Tag: Marlins Diamondbacks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (18-34) face the Arizona Diamondbacks (24-27) on the road Saturday for the 2nd game of their 3-game series. First pitch from Chase Field is at 10:10 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Marlins lead 1-0

The Marlins have won 2 in a row and 7 of their last 9 games. They took the opener on Friday 3-0 behind Braxton Garrett’s complete-game, 4-hit shutout. They have not allowed a run in their last 2 games.

The Diamondbacks had won 2 straight and 3 of 4 entering the series. It was their 3rd straight loss in a series opener.

Marlins at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Sixto Sanchez vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery

Sanchez (0-2, 6.41 ERA) makes his 6th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.69 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 through 26 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 2 K in 7-3 home defeat vs. New York Mets Sunday
  • 0-1 with 6.52 ERA since joining the starting rotation

Montgomery (2-2, 4.98 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.37 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 5.2 K/9 through 34 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No decision, 6 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 6-4 home win vs. Detroit Tigers Sunday
  • Diamondbacks have won his last 3 starts

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Marlins at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:16 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Diamondbacks -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-125) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Marlins at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Marlins 5

Moneyline

Before getting shut out Friday, Arizona had scored 6 or more runs in 3 of 4. The D-backs have won Montgomery’s last 3 starts.

The Marlins, though, have been getting some great pitching performances. They have 5 shutout wins in their last 9 games.

I like Arizona to bounce back but -185 isn’t worth a wager.

PASS. 

Run line/Against the spread

The Marlins are 11-12 ATS as road dogs. Of their last 14 losses, 13 have been by more than 1 run.

The Diamondbacks are 10-16 ATS at home and 7-12 ATS as home favorites.

Four of Arizona’s last 8 wins have been by only 1 run.

I like the Diamondbacks to win but the Marlins will cover the +1.5.

BET MARLINS +1.5 (-125).

Over/Under

Three of the last 4 for Miami have stayed Under 10 total runs. But each of its last 5 losses have all had 10 or more total runs.

Five of Arizona’s last 7 games have had totals of 10 or more.

BET OVER 9.5 (-105).

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Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Miami Marlins (17-34) kick off a 6-game road trip with the 1st game of a 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (24-26) on Friday. First pitch from Chase Field is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Marlins won 2023 series 4-2

The Marlins have won 6 of their last 8 games and are coming off a series win over the Milwaukee Brewers as they won the finale 1-0 on Wednesday before an off day.

The Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last 4 and took the final 2 games of their road series against the Los Angeles Dodgers to pick up a series win. They shut out the Dodgers 6-0 on Wednesday before having an off day.

Marlins at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Braxton Garrett vs. RHP Zac Gallen

Garrett (0-0, 10.24 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 3 BB and 13 K in 9 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 4 1/3 IP, 6 R, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 10-9 home win over New York Mets last Saturday
  • Making only 3rd start since returning from a shoulder injury
  • Marlins have won both his starts this season

Gallen (5-3, 3.02 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 50 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 2/3 IP, 3 R, 7 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 8-3 home loss to Detroit Tigers on Saturday
  • Is 3-0 with 1.35 ERA in 3 career starts vs. Marlins, his former team

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Marlins at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:22 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Marlins +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Diamondbacks -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-145) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: -105)

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Marlins at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Marlins 3

Moneyline

The Diamondbacks are 16-10 against teams without winning records. The Marlins are 7-15 on the road, although they come in with a 2-game road winning streak.

Arizona has scored 6 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games. And Gallen has been so good against the Marlins in 3 career starts.

But don’t bet the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at -175. That just costs too much.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks are 7-11 ATS as home favorites this season but the Marlins are 10-12 ATS as road dogs.

While the Marlins have won 6 of their last 8 games, 13 of their last 14 losses have been by multiple runs.

BET DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (+120).

Over/Under

Nine of the Diamondbacks’ last 11 games have had 8 or more total runs while 4 of the last 6 games for the Marlins have had 8 runs or more.

BET OVER 7.5 (-130).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (13-15) open a 3-game road series Monday against the Arizona Diamondbacks (15-14). First pitch is 9:40 p.m. at Chase Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Diamondbacks with MLB picks and predictions.

The Diamondbacks lead the season series 3-0.

The Marlins lost 3 of 4 games in a road series against the San Diego Padres over the weekend, including 3-2 in the Sunday finale. They have lost 7 of their last 8 games after a 7-game win streak.

The Diamondbacks beat the Colorado Rockies 4-0 Sunday to take 2 of 3 games in the home series. They have won 5 of their last 6 games and 9 of their last 12. They swept the Marlins on the road May 2-4.

Marlins at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Elieser Hernandez vs. RHP Humberto Castellanos

Hernandez (2-1, 6.66 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 24 1/3 IP.

  • His last start was against the Diamondbacks Wednesday. He had a no-decision in the game but allowed 5 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks in 4 innings.
  • He has allowed 4 or more earned runs and pitched fewer than 5 innings in 3 of his starts this season.

Castellanos (2-1, 4.12 ERA) makes his 5th start and 7th appearance. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 5.5 K/9 through 19 2/3 IP.

  • His last start was against the Marlins Tuesday. He picked up the win going 5 2/3 innings without allowing a run.
  • Picked up the win in his only other home start, allowing 2 runs on 4 hits in 5 innings.

Marlins at Diamondbacks odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Marlins -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins -1.5 (+135) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-170)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Marlins at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 5, Marlins 4

Money line

The Marlins are struggling right now. They were swept by Arizona in Miami last week and have only 1 win in their last 8 games. They are 7-8 this season on the road.

The Diamondbacks’ starting pitching has been carrying them. They have won 9 of their last 12 games behind the league’s No. 2 starting pitching ERA at 2.21.

The Marlins have scored 2 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4 contests.

Take DIAMONDBACKS (+100).

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Run line/Against the spread

The Diamondbacks have MLB’s second-best record against the spread overall this season. They are 18-11 ATS, trailing only the Los Angeles Dodgers at 19-7 ATS. They are 16-10 ATS as underdogs.

The Marlins are 15-13 ATS but only 4-10 ATS as favorites.

It is close to being too pricy to be worth a bet but take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-170).

Over/Under

All 3 games had totals of 9 or more runs in their 3-game series in Miami last week.

Both teams have been in low-scoring games recently. The Marlins haven’t had a game with more than 8 runs in their last 4 outings and the Diamondbacks have not surpassed that number in their last 3 contests.

Castellanos has not pitched more than 5 2/3 innings in any out this season and Arizona’s bullpen ERA is 4.71, the 4th highest in the majors.

Take OVER 8.5 (-112).

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Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Monday’s Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (15-18) and Arizona Diamondbacks (15-19) play the opener of a four-game set Monday at Chase Field with a 9:40 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Marlins are expected to treat Monday’s contest as a bullpen game. They will face the Diamondbacks for the first time since 2019. The last time they were in Arizona, the Fish lost two of three games.

As of this publishing, the Marlins haven’t announced their “opening” pitcher. Two possibilities are RHP Luis Madero or RHP Jordan Holloway. Madero, who would be making his MLB debut, is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 over 3 1/3 IP in 1 start with Triple-A Jacksonville this season. Holloway has made 5 relief appearances with the big-league club in 2021, posting a 1-0 record with a 0.00 ERA, 0.70 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 over 10 IP.

RHP Luke Weaver is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 1-3 with a 6.07 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 and 3.3 BB/9 over 29 2/3 IP through 6 starts.

Weaver faced the Marlins in Miami last time out, and he was bounced for six earned runs, six hits and two walks with six strikeouts across just four innings in a loss. He hasn’t worked more than five innings since April 11.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Marlins at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 4:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Diamondbacks -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Off the board
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (Over -115 | Under -105)

Prediction

Marlins 8, Diamondbacks 7

Money line (ML)

The MARLINS (+105) will have a bullpen game in the opener of this four-game set. The Marlins just handled the Diamondbacks and Weaver last week, so play the underdogs in Game 1 of this series.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with the RL off the board.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8.5 (-115) is the best play on the board here. In fact, the Marlins posted an 8-0 win over Weaver and the Snakes in Miami Wednesday, taking care of the Over on their own. Don’t be surprised if they can do that yet again, although the Diamondbacks will score plenty in this bullpen game for the Fish.

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