Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Utah Jazz (14-4) host the Dallas Mavericks (8-10) Friday for a second straight game at Vivint Arena. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Jazz NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Both teams shot 46.2% from the field Wednesday but, Utah smoked Dallas 116-102 because they sunk four more 3-point attempts and eight more free throws. It was the third loss in a row for the Mavericks who’ve lost six of their previous eight and are 3-5 against the spread (ATS) in those games.

Utah is trending in the opposite direction, winning 10 straight games and covering the spread in all 10, to move atop the Western Conference. The Jazz are third in net rating and second in 3-point percentage and are the best rebounding team in the NBA.

The Jazz have had the Mavericks’ number since Dallas drafted PG Luka Doncic. Utah is 6-2 overall and 5-2-1 ATS dating back to the beginning of the 2018-19 season.

Mavericks at Jazz: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:05 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mavericks +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Jazz -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks +3.5 (-110) | Jazz -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 221.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Jazz: Key injuries

Mavericks

  • PF Maxi Kleber (health and safety protocols) out

Jazz

  • SG Donovan Mitchell (concussion) questionable
  • PF Derrick Favors (back) questionable

Special NBA Betting Promotion!

Place a $1 bet on either team’s money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a 3-pointer during the game today. Promotion available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN, VA and WV. IA and PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer!

Place your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Mavericks at Jazz: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 114, Jazz 110

Money line (ML)

There’s no question the Jazz have little chance at making an NBA Finals run without All-Star SG Donovan Mitchell but they have a net negative rating when Mitchell is on the court compared to off.

While it’s probably an anomaly, maybe there’s less ball movement on the floor for Utah when Mitchell is in the game. In Wednesday’s game against the Mavericks, SF Joe Ingles and SG Jordan Clarkson both erupted with higher usage and All-Star C Rudy Gobert had his best game of the season with 29 points, 20 rebounds, 3 blocks and 3 steals.

Also, this being the healthiest the Mavericks have been in weeks plus a buy-low spot for them and a sell-high spot for Utah gives me faith in Dallas. I lean MAVERICKS (+135) for a quarter-unit.

Against the spread (ATS)

According to Pregame.com, more than 70% of the action is on Utah but the bookmakers are moving the line as if bettors were backing Dallas. What that tells me is the House wants Jazz money. Don’t fall for it and take the insurance with Dallas.

GIMME MAVERICKS +3.5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

There are just more reasons to like OVER 222.5 (-110) here. First, the market slightly prefers the Over and the bookmakers are adjusting the total according to that. Second, the Over has cashed in 10 of the last 14 Mavericks-Jazz games.

Lastly, the combined O/U record of the officiating crew assigned to this game is 16-11 O/U this season. It’s more of a lean than a like but I’ll place a small bet on OVER 221.5 (-110).

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Dallas Mavericks (8-9) play a road game against the Utah Jazz (13-4) Wednesday at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Mavericks-Jazz NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

It’s been a bumpy couple of weeks for the Mavericks, who’ve dealt with their fair share of COVID-related absences. Dallas is just 2-5 overall and 3-4 against the spread over its last seven games.

The Mavericks’ defense has fallen off in these games mostly because a lot of their frontcourt has been out. They rank 27th in defensive rating and 25th in opponent’s points in the paint since Jan. 15.

Utah has been playing on the opposite side of the spectrum, winning nine in a row and covering all nine. The Jazz are one of the best shooting teams in the league—fourth in effective field-goal percentage—and the best rebounding team. However, Utah will be without leading-scorer SG Donovan Mitchell, who’s out after being placed in concussion protocol.

The only meeting of the three the Mavericks beat the Jazz in last season was during the restart in the Orlando bubble, which coincidently Mitchell also missed.

Mavericks at Jazz: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mavericks +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Jazz -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mavericks +2.5 (-120) | Jazz -2.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Jazz: Key Injuries

Mavericks

  • SF Dorian Finney-Smith (health and safety protocols) questionable
  • PF Maxi Kleber (health and safety protocols) out
  • Dwight Powell (health and safety protocols) questionable
  • SG Josh Richardson (health and safety protocols) questionable

Jazz

  • SG Donovan Mitchell (concussion) out

Special NBA Betting Promotion!

Place a $1 bet on either team’s money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a 3-pointer during the game today. Promotion available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN, VA and WV. IA and PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer!

Place your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!

Mavericks at Jazz: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Mavericks 111, Jazz 104

Money line (ML)

This is very dependent on the final injury report but I like MAVERICKS (+115) for 1 unit in this spot.

While the Jazz are one of if not the most balanced offense in the Association, Mitchell is 11th in usage rate and he is Utah’s go-to guy for when the offense struggles. Three of the Jazz’s starters have a higher effective field-goal percentage and PG Mike Conley leads the team in offensive win shares, but all that is made possible by Mitchell absorbing a majority of the opponent’s attention.

Circling back to why the final injury report matters a lot is because the Mavericks could get back three of their best defenders. That should tip the balance in their favor against a Mitchell-less Jazz.

Against the spread (ATS)

PASS. The Mavericks +2.5 (-110) isn’t worth the insurance and I’d rather just play the +115 money line for an outright Dallas win.

Over/Under (O/U)

Prior to a bunch of Mavericks missing time because of COVID-19, Dallas was playing better on the defensive end of the floor than offensive. Mitchell’s absence figures to hurt Utah’s prolific offense and the Mavericks should begin to return to their previous defensive form (pending the injury report).

Furthermore, this is a Pros vs. Joes situation in the betting market. More than 80% of the money is on the Under, but 60% of the bets placed are on the Over, according to Pregame.com. Typically, the sharp side is the money column and the tickets column represents the average joe.

I’ll TAKE UNDER 219.5 (-110) for a half-unit.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Also see: 

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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