Maryland at Penn State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Maryland at Penn State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 24 Maryland Terrapins (20-10, 11-8 Big Ten) battle the Penn State Nittany Lions (18-12, 9-10) Sunday at Bryce Jordan Center (CBS). Tip is set for noon ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Maryland vs. Penn State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Maryland beat Penn State at home 74-68 on Feb. 11, failing to cover as an 8-point home favorite. The Over 131.5 hit.

The Terrapins are coming into this game following a 73-62 loss at Ohio State as a 1-point underdog. Maryland is 4-2 straight up over its last 6 and 3-3 against the spread (ATS) over that span. It is 19-11 ATS this season.

Penn State is 16-12-2 ATS this season and is coming off a 68-65 win at Northwestern, covering as a 4.5-point road underdog. The Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games and are 4-2 straight up over that span.

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Maryland at Penn State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:25 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Maryland +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Penn State -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Maryland +3.5 (-110) | Penn State -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 135.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Maryland at Penn State picks and predictions

Prediction

Penn State 72, Maryland 67

Moneyline

AVOID.

Maryland has been awful in this situation, and Penn State isn’t worth the price. Pass here.

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Against the spread

BET PENN STATE -3.5 (-110).

The Terrapins are 1-6 ATS in games in which they are road underdogs. This has not been a profitable spot for Maryland backers.

The Nittany Lions have also covered 4 of their last 6 and 5 of their last 7 home games. Penn State is 10-8-1 ATS in conference games as well as 8-6-1 ATS as the home side.

Considering the trends, back PENN STATE -3.5 (-110).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 135.5 (-110).

Penn State has gone Over the projected total in 7 of its last 10 games. It is 12-6-1 O/U in conference games with Maryland just 8-11 O/U in Big Ten battles.

However, Maryland is 3-0-1 O/U in its last 4 games as well. The Terrapins are a well-rounded team with 4 players hitting double figures per game. They shoot 45.4% from the field, 138th-best in the nation.

Penn State ranks 60th in shooting (46.6%) and 12th in 3-point shooting (39%). Both sides have capable attacks and have been consistently going Over lately. Back the OVER 135.5 (-110).

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Maryland at Penn State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Maryland Terrapins at Penn State Nittany Lions odds and lines, with college basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Maryland Terrapins (10-8, 4-7 Big Ten) visit the Penn State Nittany Lions (6-8, 3-7) Friday for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Maryland-Penn State college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Maryland at Penn State: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Maryland +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Penn State -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Maryland +3.5 (-110) | Penn State -3.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 144.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Maryland at Penn State: Three things to know

  1. Maryland rallied to beat Purdue 61-60 Tuesday but failed to cover the spread as a 3-point favorite. The Terrapins scored the final 6 points, concluding with junior PG Eric Ayala’s two free throws with 3 seconds left for the comeback victory. Ayala’s 13.8 points per game leads three Terrapins in double figures.
  2. Penn State lost at No. 20 Wisconsin 72-56 Tuesday (ranking courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports). The Nittany Lions, who were 8.5-point underdogs, only trailed 33-31 at the half but were outscored 19-4 in the first 8 minutes of the second half. Junior G Myreon Jones’ 15.6 PPG leads three Lions in double figures.
  3. Penn State won the lone meeting between the two rivals last season, knocking of a fourth-ranked Maryland club 76-69 in State College, Pa. The Lions have won the last two in the head-to-head series.

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Maryland at Penn State: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Penn State 78, Maryland 73

Money line (ML)

PASS. Penn State isn’t good enough to back with a -175 money line wager in a conference game. The Terrapins could steal a victory here, but they are 0-fer in their last four Bryce Jordan Center visits.

Against the spread (ATS)

Back PENN STATE -3.5 (-110) with a THREE-QUARTER (75%)-UNIT bet. As mentioned above, the Lions have won their last four home games vs. the Terrapins. The problem is that PSU has outscored opponents by only 3.1 PPG on its home floor.

As long as this season’s alternating win-loss trends continue for both squads, Penn State ends the night with a W.

The Terrapins have alternated wins and losses in their last five games, while the Lions have traded wins and losses in their last four.

  • Maryland’s current run:  W-L-W-L-W-?
  • Penn State’s current run: W-L-W-L-?

ATS: Maryland 7-10 | Penn State 7-7

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 144.5 (-110) is the way to go. Penn State’s defense yields 76.0 PPG and a Swiss cheese-like 47.1% field goal percentage. Plus, the Over is 4-1 in PSU’s last five home games.

Meanwhile, Maryland’s defense can’t stop the 3, surrendering a 34.9% percentage behind the arc. I’d be surprised if both teams don’t score 70-plus points apiece.

O/U records: Maryland 9-7-1 | Penn State 7-7

Note: Neither team is worthy of a STRONGEST PLAY grade – 1½ times your usual wager – in any option on this card.

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Johnny’s 2020-21 CBK record / Strongest plays 52-41-1 / 23-23
CBK record since Jan. 1 / Strongest plays 37-24-1 / 18-13
2021 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays 50-30-1 / 26-15
2020 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays 178-147-4 / 87-61-1

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Maryland at Penn State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Maryland Terrapins at Penn State Nittany Lions sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Maryland Terrapins (1-1 overall, 1-1 Big Ten) pay a visit to Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (0-2, 0-2) Saturday. Kickoff is at 3:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Maryland-Penn State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Maryland at Penn State: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Maryland +900 (bet $100 to win $900) | Penn State -1667 (bet $1667 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Maryland +25 (-115) | Penn State -25 (-106)
  • Over/Under: 64.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Maryland at Penn State: Three things to know

  1. Maryland defeated Penn State in the first Big Ten meeting between the two schools in 2014. Since then, the Nittany Lions have gone 5-0 straight up (4-1 against the spread) against the Terrapins, and the last few meetings haven’t been even remotely close. PSU downed the Terps 59-0 last year, and the Lions have outscored their neighbors to the southeast, 163-6, over the last three games in the series (2017-19).
  2. The Terrapins are coming off a 45-44 overtime win over Minnesota. Maryland overcame 10 penalties (97 yards) and a minus-2 in turnover margin to register its first Big Ten win since Oct. 5, 2019 (a stretch of nine games). The Terps managed to score 38 points in regulation despite not scoring over the middle two frames in the contest. Maryland had averaged just 12.4 points per game over its eight-game conference skid.
  3. Penn State will be looking to get its scuffling ground game on track against a UM defense that has been gashed for 293.5 rushing yards per game (113th FBS) through two weeks of action. PSU was held to 1.6 yards per carry in the team’s 38-25 loss to Ohio State last week. The Lions had logged 250 yards the week before against Indiana and over their last four games against the Terps have averaged a robust 292.3 per contest.

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Maryland at Penn State: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Penn State 45, Maryland 17

Money line (ML)

Penn State gave a solid showing last week against a top-3 Ohio State team. The Lions put together three 75-yard touchdown drives in the game, and they were within one score (21-13) of the Buckeyes mid-way through the third quarter. In its overtime loss against Indiana the week before, PSU outgained the Hoosiers, 488-211. The Lions were somewhat undone by 10 penalties (100 yards) and by three IU regulation scoring drives under 45 yards.

A side this lopsided usually gets dismissed in the money line arena, but the -1667 tag is fair.

Against the spread (ATS)

There is value on the home side — an angry 0-2 tweam with a big talent advantage — up to 26 points. BACK THE NITTANY LIONS -25 (-106).

Over/Under (O/U)

Recent Beaver Stadium games with PSU favored by multiple scores have trended toward the UNDER 64.5 (-110), and THAT’S THE SOLID LEAN with two teams not proficient in punching through for six in the red zone.

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Maryland at Penn State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Maryland Terrapins at Penn State Nittany Lions sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Maryland Terrapins (1-1 overall, 1-1 Big Ten) pay a visit to Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (0-2, 0-2) Saturday. Kickoff is at 3:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Maryland-Penn State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Maryland at Penn State: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 2 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Maryland +900 (bet $100 to win $900) | Penn State -1667 (bet $1667 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Maryland +25 (-115) | Penn State -25 (-106)
  • Over/Under: 64.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Maryland at Penn State: Three things to know

  1. Maryland defeated Penn State in the first Big Ten meeting between the two schools in 2014. Since then, the Nittany Lions have gone 5-0 straight up (4-1 against the spread) against the Terrapins, and the last few meetings haven’t been even remotely close. PSU downed the Terps 59-0 last year, and the Lions have outscored their neighbors to the southeast, 163-6, over the last three games in the series (2017-19).
  2. The Terrapins are coming off a 45-44 overtime win over Minnesota. Maryland overcame 10 penalties (97 yards) and a minus-2 in turnover margin to register its first Big Ten win since Oct. 5, 2019 (a stretch of nine games). The Terps managed to score 38 points in regulation despite not scoring over the middle two frames in the contest. Maryland had averaged just 12.4 points per game over its eight-game conference skid.
  3. Penn State will be looking to get its scuffling ground game on track against a UM defense that has been gashed for 293.5 rushing yards per game (113th FBS) through two weeks of action. PSU was held to 1.6 yards per carry in the team’s 38-25 loss to Ohio State last week. The Lions had logged 250 yards the week before against Indiana and over their last four games against the Terps have averaged a robust 292.3 per contest.

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Maryland at Penn State: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Penn State 45, Maryland 17

Money line (ML)

Penn State gave a solid showing last week against a top-3 Ohio State team. The Lions put together three 75-yard touchdown drives in the game, and they were within one score (21-13) of the Buckeyes mid-way through the third quarter. In its overtime loss against Indiana the week before, PSU outgained the Hoosiers, 488-211. The Lions were somewhat undone by 10 penalties (100 yards) and by three IU regulation scoring drives under 45 yards.

A side this lopsided usually gets dismissed in the money line arena, but the -1667 tag is fair.

Against the spread (ATS)

There is value on the home side — an angry 0-2 tweam with a big talent advantage — up to 26 points. BACK THE NITTANY LIONS -25 (-106).

Over/Under (O/U)

Recent Beaver Stadium games with PSU favored by multiple scores have trended toward the UNDER 64.5 (-110), and THAT’S THE SOLID LEAN with two teams not proficient in punching through for six in the red zone.

Want some action in this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.


Additional college football coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama football / Auburn football / Florida football / Georgia football / LSU football / Michigan football / Michigan State football / Notre Dame football / Ohio State football / Oklahoma football / Tennessee football / Texas football / USC football / Wisconsin football

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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