Tag: Memphis Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs odds predictions pick betting line spread

Memphis at Mississippi State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Memphis at Mississippi State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs will welcome the Memphis Tigers to Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Miss., Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Memphis at Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Just on the outside looking on the AFCA Coaches Poll, Mississippi State will look to compete in a difficult SEC West that also has Alabama and Arkansas among top-20 programs.

The Bulldogs were 7-6 last season and will again be led by head coach Mike Leach. QB Will Rogers, who had 4,739 passing yards and 36 touchdowns last season, will captain the side.

He’ll be taking on Memphis, a team that went 6-6 last season and 3-5 in AAC play. It beat the then-top-25 SMU. QB Seth Henigan. who had 25 touchdowns to 8 interceptions last season will lead the Tigers into battle.

Memphis will again be led by head coach Ryan Silverfield, who will enter his third season with the team, possessing a 14-9 record through his first 2 years.

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Memphis at Mississippi State odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 8:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Memphis +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Mississippi State -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Memphis +16.5 (-108) | Mississippi State -16.5 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 57.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Memphis at Mississippi State picks and predictions

Prediction

Mississippi State 38, Memphis 17

Money line

PASS.

An -800 money line wager makes no sense, so look for a different number if you’re looking to back Mississippi State.

Against the spread

BET MISSISSIPPI STATE -16.5 (-112).

Mississippi State didn’t have a wildly successful season last year, but it is bringing back a star quarterback that should be able to improve his already elite play. The Bulldogs beat Auburn, Kentucky and Texas A&M last season.

They also lost to Memphis by 2 last season, which I’m sure Rogers has in the back of his mind. Rogers annihilated Memphis for over 400 yards and 3 touchdowns. He should have a similar performance.

WR Calvin Austin III, who had 3 straight touchdowns (one being a punt return) is now on the Steelers. Replacing his dynamic nature is not going to be easy as he beat the Bulldogs not the play of Henigan.

Rogers should keep the pedal on the metal and blow out the Tigers.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 57.5 (-112).

The game last season was a 31-29 win for Memphis.

Take out the fluky return touchdown, and it would have gone Under this total. This is a lofty total, and Henigan may come out sloppy against a team hoping to be one of the best in the SEC.

The Bulldogs’ leading tackler LB Jett Johnson will return this season along with the team’s leader in sacks and tackles for a loss, LB Tyrus Wheat.

They didn’t have a great 2021, but the Mississippi State defense should be improved this season. Couple that with the absence of Austin III, and I’ll LEAN to the UNDER 57.5 (-112) here.

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NIT Championship: Memphis vs. Mississippi State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Memphis vs. Mississippi State odds and lines, with NIT Championship picks and predictions.

The No. 1 seed Memphis Tigers (19-8) take on the No. 4 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (18-14) Sunday in the NIT Championship Game at Comerica Center in Frisco, Texas. Tip-off is scheduled for noon ET on ESPN. Below, we analyze the Memphis-Mississippi State odds and lines, with March Madness NCAA Tournament picks and predictions.

The Tigers had their NCAA Tournament bubble burst in the AAC Tournament, losing a narrow 76-74 game to Houston in the second round. While they covered the spread, and played the second-seeded Cougars tough, it wasn’t good enough to wow the committee.

Instead of pouting, the Tigers came together and rattled off impressive wins against Dayton, Boise State and Colorado State in the NIT, including a 23-point rout of the Rams in the national semifinals. Seasoned bettors know all about the Tigers, as they’re 4-1 against the spread in the postseason, 8-1 ATS across their past nine games, and 14-2 ATS in their previous 16 contests.

Mississippi State has taken the circuitous route to the NIT title game. There have been times this season it looked like world beaters, and other times it looked like a very bad club. The good version of the team showed up in the NIT semis in an 84-62 rout of Louisiana Tech.

The Bulldogs were no match for 2-seed Alabama in the SEC Tournament game, getting blasted 85-48. The NIT took them in, and the Bulldogs have rattled off three straight wins over St. Louis, Richmond and Louisiana Tech in a Bulldog-on-Bulldog matchup. They haven’t been cover kings like Memphis, but Mississippi State is a respectable 7-3 ATS across its past 10 games.

Memphis vs. Mississippi State: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Memphis -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Mississippi State +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Memphis -4.5 (-110) | Mississippi State +4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 135 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Memphis vs. Mississippi State: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Memphis 70, Mississippi State 63

Money line (ML)

MEMPHIS (-200) is right at my personal money line limit. I don’t love the Tigers on the ML, but they’re not a bad play if you just want a little action on the NIT title game and don’t want to sweat out the points.

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Against the spread (ATS)

MEMPHIS -4.5 (-110) has been on fire both straight up and against the number, and has made plenty of wise guys a solid pile of cheddar over the past couple of months.

It doesn’t matter what games you’re betting at this juncture, or even if it is not an NCAA Tournament game. Dollars bet on winners in the NIT or CBI cash just the same as those in the Big Dance. Had the Tigers made the field of 68, they likely could have made some noise, too.

Memphis isn’t much to speak about at the offensive end, but it has a shut down defense, and defenses wins championships. The Tigers rank 19th in the nation with 62.3 points per game allowed, fourth with a 38.4% defensive field-goal percentage and second against the three ball at 26.8%.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 135 (-110) is the lean here, and that’s not just because of Memphis and its defense.

Mississippi State plays a good brand of defense, too, and allowed 65.7 PPG this season. It held the opposition to just 39.9% from the field to rank 20th overall.

The Under is 9-5 in the past 14 games for MSU and 13-5-1 in the previous 19 for Memphis.

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