Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills odds predictions pick betting line spread

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Buffalo Bills (6-2) welcome the Miami Dolphins (2-5) to Highmark Stadium on Sunday. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Dolphins vs. Bills odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Dolphins have lost back-to-back games after falling 28-27 to the Arizona Cardinals last Sunday and failing to cover as 4.5-point home favorites. QB Tua Tagovailoa went 28-of-38 for 234 yards and a TD while RB Raheem Mostert added 2 TDs on the ground.

The Bills have won 3 games in a row after taking down the Seattle Seahawks 31-10 in Week 8 as 3-point road favorites. QB Josh Allen went 24-of-34 for 283 yards with 2 TDs and a pick while RB James Cook carried the ball 17 times for 111 yards and 2 TDs.

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Dolphins at Bills odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:05 p.m.

Moneyline (ML): Dolphins +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Bills -275 (bet $275 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +6 (-110) | Bills -6 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dolphins at Bills key injuries

Dolphins

WR River Cracraft (shoulder) questionable
CB Storm Duck (ankle) questionable
TE Julian Hill (shoulder) out
S Jevon Holland (hand, knee) doubtful
FB Alec Ingold (calf) questionable
CB Kader Kohou (neck) out
DT Zach Sieler (eye) out

Bills

CB Christian Benford (wrist) questionable
WR Amari Cooper (wrist) questionable
FB Reggie Gilliam (hip) out
WR Curtis Samuel (pectoral) questionable

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Dolphins at Bills picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 24, Dolphins 13

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Bills (-275) to take down the Dolphins.

Against the spread

BET BILLS -6 (-110).

The Bills have won back-to-back games by 21 or more points and have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games. Miami has dropped 5 of its last 6 games with 4 of the 5 losses coming by 6 or more points. Buffalo will handle Tagovailoa and the Dolphins with ease.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 49.5 (-110).

While the Dolphins scored 27 points last Sunday with the return of Tagovailoa, they have scored 15 or fewer points in 5 of their last 6 games while their defense has allowed 16 or fewer points in 2 of their last 3 games. Buffalo’s defense has allowed 10 points in back-to-back weeks and in 4 of their last 7 weeks overall.

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Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Miami Dolphins (3-0) visit the Buffalo Bills (2-1) Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dolphins vs. Bills odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Dolphins are coming off a 70-20 home rout as 6-point favorites vs. the Denver Broncos. After a game in which RBs De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert each finished with 4 TDs, Miami will find it more difficult going up against a stouter Buffalo defense.

Buffalo is on a 2-game win streak after losing its opener to the New York Jets on Monday night. The Bills are coming off a 37-3 “rocking chair” victory at the Washington Commanders as 5-point favorites.

This is the Bills’ 2nd home game — they beat the Las Vegas Raiders 38-10 as 7.5-point favorites in Week 2.

The Dolphins will be facing their 3rd road game of the young season. A season-opening 36-34 win as 3-point underdogs at the Los Angeles Chargers was followed by a 24-17 divisional win as 1-point favorites at New England.

Miami has proven it can win on the road thus far but hasn’t faced elite teams. The combined record of Miami’s first 3 opponents is just 2-7.

This is an important game for both teams and the NFL landscape. The Bills will be looking to show they’re still the dominant team in the AFC East, while the Dolphins hope to show it belongs among the best teams in the league.

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Dolphins at Bills odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:23 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dolphins +126 (bet $100 to win $126) | Bills -148 (bet $148 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +3 (-115) | Bills -3 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Dolphins at Bills key injuries

Dolphins

OL Terron Armstead (back, ankle, knee) questionable
SS DeShon Elliott (ankle, groin) questionable
LB Jaelan Phillips (oblique) out
C Connor Williams (groin) questionable

Bills

S Jordan Poyer (knee) out

Dolphins at Bills picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 27, Dolphins 21

Moneyline

BUFFALO (-148) is the safer wager to make here.

The Dolphins will finally play a good team in the Bills. We have yet to figure out how good Miami really is. This will be a good barometer to judge.

Playing at home, the Bills will look to assert their dominance over their AFC East Division rivals after the Dolphins just put up 70 on the hapless Broncos.

Backing the Bills -3 (-105) is a better wager, but if you want the safety of not worrying about having to win by at least 3 points, the ML of -148 is not outrageous for Buffalo and would make a good addition to a small parlay.

Against the spread

BUFFALO -3 (-105) is my play.

Sure, Miami is coming off the impressive 70-point outing, but it came against a lackluster Denver — which yielded 35 points in a 2-point loss to the Commanders in Week 2.

The Dolphins offensive line has been playing better than expected. However, with C Connor Williams and LT Terron Armstead listed on the injury report, the Bills pass rush could be able to harass Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa throughout the day.

While Miami has the offense to compete, the Dolphins defense — with CB Jalen Ramsey (knee) out and CB Xavien Howard aging — will find it challenging to slow down a Bills offense led by QB Josh Allen and WR Stefon Diggs.

Buffalo laying -3 (105) is a surprising number after seeing what Miami did to Denver last week, but it doesn’t scare me away from making this wager. BACK BUFFALO -3 (-105.)

Over/Under

UNDER 53.5 (-115) is the way to go.

The last time a team scored 70 or more points was the 1966 Washington team. In the following game, it won at the Dallas Cowboys 34-31. It also came following a bye week, something the Dolphins don’t have the benefit of.

Buffalo has only allowed 13 points in the past 2 games — 10 to the Las Vegas Raiders and 3 to the Commanders. While Miami’s offense provides a much bigger threat, the Bills defense will slow the Dolphins enough to keep this UNDER 53.5 (-115).

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First look: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds and lines

Looking at Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills NFL odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

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The Miami Dolphins (3-0) and Buffalo Bills (2-1) meet Sunday in a 1 p.m. ET (CBS) kickoff at Highmark Stadium. Below, we look at Dolphins vs. Bills odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Also see: SportsbookWire’s NFL picks and predictions.

On Sunday, Miami became the 1st team to score 70 points in a single game since 1966. The Dolphins covered a -6 line and cruised to a 70-20 win over the Denver Broncos. Miami is now 3-0 to start a season for the 2nd year in a row.

The Bills covered a -3 line in a 37-3 triumph at the Washington Commanders Sunday. Buffalo now returns home, where it has gone 10-1 across its last 11 regular-season games. An efficient Bills offense — one ranked 4th in the NFL at 5.0 yards per rush and 3rd in pass accuracy with a 72.7% mark — has managed 75 points over the last 2 weeks.

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Dolphins at Bills odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 1:40 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Dolphins +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Bills -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +2.5 (-105) | Bills -2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 53.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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2023 betting stats

ML: Dolphins 3-0 | Bills 2-1
ATS: Dolphins 3-0 | Bills 2-1
O/U: Dolphins 2-1 | Bills 1-2

Dolphins vs. Bills head-to-head

In 114 regular-season games, the Dolphins lead 61–52–1. But the Bills have won 9 of the last 10 meetings and 7 in a row played in Buffalo.

The public has had this meeting ironed out in recent years. Since 2018, the Dolphins are 5-4-1 ATS. The Under is 3-1 across the last 4 meetings.

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Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Week 8 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Dolphins (1-6) visit the Buffalo Bills (4-2) Sunday in Week 8 for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at Highmark Stadium (on CBS). Below, we look at the Dolphins vs. Bills odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Miami enters on a 6-game slide after winning its opener. The most recent loss was a heartbreaking 30-28 setback in Week 7 to the Atlanta Falcons, who kicked a game-winning field goal as time expired.

The Bills will be well-rested, coming off a bye. Their last game was a 34-31 loss at the Tennessee Titans on Monday Night Football in Week 6. With 12 seconds to go, the Bills came up short on a quarterback sneak on 4th-and-1 at the Titans 3-yard line when they could have tied it with a field goal. The loss snapped a four-game win streak for Buffalo.

Dolphins at Bills odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:48 a.m. ET.

Money line: Dolphins +650 (bet $100 to win $650) | Bills -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +14.5 (-117) | Bills -14.5 (-103)
Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Betting stats:

ATS: Dolphins 2-5 | Bills 4-2
O/U: Dolphins 4-3 | Bills 3-3

Dolphins at Bills key injuries

Dolphins

LB Jerome Baker (knee) questionable
CB Noah Igbinoghene (knee) questionable
C Greg Mancz (groin) questionable
WR DeVante Parker (shoulder) questionable

Bills

TE Dawson Knox (hand) out
RT Spencer Brown (back) questionable

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Dolphins at Bills odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bills 38, Dolphins 13

Money line

PASS. The Bills (-1100) will no doubt win, but backing them at 11 times your return is not wise nor worth the risk. Let’s make money on the spread below.

Against the spread

BUFFALO -14.5 (-103) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. Sure, it’s a lot of points, but the Bills are the much better team.

Buffalo went to South Florida in Week 2 and spanked Miami 35-0. Even though Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa should play more than two series this time around – he exited early with a rib injury in the first meeting – the Bills shouldn’t have a problem handing it to the Fins once again.

Buffalo has dominated this series lately, winning the last six games, including five by double digits. Three of those victories were by at least 17 points: 56-26 at home last season, 37-20 at Miami in 2019 and 42-17 at home in 2018.

Miami is on an 0-4 ATS run, including as a 1.5-point underdog in the 30-28 loss to Atlanta. Buffalo had run off 4 consecutive covers until its 3-point loss at Tennessee.

This really is a mismatch.

Buffalo’s defense leads the league in total yards allowed (270.2), passing yards allowed (180.5) and points allowed per game (16.3).

Miami’s offense is 28th in total yards per game (307.6), 31st in rushing yards per game (80.1) and 29th in points per game (18.1).

Over/Under

BET OVER 48.5 (-108) to WIN 0.5 UNITS.

Buffalo might be able to take care of the Over on its own. The Bills have scored at least 31 points in their past five contests and averaged 39.0 points per game in the four previous games before losing to the Titans.

Meanwhile, the Over is 4-1 in Miami’s last five games.

Keep an eye on the weather, however. The forecast calls for a “possible light rain.” A change to a high probability of rain, it would be wise to bet less.

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JOHNNY’S RECORD	W-L	SP	ROI
SINCE JULY 8	73-47	29-17	+21.257
–SP: Strongest plays; ROI*: Return on investment

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Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills Week 17 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Miami Dolphins (10-5) visit the 2020 AFC East champion Buffalo Bills (12-3) Sunday of Week 17 for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we preview the Dolphins-Bills betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Dolphins at Bills: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.

Money line: Dolphins +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Bills -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Dolphins +3.5 (-115) | Bills -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under: 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dolphins at Bills: Game notes

Miami, currently in the fifth spot of the AFC playoffs, needs a win to clinch a postseason berth OR a Baltimore Ravens loss (to the Cincinnati Bengals), a Cleveland Browns loss (home vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers) or an Indianapolis Colts loss (home vs. Jacksonville Jaguars).
Buffalo is currently the AFC’s No. 2 seed, which does not come with a bye this season. The Bills can’t catch the Kansas City Chiefs (14-1), but they would slip to No. 3 with a loss AND Steelers’ win.
The Dolphins, winners of two straight, are coming off a miraculous 26-25 victory at the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 16. Trailing 25-23 with 19 seconds to go, QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, while getting face masked, heaved the ball down the sideline to WR Mack Hollins for a 34-yard pass. The roughing-the-passer penalty moved the ball to the Las Vegas 26-yard line, where after an incomplete pass, PK Jason Sanders kicked a game-winning, 44-yard field goal with 1 second left.
Fitzpatrick tested positive for COVID-19 and won’t be available Sunday. The veteran QB hasn’t started since Week 12 and entered in relief of Tua Tagovailoa vs. Las Vegas.
The Bills enter on a five-game win streak beating the New England Patriots 38-9 on the road in the Week 16 Monday Night Football game. QB Josh Allen (320 passing yards, 4 TDs) and WR Stefon Diggs (145 receiving yards, 9 catches) hooked up for 3 touchdowns, and the Bills defense held the Patriots to 201 total yards.
Buffalo won at Miami 31-28 in Week 2. The Dolphins scored in the final minute for a back-door cover as 5.5-point underdogs. Allen led the Bills with a career-best 415 passing yards and 4 TDs.
Buffalo has won the last four vs. Miami but only covered twice.

Betting stats:

ATS: Dolphins 11-4 | Bills 10-5
O/U: Dolphins 6-9 | Bills 9-5-1

Dolphins at Bills: Key injuries

Dolphins

WR Jakeem Grant (ankle) questionable
G Solomon Kindley (knee, foot) questionable
DE Shaq Lawson (ankle) questionable
WR DeVante Parker (hamstring) questionable

Bills

WR Cole Beasley (knee) out

Dolphins at Bills: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bills 24, Dolphins 14

Money line (?)

The Bills are clicking on all cylinders, but I’ll PASS on the -160 price and opt to lay the points.

Against the spread (?)

BUFFALO -3.5 (-105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Bills are just more talented than the Dolphins. Miami has been playing well, but its last five wins have come against mediocre teams: Las Vegas, New England, the Cincinnati Bengals, the New York Jets and the Los Angeles Chargers.

The fact that snow is expected in Buffalo benefits the Bills. Miami doesn’t do snow. Buffalo’s Allen played college ball at Wyoming, so he’s done that, been there.

Over/Under (?)

The UNDER 42.5 (-110) is worth a HALF-UNIT PLAY. While the Bills have scored at least 30 points in three of their last four contests, the Dolphins lead the NFL in least points allowed at 18.8 per game. The snow forecast helps the Under, too.

Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Also see:

Report: QB Fitzpatrick tests positive for COVID-19 (Dolphins Wire)
Miami at Buffalo: 8 storylines to watch (Bills Wire)

Johnny’s 2020-21 NFL record / Strongest plays	26-25-2 / 12-11-1
2019-20 NFL record / Strongest plays	17-10-1 / 7-4
2021 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays	6-1 / 3-0
*2020 overall record (all sports) /* Strongest plays**	178-147-4 / 87-61-1

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