The Miami Marlins (55-80) and Philadelphia Phillies (75-61) cap off a 3-game series Thursday with a 6:45 p.m. ET first pitch at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Philadelphia leads 10-5
The Marlins have dropped the first 2 games of this series and have lost 9 straight games overall. Miami owns a whiff-heavy .499 OPS over that stretch. The Fish are just 7-23 since Aug. 5.
The Phillies are 16-5 over their last 21 games at Citizens Bank Park. A club that has mostly struggled all season in 1-run games has won games this series by scores of 3-2 and 4-3.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Marlins at Phillies projected starters
RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. RHP Kyle Gibson
Alcantara (12-7, 2.36 ERA) is lined up for his 28th start of the season. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 through 190 2/3 IP.
- ERA and WHIP figures are would-be career bests
- Has gone 7 or more innings in 3 straight starts against Philadelphia
- Has held current Phillies to an aggregate .704 OPS
- Owns a 3.96 ERA ERA in the 2nd half and has been a better 1st-half pitcher over his career (2.76 ERA 1st half vs. 3.74 ERA 2nd half)
Gibson (9-6, 4.48 ERA) owns a 1.25 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 140 2/3 IP across 26 starts.
- Allowed 7 runs in 1 2/3 IP in his last start (Friday at the San Francisco Giants), but has still registered a 3.92 ERA over his last 7 starts
- Current Miami bats own a high-contact .780 OPS against him
Marlins at Phillies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:34 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Marlins +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Phillies -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-190) | Phillies -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +110 | U: -135)
Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Marlins at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Marlins 4, Phillies 3
Money line
Gibson has faltered in 2 of his last 3 starts, and with Miami’s numbers against him, he is too risky at this price.
Look for Alcantara to rebound after two high-pitch count games which fed into his misstep last outing (6 R allowed in 5 IP against the Atlanta Braves Friday).
Recognizing the depths of the Miami slump, consider a partial-unit play on the MARLINS (+115).
Run line/Against the spread
Too much juice to overcome: PASS.
Over/Under
Indicators swing both ways, pointing to some leverage north and south of the 7-7.5-run range. With that kind of equilibrium, a PASS is recommended.
Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]
