Miami Heat vs. Detroit Pistons odds predictions pick betting line spread

Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Detroit Pistons (10-16) welcome the Miami Heat (13-10) to Little Caesars Arena Monday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Pistons odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1; Heat won 106-98 at home on Oct. 28 while Pistons won 123-121 in OT at home on Nov. 12.

The Heat beat the Toronto Raptors 114-104 Thursday, closing as a 10.5-point home favorite. They were led by G Tyler Herro, who scored 23 points and dropped 4 triples. Miami has rattled off 4 straight wins going 3-1 against the spread (ATS). It is 11-12 ATS on the season.

The Pistons lost to the Boston Celtics 123-99 Thursday, closing as an 11.5-point road underdog. F Ron Holland III had a team-high 26 points. Detroit has struggled over the last two weeks, losing 4 of its last 5 games. It is 2-3 ATS in those and 12-13-1 ATS on the season.

Heat at Pistons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:01 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Pistons +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat -3.5 (-115) | Pistons +3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Heat at Pistons key injuries

Heat

None

Pistons

F Tobias Harris (thumb) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Heat at Pistons picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 114, Pistons 107

Moneyline

PASS.

The Heat (-175) are the better side here and have won 4 straight games. Expect them to keep that streak alive, but they are simply too expensive to play on the moneyline here.

Against the spread

BET HEAT -3.5 (-115).

Miami has rewarded bettors as of late, covering in 3 of its last 4 games. It has scored at least 114 points in each of those games. It has allowed 113 or fewer points in 5 straight games as well, returning to its roots as a strong, defensive-minded side.

Detroit, which has shown flashes during the season, has hit a major slump and is 1-4 over its last 5 contests and 3-8 ATS over its last 11 games. It is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 home games.

Take HEAT -3.5 (-115).

Over/Under

BET OVER 218.5 (-110).

The Heat are 3-1 O/U in their last 4 games and 5-2 O/U in their last 7. They have scored 121 points or more in 4 of those games as well.

The Pistons, who are just 12-14 O/U on the season, have gone Over in 5 of their last 7 games, allowing at least 123 points in 3 of their last 4 outings. Detroit’s offense has been stronger as of late, scoring at least 120 points twice in its last 3 games.

Considering those trends, play OVER 218.5 (-110).

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Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Heat (4-5) and Detroit Pistons (4-7) meet Tuesday at Little Caesars Arena for an In-Season Tournament game at 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Pistons odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Heat lead 1-0

The Heat picked up a thrilling 95-94 win at the Minnesota Timberwolves last time out as a 7.5-point underdog while the Under (219) cashed. That victory halted a 3-game skid. The Under is 5-3 in the past 8 outings, too.

Miami will be without SF Jimmy Butler for a second consecutive game due to an ankle injury, so expect F Haywood Highsmith and F Kevin Love to start at the forward spots again.

The Pistons lost 101-99 to the Houston Rockets on Sunday, but Detroit did cover as a 4-point home ‘dog. They’re a respectable 6-3 against the spread (ATS) in the past 9 games, while the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 outings, and 8-3 in 11 games on the season, including the first meeting in Miami Oct. 28, won by the Heat 106-98.

Heat at Pistons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Pistons +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat -1.5 (-110) | Pistons +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Heat at Pistons key injuries

Heat

F Jimmy Butler (ankle) out

Pistons

C Jalen Duren (ankle) questionable
F Bobi Klintman (calf) out
C Isaiah Stewart (ankle) questionable
F Ausar Thompson (illness) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Heat at Pistons picks and predictions

Prediction

Pistons 106, Heat 103

Moneyline

The PISTONS (+100) are a decent play at even-money, as they catch a break with Jimmy Buckets being sidelined for the Heat (-120) in this In-Season Tournament battle at LCA.

Detroit is looking to avenge an 8-point loss in late October against the Heat in Miami, although the Pistons were able to cover. The Pistons have won 2 in a row at home, including a victory over LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers on Nov. 4, so they’re tough. Cade Cunningham is playing great ball, too, posting 3 triple-doubles in the past 4 outings.

Against the spread

Playing the Pistons +1.5 (-110) is silly, unless you’re absolutely convinced that the Heat -1.5 (-110) are going to win, but only by a single point.

If that’s not you, and you like Detroit, just play it straight up for a cheaper price.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 214.5 (-110) is worth a play in this tournament battle.

The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games for the Pistons, while going 8-3 on the season. That includes the first meeting in South Florida in late October, as the teams combined for 204 points with a total of 219.5.

The Under has cashed in the past 3 meetings in the series, and 7 of the previous 9 battles since March 15, 2022.

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Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (38-34) battle the Detroit Pistons (16-55) Sunday with tip from Little Caesars Arena set for 6 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Pistons odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat lost to Detroit 116-96 on Dec. 6 as Miami failed to cover as a 7.5-point home favorite. The Under 220.5 hit.

The Heat lost to the Chicago Bulls 113-99 Saturday, failing to cover as a 2-point road favorite. They are just 2-5 against the spread (ATS) in their last 7 games, but 4-3 straight up. Miami is 26-44-2 ATS on the season.

The Pistons lost to the Denver Nuggets 119-100 Thursday as a 15-point home underdog. Detroit is just 2-6 ATS and just 1-7 straight up in its last 8 games. It is 30-38-3 ATS on the season as well.

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Heat at Pistons odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:53 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Heat -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Pistons +425 (bet $100 to win $425)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat -9.5 (-110) | Pistons +9.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Heat at Pistons key injuries

Heat

Not yet submitted

Pistons

F Bojan Bogdanovic (Achilles) out
C Isaiah Stewart (shoulder) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Pistons picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 113, Pistons 105

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Pistons don’t seem interested in winning games, but the Heat have had notable struggles lately as well. Miami shouldn’t be a road (-550) favorite given how it has played, but Detroit is also unplayable on the moneyline here.

Against the spread

BET PISTONS +9.5 (-110).

The Pistons are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 home games and just 15-20-1 ATS on the season at home. While that doesn’t sound great, Miami is just 13-20-1 ATS on the road.

To make matters even worse, Miami is just 6-11-1, a 35.3% cover rate, as a road favorite. This is not a position the Heat have performed well in, and they are coming off a 14-point road loss as a favorite. The Heat are 1-5 ATS over their last 6 road matches as well.

The Pistons have scored 115 or more in 3 of their last 6, so while their 2 top scorers are out, they have been able to manage offensively. Against Miami, that will be important.

That said, the Heat shouldn’t be double-digit road favorites against any other team in the NBA, so back the PISTONS +9.5 (-110).

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 220.5 (-110).

The Pistons have gone Under in 6 of their last 8 games and in 3 straight games, scoring 100 or fewer in 2 straight.

The Heat have gone Under in 2 of their last 6. They will be on the 2nd night of a back-to-back and are 5-6 O/U with no rest. Miami is also just 5-13 O/U as a road favorite as well.

Considering both trends, back the UNDER 220.5 (-110).

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Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (18-12) travel to Little Caesars Arena Sunday to take on the Detroit Pistons (4-24). Tip-off is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Heat at Pistons odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Heat are coming into this game following a 10-point victory over the Orlando Magic.

Just about every team is shorthanded right now, and the Heat are no different, down their two key players on both sides of the ball. G Kyle Lowry is active though. The Heat, at 18-12, are one of the best covering teams in the NBA.

The Pistons, on the other hand, are not. At 13-15, it hasn’t been profitable to bet on Detroit. As home underdogs, they’re 5-6. Detroit will be led by G Cade Cunningham with star F Jerami Grant expected to be sidelined.

Heat at Pistons odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 1 p.m. ET.

Money line: Heat -320 (bet $320 to win $100) | Pistons +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat -6.5 (-122) | Pistons +6.5 (-102)
Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Heat at Pistons key injuries

Heat

C Bam Adebayo (thumb) out
F Jimmy Butler (tailbone) out
G Tyler Herro (quadriceps) questionable

Pistons

Not submitted yet

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Heat at Pistons odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 108, Pistons 99

Money line

PASS on the money line. I don’t like a favorite down their two best players at -320. I’d rather play the points for far better value.

Against the spread

BET on the HEAT -6.5 (-122) as the best value in this match. Miami has had several players step up without Adebayo and Butler. Lowry’s leadership will be the difference in this game.

With Max Strus red hot, having dropped 32 against the Magic, the Heat should have all it takes to win this game with ease.

The Pistons are the second-worst shooting team and fifth-worst turnover team. They just haven’t put it together behind Cunningham. The Heat have an efficient offense and rank 11th in defensive rating.

Overall, Miami is fifth in net rating. They’re a complete, deep team. They should be able to blowout Detroit.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 208.5 (-108) as I don’t expect Gabe Vincent and Strus to combine for 59 points in this one.

The Heat should come out on top and cover, but they should want to slow this game down and play it at their pace. The Heat have the third-slowest pace in the league, and they’ll likely use that to their advantage.

With the Pistons not a great shooting team, while also turning the ball over often and the Heat typically slowing things down, I’d bet on the Under in this one.

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Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (11-6) travel to Little Caesars Arena Tuesday to take on the Detroit Pistons (4-12). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Heat at Pistons odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

After a feisty altercation between LeBron James and Pistons big Isaiah Stewart Sunday, one that went viral, the Pistons will be down a starter at home.

Up 15 points heading into the fourth, the chaos clearly impacted Detroit’s play, letting that lead slip and losing by five. That said, Pistons’ No. 1 overall pick Cade Cunningham is starting to show his superstar upside. The Pistons are 7-9 ATS and 8-7-1 (O/U).

As for the Heat, they’ll be almost at full strength with Jimmy Butler returning a few games ago. Miami is currently sitting in third place in a competitive Eastern Conference. The Heat lost to Washington in their last game.

Miami is 12-5 ATS and 10-7 O/U. However, they’re just 5-5 on the road as compared to 6-1 at home, so an energized Pistons team, despite entering as heavy underdogs, has a chance for the upset.

Heat at Pistons odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.

Money line: Heat -475 (bet $475 to win $100) | Pistons +340 (bet $100vto win $340)
Against the spread (ATS): Heat -9.5 (-115) | Pistons +9.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 208.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Heat at Pistons key injuries

Heat

G Duncan Robinson (knee) questionable
G Victor Oladipo (knee) out

Pistons

G Killian Hayes (thumb) out
F Kelly Olynyk (knee) out
C Isaiah Stewart (suspension) out

Heat at Pistons odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 107, Pistons 100

Money line

PASS on the money line. While I like Miami to win, the Heat haven’t played well on the road.

For that matter, I don’t trust any NBA team in the regular season enough to lay -475. Also, I don’t feel confident enough that Detroit has the size or talent to handle the Heat.

Look to the points for value.

Against the spread

BET the PISTONS +9.5 (-107) as Jerami Grant and Cunningham are starting to be the leaders Detroit hoped for. Cunningham has put up double figures in eight of his last nine games.

Cunningham had his first career triple-double in Detroit’s previous game vs. the Lakers. More surprising, Cunningham is hitting 50% of his shots in three of his last six games. As for Grant, he should be able to hang with Butler.

Also, Miami’s struggles on the road are notable. The Heat have the second-best net rating at home. However, Miami ranks fifth in net rating on the road. The Heat have been able to eke out road wins but aren’t nearly as dominant.

While I do believe Miami will get the win, covering a 9.5-point spread isn’t easy in the NBA. The Pistons have lost seven of 16 games by double figures.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 208.5 (-108) despite the total being on the relatively low side. While Cunningham and Grant have performed well recently, I just can’t trust that they’ll continue to do so.

Additionally, if Robinson, a key for the Heat’s offensive spacing and movement, doesn’t play then Miami’s offense will suffer.

The Pistons have the second-worst true shooting percentage. They have the third-worst offensive rating as well. With Robinson a question mark and the Heat a top-tier defensive team, I’d lean the Under.

Also, the Pistons have scored less than 100 points eight times this season and have scored less than 103 points 10 times. Their offensive outlook is not great.

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