueto (0-3, 5.32 ERA) makes his 5th start and 6th overall appearance. He has a 0.96 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 22 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K in 4-2 home loss vs. Philadelphia Phillies Thursday
  • 2023 road splits: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (3 1/3 IP, 0 ER, 1 H), .100 opponent batting average (OBA) in 1 relief appearance

Ashcraft (6-7, 5.18 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 113 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 8 IP, 3 ER, 5 H (2 HR), 2 BB, 5 K in 6-3 home loss vs. Washington Nationals Friday
  • 2023 home splits: 3-6, 6.29 ERA (63 IP, 44 ER – 13 HR), .275 OBA in 12 starts

Marlins at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:41 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Reds -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-165) | Reds -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Marlins at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 5, Reds 3

Moneyline

The MARLINS (+110) are worth a look as short ‘dogs on the road.

Cueto, who spent his first 7-plus MLB season with the Reds, makes his first road start of the season in his old stomping grounds. He’ll face a skidding Cincinnati team that has dropped 7 of the past 8 games overall.

While the Reds are 4-3 in Ashcraft’s past 7 starts overall, he has posted a 3-6 record with a 6.29 ERA across 63 IP in 12 home outings and is 4-5 with a dismal 7.61 ERA with a .304 OBA across 47 1/3 IP over 10 daytime starts.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARLINS +1.5 (-165) aren’t super expensive if you can’t bring yourself to back them and Cueto straight up and want a little insurance instead.

There is some risk, as Miami is just 3-4 across the past 7 games as an underdog on the run line.

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Over/Under

UNDER 10 (-110) might be the best play on the board in this getaway day game.

The Under has cashed in each of the first 2 games in this series and is 7-2 across the past 9 games overall for the Marlins.

The Reds have averaged just 3.2 runs per game (RPG) across their past 6 outings, cashing the Under in each of those contests.

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Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Marlins (58-56) and Cincinnati Reds (60-55) square off Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game set. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 3-1 after a 5-2 victory Monday

The Marlins are still in the thick of the NL Wild Card race but haven’t helped their chances with their recent play. Miami has dropped its last 5 games and 7 of its last 8 to fall 1 1/2 games behind the Reds for the final playoff berth.

However, the Reds have been scuffling lately as well, and they have allowed Milwaukee to push past them in the NL Central. Cincinnati had lost 6 games in a row prior to Monday’s win.

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Marlins at Reds projected starters

LHP Braxton Garrett vs. RHP Luke Weaver

Garrett (5-3, 4.14 ERA) makes his 22nd start and 23rd appearance. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 111 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 9-8 win vs. Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
  • 2023 road stats: 3-1, 2.65 ERA and 9.5 K/9 in 51 IP across 10 starts
  • Career vs. Reds: 0-2, 4.60 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 8 ER) with a 15.5 K/9 in 3 starts

Weaver (2-4, 6.98 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.64 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 89 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 4 ER, 4 BB, 5 K in 5-3 road loss vs. Chicago Cubs Thursday
  • 2023 home stats: 1-0, 8.25 ERA, and 12 HR allowed in 36 IP (3.0 HR/9) spanning 8 starts
  • Career vs. Marlins: 1-2, 3.28 ERA, 9.1 K/9 in 24 2/3 IP over 4 starts and 2 relief appearances

Marlins at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:57 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Reds +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins -1.5 (+120) | Reds +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Marlins at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 7, Reds 4

Moneyline

The Reds are 11-8 this season when Weaver has started but he deserves no credit for the winning record as he’s been one of the worst pitchers in the game. He has really been getting roughed up in his hitter-friendly home park and Garrett is clearly the better pitcher in this matchup.

BET MARLINS (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

The Miami bats have been pretty quiet lately, scoring 2 runs or fewer in 6 of their last 8 contests. They should wake up against Weaver but sticking with the moneyline makes sense here.

PASS, but if you do make a play, consider bumping it up to MARLINS -2.5 (+180), in case Weaver really blows up again.

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Over/Under

Weaver has registered an unsightly 8.54 ERA with 30/23 K/BB over 45 1/3 IP across his last 11 starts. Garrett has recorded a 6.08 ERA over his last 5 starts, though the skills — which include 24 K and 4 BB in 23 1/3 IP — have been solid, and a .361 BABIP has played a large role in the struggles.

Garrett is unlikely to completely shut down the Cincinnati offense and it’s really tough to play the Under anytime Weaver is on the mound at Great American Ball Park. Look for this total to push just OVER 10.5 (-115).

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Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Marlins (58-55) open a 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds (59-55) on Monday at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Reds odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Reds lead 2-1

The Marlins were shut out 6-0 by the Texas Rangers on Sunday to extend their losing skid to 4 games. Miami is now 14 games behind the 1st place Atlanta Braves in the NL East due to its recent woes.

The Reds lost 6-3 to the Washington Nationals, handing them their 6th consecutive defeat. Cincinnati is 1 1/2 games back of the Milwaukee Brewers in the race for the NL Central crown.

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Marlins at Reds projected starters

RHP Eury Perez vs. LHP Brandon Williamson

Perez (5-3, 2.36 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 53 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 3-0 home loss to St. Louis Cardinals on July 6
  • 2023 road stats: 2-2, 4.35 ERA (20 2/3 IP, 10 ER) over 5 starts
  • 2023 vs. Reds: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 7-4 loss on May 12 in MLB debut

Williamson (3-2, 4.85 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 68 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 16-6 road loss vs. Chicago Cubs Wednesday
  • 2023 home stats: 1-1, 4.42 ERA (38 2/3 IP, 19 ER) in 7 starts
  • First career start vs. Marlins

Marlins at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Reds +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins -1.5 (+120) | Reds +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Marlins at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 5, Reds 3

Moneyline

Both teams have sputtered since the All-Star break, but I’ll back the MARLINS (-135) on the road with Perez returning to Miami’s rotation on Monday.

Run line/Against the spread

The MARLINS -1.5 (+120) are a decent value as they should have success against Williamson. The Marlins are tied for the 4th-best wOBA (.356) and own the 5th-best wRC+ (126) against left-handed pitching since the start of July.

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Over/Under

This game takes place at a hitter-friendly venue, but I’ll go with the UNDER 10.5 (-110) in this contest. Both of these teams are 6-4 to the Under in their last 10 games overall.

The Marlins are also 10-5 to the Under in their last 15 games, while the Reds are 18-6 to the Under in their last 24.

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Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (46-52) and Cincinnati Reds (38-59) put a lid on their 4-game series at Great American Ball Park with a Thursday matinee. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Reds lead 2-1.

Miami is 10-5 in its last 15 road games. The Marlins own a 2.72 ERA over their last 8 games away from South Beach.

The Reds are 8-2 with a .775 OPS across their last 10 games at home. Cincinnati batters have struck out 27 times over their last 2 games.

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Marlins at Reds projected starters

LHP Daniel Castano vs. RHP Graham Ashcraft

Castano (1-3, 3.86 ERA) has appeared in 9 games this season and made 6 starts. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 through 35 IP.

  • Is a 27-year-old in his 3rd big league season who has tossed 34 innings for AAA-Jacksonville in addition to his MLB action. Last pitched in the Majors July 12.
  • Pitches to contact and has done well to avoid hard contact. His hard-contact rate on balls in play (20.7%) is well below league average.

Ashcraft (4-2, 4.70 ERA) has made 11 starts this season. He has a 1.42 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 through 59 1/3 IP.

  • Is a 24-year-old rookie who has thus far struggled against right-handed bats (.935 OPS allowed). The Miami lineup skews to right-handed batters more than the average MLB club.
  • Threw a season-high 112 pitches in his last start Friday vs. the St. Louis Cardinals.

Marlins at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Reds -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-175) | Reds -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Marlins at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Marlins 4

Money line

Cincinnati pitching went through a sneaky solid stretch when they logged a team 3.29 ERA from July 3-12, and its bullpen has carried some hidden upside value.

However, there is likely some regression likely to come due to the team’s relief corps overall 5.17 ERA — but you can still TAKE CINCINNATI (-140) in this series finale.

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is some upside to Ashcraft’s line, but peg an iffy Cincinnati relief corps as being heavily involved in this one and too risky to trust to pull off the victory by a multiple-run cushion.

Over/Under

Mixed signals here — some are favoring a high total and some are leaning toward pitching and defense. STEER CLEAR.

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Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (46-51) and Cincinnati Reds (37-59) meet for the 3rd game of their 4-game series at Great American Ball Park Wednesday. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: tied 1-1.

Miami edged out Cincinnati 2-1 Tuesday to tie the season series. The Marlins are 10-4 in their last 14 road games. Over that stretch, Miami hurlers have compiled a 2.89 ERA.

The Reds continue a home stand that opened last weekend with a 2-1 series win vs. the St. Louis Cardinals. Cincinnati is 7-2 in its last 9 home games.

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Marlins at Reds projected starters

LHP Braxton Garrett vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Garrett (2-3, 3.42 ERA) has made 9 starts this season. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 47 1/3 IP.

  • Owns a 1.80 ERA and 0.64 WHIP over his last 4 starts.
  • Has notched a 4.25 ERA and 1.45 WHIP across 89 career IP.

Castillo (3-4, 2.77 ERA) has authored a 1.08 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 78 IP over 13 starts.

  • Making his first start of the second half.
  • Has clocked a nifty 2.20 ERA over his last 7 starts and a 1.00 ERA and 0.96 WHIP over his last 4 turns.
  • Dominates right-handed batters (.545 OPS allowed) and is facing a Miami club that generates a much-higher-than-average 78% of its plate appearances against righties from bats on the same side.

Marlins at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:22 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Reds -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-175) | Reds -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Marlins at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Marlins 3

Money line

Cincinnati’s pitching went through a sneaky solid stretch in early July (3.29 ERA from July 3-12) and the Reds bullpen carries some hidden upside value. The back end of that ‘pen is in better shape than Miami’s heading into the 3rd game of this series.

Garrett’s last 4 starts have included 3 against the Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals, both of which have bottom-feeder offenses.

However, the play here is a PASS unless you get Cincinnati at -145 or better.

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Run line/Against the spread

REDS -1.5 (+140) has the best value for this matchup.

Over/Under

Both starters have been missing bats and avoiding hard contact of late. However, the total would need to rise back to its earlier number of 8.5 and the Under would have some value at -120 or better on a warm, humid evening with an outward breeze at homer-happy Great American Ball Park.

PASS, but consider a line watch throughout the day.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (45-51) and Cincinnati Reds (37-58) clash Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. ET to continue a 4-game series at Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Reds lead 1-0 after Monday’s 11-2 win. Cincinnati won 5 of 7 from Miami in 2021.

Miami scuffled at the tail end of the first half, but the Fish have been just fine of late on the road. Even with Monday’s setback, they are 9-4 in their last 13 road games.

The Reds continue a home stand that opened last weekend with a 2-1 series win vs. the St. Louis Cardinals. With Monday’s victory, Cincinnati is 7-1 in its last 8 home games.

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Marlins at Reds projected starters

RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP Hunter Greene

Lopez (6-5, 3.14 ERA) is tabbed for his 20th start of the season. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 109 IP.

  • Toted a 1.83 into June, but has registered a 4.86 ERA since. Road starts (5.54 ERA last 26 IP) have been a problem in that stretch.
  • Allowed 5 R, 5 H, 3 BB and 6 K in 5 IP in losing his first 2nd-half start July 21 vs. the Texas Rangers.

Greene (3-11, 5.78 ERA) has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 through 90 1/3 IP in 18 starts.

  • First start of 2nd half. Lost last start July 15 vs. St. Louis with 5 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 3 BB and 6 K.
  • Owns a Boeing 7.12 ERA in his last 30 1/3 IP.

Marlins at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:33 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins -112 (bet $100 to win $112) | Reds -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins -1.5 (+140) | Reds +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

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Marlins at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 5, Marlins 4

Money line

Cincy pitching went through a sneaky solid stretch in early July (3.29 ERA July 3-12) and the Reds bullpen carries some hidden upside value.

López is up against a Cincinnati club that had posted an .812 OPS over its 5 home games prior to Monday’s 11-run outburst.

TAKE CINCINNATI (-108).

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Run line/Against the spread

REDS +1.5 (-175) is the lean. But the profit margin is razor thin. Bettors wanting some plus-1 insurance may want to mix this action in with the above ML play.

Over/Under

Mixed signals here — some favoring a high total and some leaning toward pitching and defense. It all spells a PASS.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (45-50) and Cincinnati Reds (36-58) meet Monday at 6:40 p.m. ET to crank up a 4-game series at Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First game. Cincinnati won 5 of 7 from Miami in 2021.

The Marlins opened their second half by taking 2 of 3 at the Pittsburgh Pirates. Miami scuffled at the tail end of the first half, but the Fish have been just fine of late on the road. They are 9-3 over their last 12 games abroad.

The Reds continue a home stand that opened last weekend with the club taking 2 of 3 from the St. Louis Cardinals. Cincinnati is 6-1 in its last 7 home games.

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Marlins at Reds projected starters

LHP Trevor Rogers vs. LHP Nick Lodolo

Rogers (4-9, 5.46 ERA) is tabbed for his 19th start of the season. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 84 IP.

  • Logged his 2nd walk-less game of the season July 17, but was dinged for 4 R in 6 IP versus the Philadelphia Phillies.
  • Facing a Reds team that has posted a mere .656 OPS on the road,  but has been productive at home (.740 OPS).

Lodolo (2-3, 5.81 ERA) owns a 1.78 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 13.0 K/9 through 26 1/3 IP in 6 starts.

  • Has been hurt by a .435 batting average on balls in play.
  • Coughed up 5R in 2 IP in his last start (July 16 vs. St. Louis).

Marlins at Reds odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 9:49 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Reds -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Marlins +1.5 (-190) | Reds -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Marlins at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 4, Marlins 3

Money line

The battle of port-siders favors the Reds who are swung around to the best side of their platoon numbers. (Miami’s splits favor games against right-handers.)

Cincy pitching went through a sneaky solid stretch in early July (3.29 ERA July 3-12) and the Reds bullpen carries some hidden upside value.

TAKE CINCINNATI (-125).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS: The juice here cuts into any potential value on the Reds side.

Over/Under

The starters have expected-ERA figures better than their surface lines. The same applies to both pens.

There is strong VALUE ON THE UNDER 9.5 (-122).

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