In a flyweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Manel Kape and Matheus Nicolau meet at UFC on ESPN+ 51 – also known as UFC Fight Night 187 or UFC Vegas 21 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The early prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, and then the main card on ESPN+ at 8 p.m. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN+ 51 odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
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UFC on ESPN+ 51 Kape vs. Nicolau: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:22 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Kape -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Nicolau +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -140 | Under +115)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -105 | No -115)
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UFC on ESPN+ 51 Kape vs. Nicolau: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Kape 15-5 | Nicolau 15-3-1
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
The Portuguese native KAPE (-135) lost a unanimous decision to Alexandre Pantoja in his UFC debut on Feb. 6, 2021, on the Overeem-Volkov card. Kape had registered three KO/TKO victories prior to arriving at the UFC level.
Nicolau will be making his second try at the UFC after going 3-1 in his first go-around, including a unanimous-decision win over Louis Smolka at UFC 219 on Dec. 30, 2017.
Kape is a powerful puncher and a well-rounded fighter who can also get it done on the ground. That versatility will serve him well against the black belt Nicolau, who will be looking to damage Kape with kicks to the calves. If Kape can limit the damage to his legs, he’ll win this one going away.
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Over/Under (O/U)
Both of these young fighters are looking to stick around the UFC level for a while, and Kape is looking for his first-ever win with the company.
There will be nerves, as he tries for win No. 1, and Nicolau tries to get it right in his second go-around.
The books consider the distance bet a coin flip, but I think YES (-105) ‘WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?’ is a tremendous play given the inexperience on both sides.
They will be careful, they will not do things to put themselves in danger, and I believe KAPE ON POINTS (+300) is worth a look, too.
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MMA Junkie:
- UFC Fight Night 187 weigh-in highlights, faceoffs and photo gallery
- Kape: ‘blessed’ to have trained with Khabib for Fight Night 187
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