Manchester City welcomes Bayern Munich to Etihad Stadium Tuesday. Kickoff in the first leg of the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Manchester City vs. Bayern Munich odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Manchester City sits 2nd in the English Premier League and won Group G with a 4-0-2 record, outscoring opponents 14-2. City took down German side RB Leipzig, beating them 7-0 at home and drawing 1-1 on the road. City has won 8 straight games throughout all competitions and is 5-0-3 in their 8 Champions League matches.
Bayern Munich thrashed Group C, winning all 6 games and having a +16 goal differential. They had teams like Inter and Barcelona in the group as well. Bayern took down PSG in the Round of 16, beating them 1-0 and 2-0. The Bundesliga leaders have won all 8 Champions League matches and are 10-3-0 in their last 13 games throughout all competitions.
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Manchester City vs. Bayern Munich odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 6:19 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Manchester City -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Bayern Munich +333 (bet $100 to win $333) | Draw +300
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -165 | U: +120)
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Manchester City vs. Bayern Munich picks and predictions
Prediction
Manchester City 1, Bayern Munich 0
Moneyline (ML)
LEAN MANCHESTER CITY (-135).
City has been an absolute force at home, winning 12 of 14 EPL games. They have also won all 4 Champions League games at home, taking down teams like RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund. They have scored 17 goals in 4 home games and allowed just 2.
While Bayern will pose a more difficult challenge, City has home wins over Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool this season. Bayern has shown some flaws lately as well, losing 2 of the last 4 games.
City’s home dominance speaks for itself, and it was similar last season. They won both their quarterfinal and semifinal home match, losing 2 on the road to Real Madrid to be eliminated.
The body of work speaks for itself, and despite the juice, take MANCHESTER CITY (-135).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 2.5 (+120).
Both Bayern and City have elite defenses, and I expect them to be on display in this match. There should also be a feel-out period as these teams aren’t too familiar with each other. Given this is also the 1st leg, teams may play more conservatively.
Bayern went Under in both games against PSG, one of the best clubs in the world. City has 5 clean sheets in the last 7 games and is allowing just .93 goals per game in league play. They allowed 1 goal in both Round of 16 games to Leipzig. Bayern is allowing just 1.07 goals per game and didn’t give up a single goal to PSG, who has a trio of F Neymar, F Kylian Mbappe and F Lionel Messi.
Expect solid defense and a slower-paced 1st leg. Back the UNDER 2.5 (+120).
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