Tag: Mets Cubs odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (36-39) take on the Chicago Cubs (37-40) Sunday in the finale of a 3-game set on Sunday Night Baseball at Wrigley Field at 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

It was the Mets’ turn to get blown out with an 8-1 elbow drop off the top ropes. They managed just 1 run on 7 hits and struck out 14 times in the game. They’ve lost 2 of 3 but are 8-2 and 14-6 over the last 10 and 20 games.

The Cubs atoned for an 11-1 smoker by the Mets Friday with 10 K’s by RHP Jameson Taillon Saturday. Cubs 3B Christopher Morel went 2-for-4 with a homer and 2 RBIs. The Cubs have turned around a bad month with wins in 3 of 4 games, but they’re 11-19 over the last 30.

Mets at Cubs projected starters

RHP Luis Severino vs. RHP Javier Assad

Severino (4-2, 3.52 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 84 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 1 K in 7-6 win Tuesday at Texas Rangers
  • 3 career starts vs. Cubs: 0-0, 1.29 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 24 K in 21 IP

Assad (4-2, 2.75 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 78 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 7-6 home loss vs. San Francisco Giants Monday
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 1.59 ERA (11 1/3 IP, 2 ER), 1.15 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 in 2 starts and 1 relief appearance, including 0-0 with 1.80 ERA (5 IP, 1 ER) in 1 start this season

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+155) | Cubs +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mets at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 4, Mets 2

Moneyline

The Mets have been better on the road than at home with an 18-16 mark with just an 18-23 record at Citi Field. Conversely, the Cubs are better at home with a 22-17 mark at Wrigley and just a 15-23 record away from home. The Mets’ pitching is starting to erode, as evidenced by Severino’s blowup in his last start.

I’ll side with the CUBS -115 here.

Run line/Against the spread

After the Mets whiffed 14 times Saturday, I like JAVIER ASSAD OVER 4.5 K’s (-140). He has 5+ K’s in 5 of 7 starts.

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Over/Under

The wind is expected to swirl inwards from left-center and then from left to right on a 71-degree evening. The Mets are 5-5 O/U over the last 10 games, and the Cubs are 3-7.

After slugfests in the first 2 games, and with some conditions favoring the pitchers, I like the UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (36-38) will square off again with the Chicago Cubs (36-40) Saturday afternoon. First pitch is set for 2:20 p.m. ET at Wrigley Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 3-2.

The Mets have climbed back into the National League Wild Card race with their recent hot play. They have won 8 of their last 9 games and 13 of their last 16. They pounded the Cubs 11-1 Friday, scoring 10 runs off LHP Shota Imanaga.

The Cubs have been headed in the opposite direction. They are 9-18 in their last 27 games and 3-4 on their current homestand that wraps up Sunday. Their pitching is starting to falter as they’re now 15th with a 3.96 ERA.

Mets at Cubs projected starters

RHP Tylor Megill vs. RHP Jameson Taillon

Megill (2-3, 3.52 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 through 30 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 5 K Sunday against San Diego Padres
  • 1 career start vs. Cubs: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K May 23, 2023

Taillon (3-3, 3.08 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 61 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K Sunday against St. Louis Cardinals
  • Last 5 starts vs. Mets: 3-0, 2.10 ERA, 0.76 WHIP, 21 K in 34 1/3 IP

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-200) | Cubs -1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 12 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Mets at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Cubs 4

Moneyline

The Mets bats have been red-hot, as they rank 2nd in wRC+ during the month of June and have scored 46 runs in their last 5 games (9.2 per game). Meanwhile, the Chicago offense has been scuffling, with just 41 runs scored in their last 13 games (3.2 per game).

Taillon has been solid all season, but he has clearly outpitched his peripherals. There is little margin for error with his pitch-to-contact approach, and regression may soon set in. Back the METS -105.

Run line/Against the spread

This lines up to be a pretty close game and while the Mets look like a good bet to win, laying 2:1 odds at +1.5 is a little too steep. PASS on the run line.

Over/Under

The Mets have been scoring a lot of runs and should have another productive day against Taillon, though he should be able to avoid a total disaster. On the other side, Megill has a history of road struggles, mainly due to the long ball (1.8 HR/9). But the Cubs rank in the bottom half of the league in home runs and in runs per game at home, and he’s catching them at a good time. Still, the wind is blowing out at 18 mph to straightaway center. This number is a little too inflated, though. Look for this game to sneak in UNDER 12 (-115).

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New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The New York Mets (35-38) and Chicago Cubs (36-39) meet Friday to kick-off a 3-game series. First pitch from Wrigley Field is set for 2:20 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

New York lost 5-3 to the Texas Rangers Wednesday while failing to cover as a -112 road favorite. Leading 3-1, the Mets allowed the Rangers to rattle off 4 unanswered runs. The loss ended a 7-game win streak for the Mets.

Chicago won 6-5 over the San Francisco Giants Wednesday to cover as a -107 home favorite. Chicago was able to hang on for the win despite giving up a grand-slam in the 8th while leading 6-1. The Cubs have won back-to-back games.

Mets at Cubs projected starters

LHP Jose Quintana vs. LHP Shota Imanaga

Quintana (2-5, 4.98 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 72 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 6 K in a 5-1 win over the San Diego Padres Saturday
  • Career vs. Cubs: 0-4, 3.17 ERA (48 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 8 starts

Imanaga (7-1, 1.89 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 1.3 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 76 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 5-1 win over the St. Louis Cardinals Saturday
  • Career vs. Mets: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (7 IP, 0 ER), 3 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 1 start

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Mets at Cubs odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:34 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets +128 (bet $100 to win $128) | Cubs -152 (bet $152 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets +1.5 (-166) | Cubs -1.5 (+138)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +102 | U: -124)

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Mets at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 3, Cubs 1

Moneyline

LEAN METS (+128).

New York is the hotter team, being 3-1 in its last 4 road games and 8-2 in its last 10 overall while the Cubs are only 3-3 in their last 6 at home and 5-5 in their last 10 overall.

The Mets are also 2-1 in their last 3 vs. Chicago.

This is only a lean because New York and Chicago have split their last 10 meetings and because New York is only 1-2 in the last 3 games in Chicago.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I like the Mets to cover here as +1.5 (-166) underdogs, but the line is set just too risky. New York has more value on the moneyline.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-125).

The Under has hit in 4 of Chicago’s last 6 home games and is 8-2 in its last 10 games overall. For New York, the Under is 6-4 in its last 10 games. The Under has also hit in 5 of the last 6 New York-Chicago meetings.

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New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (25-25) and Chicago Cubs (22-26) play the finale of a 3-game set at Wrigley Field Thursday. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cubs lead 2-0

The Mets have dropped the 1st 2 of the series 7-2 and 4-2. Coming into this series, they had won 5 in a row in what has been an up-and-down first 50 games. The Mets are 5 1/2 games out in the NL East after a 12-18 slide in the last 30 games.

The Cubs haven’t exactly been tearing it up either, at 3-7 over the last 10. They are just 11-19 in the last 30 games, but sit just 4 1/2 games back in the NL Central. Chicago is 13-11 at Wrigley. The Cubbies welcome veteran RHP Kyle Hendricks back for his season debut after dealing with a strained shoulder.

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Mets at Cubs projected starters

RHP Carlos Carrasco vs. RHP Kyle Hendricks

Carrasco (0-2, 8.68 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 5.3 K/9 in 18 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K, against the Guardians Friday
  • 3 career GS vs. Cubs: 1-1, 3.31 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 18 K in 16 1/3 IP

Hendricks (0-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 1st start. He went 4-6 with a 4.80 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 84 1/3 IP last year.

  • Went 2-3 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 9 starts at home last season
  • Last 5 starts vs. Mets dating back to 2014: 4-0, 2.10 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 26 K in 30 IP

Mets at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:05 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+165) | Cubs +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mets at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Cubs 3

Moneyline

The Mets are 9-24 in the last 33 meetings with the Cubs and 20-43 in the last 63 in Chicago. Wow. The Cubs have won 6 straight against the Mets. However, streaks are meant to be broken. The Mets are too talented and avoid a sweep.

Take the METS -105.

Run line/Against the spread

Each of the last 5 meetings, and 8 of the last 10, have been decided by 2 runs or more. However, we’re taking a little bit of a risk with the Mets’ ML. So we’re going to PASS here.

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Over/Under

The wind is blowing in ay 16 mph on a 54-degree day. The Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 games between the teams. The wild card is Hendricks making his 1st start, and Carrasco has struggled all year. The wind blowing in at Wrigley tips the hand, though. LEAN UNDER 8 (-105).

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New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (25-24) and Chicago Cubs (21-26) will play the 2nd game of their 3-game series on Wednesday at Wrigley Field. First pitch will be at 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cubs lead 1-0 after beating the Mets, 7-2 on Tuesday

After going 3-10 during a recent 13-game stretch, the Mets have gotten back on track a bit. They’re 5-1 in their last 6 games, with their 5-game winning streak being snapped by the Cubs on Tuesday. The pitching staff has been a major disappointment this season, ranking 24th in team ERA (4.70), while the offense has only scored 209 runs – tied for 18th.

In the Cubs’ last 25 games, they’ve only won 8 times, a stretch that has pulled them 5 games below .500 on the year. Statistically, they’re an above-average team, scoring the 12th-most runs (227) and ranking 13th in team ERA (4.12) with the 6th-most quality starts (23).

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New York Mets at Chicago Cubs projected starters

RHP Kodai Senga vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Senga (4-2, 3.77 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 in 43 innings.

  • Allowed just 1 ER in 6 IP in his last start May 17 against the Tampa Bay Rays, striking out a career-high 12 batters
  • In the month of May, he has an ERA of just 3.18 with 23 strikeouts in 17 innings

Stroman (3-4, 3.05 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 in 56 innings.

  • The Cubs are just 1-5 in his last 6 starts, though they did win his most recent outing, 10-1 over the Philadelphia Phillies last week
  • Averaging a career-best 8.2 strikeouts per 9 innings this season

Mets at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cubs -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+170) | Cubs +1.5 (-210)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Mets at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Cubs 4

Moneyline

Despite their win on Tuesday, the Cubs are in a rut right now. The pitching staff has allowed at least 6 runs in 6 of their last 9 games, which is a big reason for their 2-7 record in that span.

With Senga coming off a dominant performance against the Rays a week ago, I like the Mets’ chances to bounce back on the road. BET METS (-105) to win outright at Wrigley.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mets have won 5 of their last 6 games, but none of those have been won comfortably. Each of those 5 wins came by exactly 1 run, and only 1 of their last 9 victories have been by more than 1 run.

Though I favor the Mets in this matchup, I don’t like them enough to bet them -1.5 on the run line, and taking the Cubs +1.5 at -210 isn’t worth the risk. PASS on the run line.

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Over/Under

The 9 total pushed Tuesday and the Over/Under is significantly lower Wednesday, lower than any of the Mets’ and Cubs’ last 10 games this season.

Stroman has allowed at least 5 runs in 2 of his last 6 starts and Senga has had 3 outings with at least 4 runs allowed in his last 6, so they’re susceptible to poor outings. BET OVER 6.5 (-120).

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New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Mets (25-23) open a 3-game series with the Chicago Cubs (20-26) Tuesday. First pitch from Wrigley Field is at 7:40 ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Cubs odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: first meeting; the Cubs won 4 of 7 meetings in 2022

The Mets are coming into Wrigley with some momentum, winning 5 straight 1-run games. New York completed a 3-game sweep of the Cleveland Guardians with a 2-1 victory Sunday. The Mets are 4.5 games back of the Atlanta Braves for 1st in the NL East.

The Cubs return home from a 9-game road trip during which they went 2-7 and find themselves just half a game out of last place in the NL Central. Chicago lost 2-1 to the Philadelphia Phillies Sunday, its lone run coming from a solo home run in the 9th inning from OF Christopher Morel.

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Mets at Cubs projected starters

RHP Kodai Senga vs. LHP Drew Smyly

Senga (4-2, 3.77 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 5.4 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 43 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 B, 12 K in an 8-7 win vs. the Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday
  • Has allowed 14 runs in his 4 away starts and just 4 in his 4 home starts

Smyly (4-1, 2.86 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 50 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 8 K in a 7-6 road loss against the Houston Astros Wednesday
  • .774 OPS with 2 outs

Mets at Cubs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:50 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mets -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Cubs -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+150) | Cubs +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Mets at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Cubs 4

Moneyline

The Cubs have lost 5 straight against teams above .500% and have lost 5 in a row when they fail to score more than 2 runs in their previous game.

I’m sticking with the hot team for game 1.

LEAN METS (-110).

Run line/Against the spread

While I like the Mets in this game they are just 10-17 ATS on the road, and the Cubs line is way too juicy so I will AVOID betting the spread.

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Over/Under

The Cubs have gone Over in 7 of their past 8 games after a loss according to Covers.com, and the Mets have seen high-scoring games after a day off. They have a 13-3 Over record in their past 16 games coming off rest.

Senga has been worse in his road starts, allowing a .288 OBA in these games while allowing a .161 OBA at home.

BET OVER 8 (-120).

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New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (58-34) and the Chicago Cubs (34-57) finish their 4-game series Sunday at Wrigley Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mets lead 3-0.

The Cubs were dealt 2 brutal losses in a Saturday doubleheader, both in extra innings. Their pitchers gave up 2 earned runs combined, but it wasn’t enough.

Both losses were charged to Chicago RHP Mychal Givens, who did not give up a single earned run. The Mets took game 1 of the doubleheader on a sacrifice fly, and they won game 2 after a HBP and a throwing error.

Mets RHP Taijuan Walker threw 6 innings, giving up 1 run with 5 strikeouts in Game 1 while RHP Max Scherzer struck out 11 and allowed 2 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings in Game 2.

The Mets are now on a 4 game win streak while the Cubs are on a 9-game losing skid.

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Mets at Cubs projected starters

LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Adrian Sampson

Peterson (5-2, 3.48 ERA) makes his 13th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 67 1/3 IP.

  • Allows 1.72 BA against left handed batters in 2022.
  • Posted a 4.80 ERA while going 2-1 in July.

Sampson (0-1, 3.33 ERA) makes his 5th start and 7th appearance. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 27 IP.

  • Began the season in the bullpen with 0 ER through 5 2/3 IP across 2 appearances.
  • Gave up 3 ER on 6 H and 2 BB with 3 K in 5 1/3 IP in a loss to the Baltimore Orioles Tuesday in his last start.

Mets at Cubs odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Mets -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Cubs +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+115) | Cubs +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Mets at Cubs picks and predictions

Prediction

Cubs 6, Mets 4

Money line

LEAN CUBS (+120)

The Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, and after New York took the first 3 games of the series I expect the Cubs to bounce back, especially after 2 very unfortunate losses Saturday.

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Run line/Against the spread

The Cubs have covered 53.1% of the time as home underdogs. If the moneyline is too risky for you LEAN CUBS +1.5 (-140).

Over/Under.

LEAN OVER 7.5 (-130).

The Over is 9-1-1 in Cubs’ last 11 home games when they face a left-handed starter. The Cubs also hit the Over in 5 of their last 7 game 4s of a series.

The Mets echo a trend towards the Over, hitting it 57% of the time after a win.

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New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (7-6) look to prevent a three-game sweep by the Chicago Cubs (8-9) Thursday. Game 3 of the series is scheduled for a 7:40 p.m. ET start at Wrigley Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Chicago won the first two games of the series by a combined score of 19-5 and has a six-game winning streak over the Mets dating back to 2019.

LHP Joey Lucchesi is the projected starter for the Mets. He is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA (5 IP, 3 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 0.00 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 1 start and 1 relief appearance this season.

  • Last outing: Loss in 3 IP with 3 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 3 K in the Mets’ 7-2 loss to the Colorado Rockies Saturday.
  • Career vs. Cubs: 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA, 2.00 WHIP and 10.8 K/9 in 2 starts.

RHP Trevor Williams gets his fourth start for the Cubs. He is 2-1 with a 5.02 ERA (14 1/3 IP, 8 ER), 1.61 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 3 starts.

  • Last outing: Win in 5 IP with 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 4 K Saturday in Chicago’s 13-4 victory over the Atlanta Braves.
  • Career vs. Mets: 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 5.9 K/9 over 4 starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Mets at Cubs odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Cubs +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (+125) | Cubs +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

Cubs 8, Mets 5

Money line (ML)

One reason Williams has a significant edge in this starting pitching matchup is his high ground ball rate given the weather forecast predicts nearly 10 mph winds out to centerfield.

Williams has an 8.00 ground ball to fly ball ratio (1.93 is average) and a 6.8% fly-ball rate (22.5% is average).

Also, Cubs hitters have gotten to Lucchesi in their few plate appearances against the 27-year-old lefty. Current Chicago hitters have a .652/.680/1.13 slash line with 2 HR in just 23 at-bats.

BET CUBS (+100) for a half unit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the CUBS -1.5 (+180) on the alternate line for a quarter unit since I like Chicago’s chances of chasing Lucceshi early and New York’s bullpen has been dreadful to start the season.

Mets relievers have the third-highest ERA and WHIP in the majors, and the lowest left on-base percentage in the league so if Lucchesi turns the game over with runners on or with a deficit then the Cubs will add to their lead.

Over/Under (O/U)

Since the beginning of last season, the Cubs are 7-6 O/U as home underdogs and the Mets have an MLB-high 68.2% Over rate (15-7-1 O/U) as a road favorite.

Furthermore, while Williams’ ground ball and fly ball rates set him up for success in this windy day at Wrigley, Lucceshi gives up too many fly balls.

Lucchesi has a 35.7% fly-ball rate (compared to Williams’ 6.8%) and a 1.00 ground ball to fly ball ratio (compared to Williams’ 8.00).

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 9.5 (-110) for a quarter unit.

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Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s New York Mets at Chicago Cubs odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The New York Mets (7-4) drop by Wrigley Field Tuesday for Game 1 of a three-game set with the host Chicago Cubs (6-9). First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York took two of three games against the Colorado Rockies this past weekend following a three-game sweep of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The Cubs lost two of their last three series and six of their last nine games against the Pittsburgh Pirates, Milwaukee Brewers and Atlanta Braves. The beat the Braves 13-4 at Wrigley Field Saturday for their lone win of that three-game series.

RHP Taijuan Walker is making his third start of the season for the Mets. He is 0-0 with a 2.61 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 4.4 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 2 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 4 1/3 IP with 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 8 K in New York’s 4-3 win over the Phillies last Tuesday.
  • Career vs. Cubs: 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA, 1.60 WHIP and 3.6 K/9 in 1 start.

RHP Jake Arrieta takes the mound for the Cubs. He is 2-1 with a 3.18 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 2.6 BB/9 in three turns through the rotation.

  • Last outing: Loss in 5 IP with 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 5 K in the Cubs’ 7-0 loss at the Brewers Wednesday.
  • Career vs. Mets: 6-5 with a 3.09 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 7.8 K/9 through 16 starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Mets at Cubs odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mets -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Cubs +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mets -1.5 (+125) | Cubs +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Mets 5, Cubs 2

Money line (ML)

Mets hitters have been properly lambasted for insufficient production during Jacob deGrom starts, but all in all, New York has an average to improving lineup. The Mets are ninth in wOBA, wRC+ and OPS vs. right-handed pitching with a lot of familiarity and success against Arrieta.

Current Mets hitters are slashing .368/.423/.533 vs. Arrieta with 5 HR in 147 at-bats.

Also, Walker has looked good in his first season with the Mets. Statcast grades him in the 95th percentile of exit velocity and 74th percentile in both Whiff% and K%.

GIMME METS (-135) for 1 unit.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Mets -1.5 (+125) because of the Mets’ track record vs. Arrieta and New York’s pitching edge in general.

The Mets’ bullpen is third in both FIP and SIERA and sixth in home run to fly-ball rate.

What’s keeping my money in the wallet is the measly payout for New York winning by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 7.5 (-105) for a quarter unit if at all because while I like New York’s lineup tonight, Chicago’s lineup has been inconsistent at best and nearly 80% of the money is on the Over, according to Pregame.com).

The Cubs thrive on the longball, which Walker hasn’t allowed in his last four starts dating back to last season and the lopsided market makes this a “fade” or nothing spot.

For the record, New York’s money line is the best bet in Mets-Cubs.

PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!

Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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