Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Maple Leafs (15-5-6) wrap up a 2-game road trip against the Dallas Stars (14-6-5) Tuesday at American Airlines Center. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN+/Hulu). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Maple Leafs vs. Stars odds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Maple Leafs are coming off a 4-3 overtime setback at the Tampa Bay Lightning Saturday as the Over connected. The loss snapped a 5-game win streak for the Leafs. The Under is still 5-2 across the past 7 games overall for Toronto.

The Stars lost a wild 6-5 shootout loss against the Minnesota Wild Sunday, snapping a mini 2-game win streak. Dallas has scored 4 or more goals in 3 straight games, and 5 of the past 6 outings overall.

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Maple Leafs at Stars odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Maple Leafs -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Stars -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Maple Leafs -1.5 (+190) | Stars +1.5 (-270)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Maple Leafs at Stars projected goalies

Matt Murray (5-1-2, 2.63 GAA, .921 SV%) vs. Jake Oettinger (9-2-3, 2.51 GAA, .917 SV%, 2 SO)

Murray allowed 4 goals on 33 shots in the 4-3 OT loss in Tampa Saturday, his most goals allowed since his team debut Oct. 12 in Montreal. He is 5-0-2 in his 7 starts since returning from a lower-body injury Nov. 15.

Oettinger coughed up 4 goals on 16 shots in Sunday’s 6-5 shootout loss against Minnesota. He was pulled after 2 periods in favor of G Scott Wedgewood, who actually ended up taking the loss despite allowing only 1 goal on 15 shots in his 24:53.

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Maple Leafs at Stars picks and predictions

Prediction

Stars 3, Maple Leafs 2

Moneyline

The MAPLE LEAFS (-115) are a solid play as slight favorites against the Stars.

While the arrow points to Dallas in terms of goaltending, the trends say otherwise.

The Leafs have won 6 of the past 7 games on the road, while the Stars are just 1-4 in the past 5 against teams with a winning overall mark. Toronto is also 12-3 in the past 15 meetings overall, and 4-0 in the past 4 visits to the American Airlines.

Puck line/Against the spread

The Stars +1.5 (-270) will cost you more than 2 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s just too much risk for not enough reward. If you like Dallas, just play it straight up.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (-115) might be the best play on the board here.

The Under has cashed in 5 of the past 7 games overall for the Leafs while going 11-3 in the past 14 against teams with a winning overall record.

The Over is 7-2 in the past 9 games at home for the Stars, but the Under is 14-6-4 in the past 24 against teams with an overall winning mark.

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