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The Atlanta Hawks (14-14) welcome the Memphis Grizzlies (19-9) to State Farm Arena Saturday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Grizzlies vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting, last season’s series ended tied 1-1.
The Grizzlies beat the Golden State Warriors 144-93 Thursday, ending with a 22-point lead after the first quarter. They closed as a 2-point home favorite and were led by F Jaren Jackson Jr., who scored 17 points. Memphis is 19-9 against the spread (ATS) on the season and 12-4 ATS at home, the second-best home-covering record in the NBA.
The Hawks lost in a shootout 133-126 to the San Antonio Spurs in overtime Thursday, closing as a 1.5-point road underdog. They were led by F De’Andre Hunter, who tallied 27 points on 9-for-15 shooting. Atlanta has lost 2 straight games and 3 of its last 4, but this stretch is on the back of a 6-game winning streak. It is 11-17 ATS on the season.
Grizzlies at Hawks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Hawks +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -1.5 (-110) | Hawks +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 242.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Grizzlies at Hawks key injuries
Grizzlies
- G Ja Morant (back) doubtful
- G Marcus Smart (shoulder) questionable
- F Vince Williams Jr. (ankle) out
Hawks
- C Onyeka Okongwu (knee) out
- G Trae Young (heel) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Grizzlies at Hawks picks and predictions
Prediction
Grizzlies 124, Hawks 121
Moneyline
PASS.
While there is some credence to this being a good play and reducing some risk on the spread, the Hawks have disappointed at home, and that should continue Saturday.
Memphis is better played on the spread than the slightly more expensive moneyline odds.
Against the spread
BET GRIZZLIES -1.5 (-110).
The Hawks’ success has usually came on the road than at home. They are just 4-9 ATS in Atlanta and have failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 games. Atlanta has allowed at least 132 points in 3 of its last 5 games.
The Grizzlies have been on fire for bettors and have covered in 5 of their last 6 games, scoring at least 135 points in 3 of their last 4. Memphis is 7-5 ATS on the road. Back GRIZZLIES -1.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET OVER 242.5 (-105).
Both teams can score with ease and also play at a fast tempo, a good recipe for points. Memphis is 17-11 O/U on the season and 3-2 O/U in its last 5 games. It has scored at least 127 in 4 of its last 5.
The Hawks, who are 18-10 O/U on the season, have allowed at least 132 in 3 of their last 5 and have scored at least 119 in 4 of their last 7. Considering those trends, play OVER 242.5 (-105).
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