Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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For the 2nd time in 3 days, the Miami Heat (36-30) are on the road facing the Detroit Pistons (12-54). They tip off on Sunday at 3 p.m. ET at Little Caesars Arena. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Pistons odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Heat lead 3-0

The Heat beat the Pistons 108-95 on Friday in Detroit, covering the 7.5-point spread as favorites, snapping a 4-game losing streak. Before the skid, they had won 7 of 8. They are No. 8 in the Eastern Conference, 1 game out of the No. 6 seed to avoid the play-in tournament.

The Pistons, prior to their loss to the Heat on Friday, had won 2 games in a row and 3 of 4, giving them a quarter of their wins all season in the span of 4 games. Only Washington has fewer wins this season than Detroit.

Heat at Pistons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Heat -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Pistons +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Heat -6.5 (-110) | Pistons +6.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Heat at Pistons key injuries

Heat

  • Jimmy Butler (foot) questionable
  • Tyler Herro (knee) out
  • F Nikola Jovic (hamstring) out
  • Kevin Love (heel) out
  • Josh Richardson (shoulder) out

Pistons

  • Cade Cunningham (knee) probable
  • Quentin Grimes (knee) out
  • Ausar Thompson (illness) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Heat at Pistons picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 108, Pistons 100

Moneyline

The Heat won by 13 on Friday in Detroit. They have 19 road wins, 7 more than the Pistons have total wins, who only have 7 wins at home all year.

And while the Pistons have won 3 of their last 5 games, it is the only time all season they have done that. They have not won 3 straight yet this season.

So it isn’t a smart bet to go with Detroit, while it isn’t a valuable bet to go Pistons here.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Pistons are 2-1 ATS against the Heat this season and they are an overall decent ATS bet. Despite only 12 straight-up wins, they are 34-32 ATS overall and 17-17 ATS at home.

Detroit’s last 4 losses have been by 8 or more points while 5 of the Heat’s last 6 wins have been by more than 7 points.

BET HEAT -6.5 (-110).

Over/Under

After 5 straight games of scoring 110 or more, the Pistons were held to 95 by the Heat on Friday. They have averaged 102.3 points in 3 games against the Heat.

The Heaat have scored 108 or fewer points in 5 straight games.

BET UNDER 214.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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