Seattle Mariners at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Seattle Mariners at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Seattle Mariners (9-10) visit the Colorado Rockies (4-15) Saturday night in the opener of a 3-game series after Friday’s game was postponed. First pitch from Coors Field is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mariners vs. Rockies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2024.

Seattle has won 3 games in a row after beating Cincinnati 5-1 Wednesday to complete the sweep and cover as a -133 home favorite. DH Mitch Garver, C Cal Raleigh and 3B Josh Rojas each homered while RHP Bryce Miller gave up 1 ER in 6 innings to pick up the win.

The Rockies have lost 5 games in a row after falling 7-6 against the Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday and getting swept on the road. A 5-run 8th inning with 2 RBIs from SS Ezequiel Tovar was not enough to complete the comeback. RHP Ryan Feltner gave up 6 ER in 5.1 innings to pick up the loss.

Mariners at Rockies projected starters

RHP Luis Castillo vs. RHP Dakota Hudson

Castillo (0-4, 5.82 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 11.2 K/9 through 21.2 IP.

  • Coming off his best start of the season: Loss, 6 IP, 2 ER, 0 BB, 9 K against Chicago Cubs
  • 2 career starts in Coors Field: 0-2, 11.57 ERA, 2.36 WHIP, 11 K in 9 1/3 IP

Hudson (0-3, 4.15 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 17.1 IP.

  • The Rockies are 0-3 in Hudson’s previous 3 starts with the team providing just 5 total runs of offense total.
  • Hudson has struck out 11 batters while walking 6 this season. He has allowed 8 ER in his past 2 starts combined.

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Mariners at Rockies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 11:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Mariners -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Rockies +155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Mariners -1.5 (-120) | Rockies +1.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Mariners at Rockies picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 6, Rockies 3

Moneyline

PASS.

There is minimal value on the Mariners, who are 5-2 in their last 7 games, to beat the Rockies who are 2-8 in their last 10.

Run line/Against the spread

BET MARINERS -1.5 (-120).

Seattle has won 3 games in a row with each coming by 2 or more runs. They have allowed a total of 5 runs total in that span. Each of its last 6 wins have come by at least 2 runs. 3 of the last 5 losses for the Rockies have come by 2 or more runs with the team scoring 1 run or less in 3 of its last 5.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 10 (-105).

While both pitchers have not had strong outings to start the season, neither team has a strong offense. The Mariners have scored 5 runs or fewer in 8 of their last 10 while the Rockies have scored 3 runs or fewer in 7 of their last 10.

Seattle has hit the Under in 8 of its last 10 while Colorado has hit the Under in 7 of its last 10.

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Seattle Mariners at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Seattle Mariners at Colorado Rockies odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Seattle Mariners (50-44) travel to Coors Field Tuesday to play the host Colorado Rockies (41-53).  The opener of their two-game interleague series is set for an 8:40 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Mariners vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 1-1.

LHP Marco Gonzales is Seattle’s projected starter. Gonzales is 1-5 with a 5.88 ERA (56 2/3 IP, 37 ER), 1.47 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 over 11 starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB and 3 K in Seattle’s 7-3 victory over the Los Angeles Angels July 9.
  • 2021 road splits: 1-3 with a 6.98 ERA (19 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 22 H, 8 BB and 17 K in four starts.

RHP German Marquez makes his 20th start for the Rockies. Marquez is 8-6 with a 3.36 ERA (112 1/3 IP, 42 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 3-0, with 7 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 9 K at the San Diego Padres July 10.
  • Marquez beat the Mariners in Seattle June 23 with a stat line of 8 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 0 BB and 7 K in Colorado’s 5-2 win.
  • vs. Mariners on the current roster: 45 at-bats with a .178/.213/.311 slash line, 10/1 K/BB rate, 2 HR and 5 RBIs.

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Mariners at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2:40 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Mariners +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Rockies -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Mariners +1.5 (-125) | Rockies -1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 11 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Rockies 6, Mariners 2

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Rockies (-175) because they are 32-19 at home this season and 15-12 vs. lefty starters while the Mariners are 21-24 on the road and 30-31 against right-handed starters.

However, I’m staying away because -175 is too much to lay with the Rockies. Colorado will probably sell assets at the trade deadline since it is 18.5 games back of first in the NL West, and the Mariners are a feisty dog this year.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

“LEAN” to the ROCKIES -1.5 (+105) for a half unit since Colorado has the best cover rate at home this season at 32-19 ATS, and Marquez has been dominant at Coors Field while Gonzales has been awful on the road this year.

For instance, Marquez is 6-1 with a 3.06 ERA in Colorado this season (3.89 road ERA), 1.12 WHIP (1.18 road WHIP) and has allowed only three home runs at Coors Field through 12 starts and 70 2/3 IP.

Comparing Marquez’s home splits against Gonzales’ road splits is where I see the value in Colorado’s run line at plus-money.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 11 (-115) for a half unit as a “contrarian play” against a market that’s barreling into the Over for the obvious reason (Coors Field’s high altitude).

But, I like Marquez to shut down Seattle’s lineup Tuesday and the Rockies are just 7-11 O/U as a home favorite this season and these teams have a combined 13-17 O/U record when these starters take the mound.

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