The Miami Marlins (49-60) meet the Philadelphia Phillies (61-48) Wednesday for the 2nd game of a 3-game set at Citizens Bank Park with the 1st pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Miami is just 2-8 in the last 10 games and lost Tuesday’s series opener to Philly 4-1.
The Phillies have won 9 of their last 10 games, including 5 straight. They’re 2nd in the NL wild card race.
Season series: The Phillies lead 7-4
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Marlins at Phillies projected starters
RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. RHP Noah Syndergaard
Alcantara is 10-4 with a 1.88 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 158 1/3 IP across 22 starts.
- Last start: Won 3-0 at home vs. the Cincinnati Reds Aug. 3 with a complete-game shutout, 6 H, 1 BB and 3 K
- 2022 vs. the Phillies: 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA (22 IP, 6 ER), 1.05 WHIP and 9.0 K/9 in 3 starts
Syndergaard is 6-8 with a 4.02 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 in 85 IP over 16 starts.
- Last start: Won 5-4 at home vs. the Washington Nationals with 5 IP, 4 ER, 11 H, 0 BB and 2 K in a rain-shortened game
- This is Syndergaard’s 2nd start for the Phillies since being acquired from the Los Angeles Angels at the trade deadline.
- 2022 vs. the Marlins: 1 start, a 2-1 loss July 5 in Miami while pitching for L.A. with 5 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 2 HR, 0 BB and 8 K.
Marlins at Phillies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:21 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Marlins +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Phillies -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-205) | Phillies -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)
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Marlins at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 5, Marlins 2
Money line
BET the PHILLIES (-130) because most of the public will be on the Marlins (+105) at a plus-number with Alcantara on the hill.
Also, Syndergaard’s stuff has been solid this season and he’ll be rejuvenated to be in the playoff hunt after leaving L.A.
Furthermore, Philly is on-fire recently and tied for 3rd in wRC+, 2nd in wOBA and has hit the most home runs in MLB over the last 2 weeks, per FanGraphs.
The PHILLIES (-130) is my favorite look in this game.
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Run line/Against the spread
LEAN PHILLIES -1.5 (+165) because this is a juicy payout and 6 of their last 7 wins have been by at least 2 runs.
However, the Marlins +1.5 (-205) are 28-16 RL as road underdogs and the Phillies are 22-25 RL as home favorites. Also, Alcantara is 5-1 RL in his Marlins career at Citizens Bank Park.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-135) because Alcantara is the odds on favorite to win the 2022 NL Cy Young award and the Marlins are 8-13-1 O/U in Alcantara starts and 1-5 O/U when Alcantara visits Philly.
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