The New York Mets (58-34) and the Chicago Cubs (34-57) finish their 4-game series Sunday at Wrigley Field. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mets vs. Cubs odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mets lead 3-0.
The Cubs were dealt 2 brutal losses in a Saturday doubleheader, both in extra innings. Their pitchers gave up 2 earned runs combined, but it wasn’t enough.
Both losses were charged to Chicago RHP Mychal Givens, who did not give up a single earned run. The Mets took game 1 of the doubleheader on a sacrifice fly, and they won game 2 after a HBP and a throwing error.
Mets RHP Taijuan Walker threw 6 innings, giving up 1 run with 5 strikeouts in Game 1 while RHP Max Scherzer struck out 11 and allowed 2 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings in Game 2.
The Mets are now on a 4 game win streak while the Cubs are on a 9-game losing skid.
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Mets at Cubs projected starters
LHP David Peterson vs. RHP Adrian Sampson
Peterson (5-2, 3.48 ERA) makes his 13th start and 15th appearance. He has a 1.25 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 through 67 1/3 IP.
- Allows 1.72 BA against left handed batters in 2022.
- Posted a 4.80 ERA while going 2-1 in July.
Sampson (0-1, 3.33 ERA) makes his 5th start and 7th appearance. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 through 27 IP.
- Began the season in the bullpen with 0 ER through 5 2/3 IP across 2 appearances.
- Gave up 3 ER on 6 H and 2 BB with 3 K in 5 1/3 IP in a loss to the Baltimore Orioles Tuesday in his last start.
Mets at Cubs odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Mets -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Cubs +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mets -1.5 (+115) | Cubs +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Mets at Cubs picks and predictions
Prediction
Cubs 6, Mets 4
Money line
LEAN CUBS (+120)
The Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, and after New York took the first 3 games of the series I expect the Cubs to bounce back, especially after 2 very unfortunate losses Saturday.
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Run line/Against the spread
The Cubs have covered 53.1% of the time as home underdogs. If the moneyline is too risky for you LEAN CUBS +1.5 (-140).
Over/Under.
LEAN OVER 7.5 (-130).
The Over is 9-1-1 in Cubs’ last 11 home games when they face a left-handed starter. The Cubs also hit the Over in 5 of their last 7 game 4s of a series.
The Mets echo a trend towards the Over, hitting it 57% of the time after a win.
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