Tag: Marlins Yankees odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

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The Miami Marlins (1-11) and New York Yankees (10-2) meet Wednesday as they put a lid on a 3-game series in the Bronx. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 2-0

Miami has registered just 6 hits (5 singles and 1 double) in the 1st 2 games of this series. The Marlins have scored 2 runs or less in 5 of their last 7 games.

The Yankees have ridden strong pitching in winning 7-0 Tuesday and 3-2 on Wednesday.  The New York staff owns a 2.48 ERA for the season.

Marlins at Yankees projected starters

LHP Ryan Weathers vs. RHP Marcus Stroman

Weathers (0-1, 4.00 ERA) is making his 3rd start. He has registered a 1.67 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 9 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 6 K in 8-5 loss at St. Louis Cardinals Thursday
• Has never faced the Yankees

Stroman (1-0, 0.00 ERA) is also tabbed for start No. 3. He owns a 0.83 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 12 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 3-0 loss vs. Toronto Blue Jays Friday
• Career vs. Marlins: 1-0, 3.00 ERA (30 IP, 10 ER), 27 H, 6 BB, 29 K

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Marlins at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:37 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Marlins +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Yankees -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-105) | Yankees -1.5 (-115)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Marlins at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Marlins 4

Moneyline

PASS: the Yanks are a lean but only a value up to about -215.

Run line/Against the spread

None of Miami’s last 10 losses have been by multiple runs. A Yankee offense making better contact is more dangerous than what was a bottom-3rd group a year ago. These Yankee batters do not chase bad pitches, and that’s problematic for Weathers, who owns a high 9.4% career walk rate.

FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best leverage here: consider a partial-unit play on NEW YORK -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Both offenses have been hampered by some ball-in-play bad luck so far.

Weathers’ command issues could set up a crooked-number inning or 2 for New York, and peg Stroman as being due some regression this 3rd time out.

The Over has been the play the last 2 nights and has not cashed. It’s the play again here, but to a slightly lesser degree: go in with a partial-unit play on the OVER 8.5 (-115).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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The Miami Marlins (1-10) and New York Yankees (9-2) meet Tuesday as they play the 2nd game a 3-game series in the Bronx. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: New York leads 1-0

The Marlins opened their season with 9 straight losses. They snapped that skid with a Sunday triumph at the St. Louis Cardinals but were then dumped 7-0 in the Monday lid-lifter to this series at Yankee Stadium. Miami had just 2 hits Monday and has clocked a mere .586 OPS for the the season.

The Yankees rode a strong pitching performance by LHP Nestor Cortes and 3-run home runs by SS Anthony Volpe and RF Juan Soto in Monday’s win. New York has won 3 straight games, slashing a .294/.412/.533 (.945 OPS) along the way.

Marlins at Yankees projected starters

LHP A.J. Puk vs. LHP Carlos Rodon

Puk (0-2, 9.00 ERA) is making his 3rd start this season. He has registered a 2.83 WHIP, 13.5 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 6 innings.

• Last outing: Loss, 4 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 10-2 loss vs. Los Angeles Angels Wednesday
• Career vs. Yankees: 0-1, 3.86 ERA (4 2/3 IP, 2 ER), 3 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 6 relief appearances
• Prior to this year, had appeared in 142 career games, all as a reliever

Rodon (0-0, 2.79 ERA) is tabbed for his 3rd start. He owns a 1.76 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 in 9 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: No-decision, 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 6-5 win at Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday
• Career vs. Marlins: 1-0, 1.64 ERA (11 IP, 2 ER), 6 H, 5 BB, 7 K in 2 starts

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Marlins at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Marlins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Yankees -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-135) | Yankees -1.5 (+110)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Marlins at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Yankees 6, Marlins 4

Moneyline

PASS: no value here.

Run line/Against the spread

Miami’s last 9 losses have all been by multiple runs. A Yankee offense making better contact is more dangerous than what was a bottom-3rd group a year ago.

FanDuel Sportsbook offers the best leverage here: peg NEW YORK -1.5 (+112) as being worth a partial-unit play.

Over/Under

Both offenses have been hampered by some ball-in-play bad luck so far. Puk as a starter is a question mark, and he’s backed by a bullpen that has yielded too much hard contact while posting a 5.69 ERA.

Rodon is not the pitcher he was when he was notching a 2.67 ERA over 2021-22 for the Chicago White Sox. The veteran port-sider now runs into more bats and exhibits less control.

The Over 8 was a moderate-strength play Monday but didn’t cash when the Marlins failed to participate in the total. The OVER 8 (-115) is an even stronger play in this 2nd game.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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The Miami Marlins (1-9) and New York Yankees (8-2) meet Monday as they swing into a 3-game set in the Bronx. First pitch at Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 6:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Yankees odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Miami won last year’s series 2-1

The Marlins snapped a lid-lifting 9-game losing streak Sunday when  they defeated the St. Louis Cardinals 10-3. Miami’s 10 runs were more than the club had scored over its previous 4 games.

The Yankees took 2 of 3 from the Toronto Blue Jays over the weekend. New York was shut out Friday, but bounced back with 17 runs over the weekend.

Marlins at Yankees projected starters

LHP Jesus Luzardo vs. LHP Nestor Cortes

Luzardo (0-1, 4.35 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 10 1/3 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 3-1 loss vs. Los Angeles Angels Tuesday
• Career vs. Yankees: 0-2, 24.55 ERA (3 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 10 H, 3 BB, 2 K

Cortes (0-1, 6.30 ERA) is tabbed for his 3rd start. He owns a 1.70 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 in 10 IP.

• Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 7-0 loss at Arizona Diamondbacks Tuesday
• Has never faced the Marlins

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Marlins at Yankees odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:16 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline: Marlins +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Yankees -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
• Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-150) | Yankees -1.5 (+125)
• Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Marlins at Yankees picks and predictions

Prediction

Marlins 5, Yankees 4

Moneyline

The Marlins have legitimately been as bad as their record indicates so far. That is to say underlying analytics do not paint a rosier picture than 4.00 runs per game vs. 6.50 RPG allowed.

And the Yankees thus far appear to have fixed its offensive woes from a year ago when they ranked 25th in MLB run scoring (4.15 RPG). With RF Juan Soto (.873 OPS) and SS Anthony Volpe (1.093 OPS) providing from level-swing, gap-to-gap prowess, the Yanks have cut their strikeout rate while averaging a more representative 4.90 RPG.

That being said, starting pitching makes baseball betting unique. And Luzardo is the better starter. Cortes just is not the same pitcher he was in 2021-22 when he clocked a 2.61 ERA, 0.98 WHIP over 50 games. The New York port-sider has been running into a lot of bats and does not have the same excellent control he had a couple years back.

There is a lot of gravity in baseball. It keeps clubs from playing .100 baseball at one end and .818 ball at the other.

Peg MIAMI +135 as being worthy of a partial-unit play.

Run line/Against the spread

A Miami lean, but we should want a price more in the -140 or -145 range. AVOID.

Over/Under

Both offenses have been hampered by some ball-in-play bad luck so far. And even being the more likable starter in this match-up, Luzardo has allowed plenty of loud contact so far.

The Yanks suffered a key bullpen loss the other day when RHP Jonathan Loaisaga went down with a season-ending injury. That hole in the relief corps plus some potential unavailability elsewhere in the bullpen dings the New York run-prevention sector of this one.

FanDuel Sportsbook has the best total to leverage: BACK THE OVER 8 (-118).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
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