The Miami Marlins (37-31) and Seattle Mariners (33-33) wrap up a 3-game set Wednesday at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Mariners lead 2-0
The Marlins lost 9-3 as +140 underdogs Tuesday. Miami has dropped back-to-back contests for the 1st time since dropping 3 in a row from May 21-23 and is 4 games behind the Atlanta Braves for the lead in the NL East.
The Mariners closed as -152 home favorites in Tuesday’s win. Seattle has won 2 in a row for the 1st time since May 27-28 and sits 4th in the AL West, 8 games back of the division-leading Texas Rangers.
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Marlins at Mariners projected starters
RHP Eury Pérez vs. RHP Luis Castillo
Pérez (3-1, 2.17 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.21 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 29 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 6 K in a 2-1 loss at Chicago White Sox Friday
- First career start vs. Mariners
Castillo (4-4, 2.70 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 through 76 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 10 K in a 5-4 loss at Los Angeles Angels Friday
- Career vs. Marlins: 5-0, 2.08 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 31 H, 3 HR, 7 BB, 45 K in 6 starts
Marlins at Mariners odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:35 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Mariners -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-140) | Mariners -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Marlins at Mariners picks and predictions
Prediction
Marlins 3, Mariners 2
Moneyline
BET MARLINS (+160).
Miami has not been swept in a series since dropping a 3-game set vs. the Braves, who are the World Series favorites at +425, from May 2-4. The Mariners have swept the Rockies and the Athletics (twice) this season, but have not been able to complete a sweep against a team with a winning record. Miami should be able to bounce back Wednesday after 2 bad losses and pull out a close victory with Pérez on the mound.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
Miami +1.5 (-140) should hit, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the run line when the Marlins should win straight up. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 7 (-115).
Miami’s pitching staff has helped keep games low-scoring after losses as the Under is 8-2 in Miami’s last 10 after dropping its previous game. The Under has hit in 7 of Seattle’s last 10 home games vs. right-handed starters and should cash again Wednesday with Pérez and Castillo as the starting pitchers.
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