Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (36-28) take on the Philadelphia Phillies (31-32) Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-1

The Dodgers lost the series opener 5-4 on Friday, their 5th loss in their last 6 games. Los Angeles has fallen 2 1/2 games behind the Arizona Diamondbacks for the lead in the NL West.

The Phillies picked up their 6th consecutive win Friday. Philadelphia has also won 5 consecutive games at home but remains 8 games behind the Atlanta Braves for the top spot in the NL East.

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Dodgers at Phillies projected starters

RHP Bobby Miller vs. RHP Aaron Nola

Miller (2-0, 1.06 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.77 WHIP, 4 BB and 16 K through 17 IP in his rookie season.

  • Has not allowed more than 1 run in any start so far
  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 4-1 loss to the New York Yankees Sunday

Nola (5-4, 4.30 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 81 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 R (0 ER), 1 H, 3 BB, 12 K in 8-3 win over the Detroit Tigers Monday
  • Had 4.93 ERA across 6 starts in May
  • At Los Angeles on May 3: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 5 K in a 10-6 loss

Dodgers at Phillies odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:53 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Phillies -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+145) | Phillies +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Dodgers at Phillies picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Phillies 4

Moneyline

The Dodgers have not had a stretch like their current 1-5 record in 6 games at any other point this season, but that may change Saturday as Miller has been fantastic so far in his 3 MLB starts.

The Phillies have been held to 3 or fewer runs 3 times in their last 9 games.

Expect a bounce-back game for the Dodgers (-115) on Saturday, and their moneyline isn’t a bad wager. However, when L.A. wins it usually does so by 2 or more runs and that should provide even more value.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

Betting the Dodgers on the run line is often a good play despite how they have done in the last week. Eighteen of their last 21 wins have been by 2 or more runs.

While the Phillies have won 6 straight games, at 25-38 ATS overall this season, they have not been a great ATS bet. Fifteen of the Phillies’ last 18 losses have been by 2 or more runs.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (+145).

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Over/Under

The highest total in Miller’s 3 starts this season has been 9 runs.

Eight of the Dodgers’ last 13 games have had 10 or more total runs and another 2 games finished on exactly 9.

Three of the 4 meetings between the 2 teams have had 9 or more runs.

Five of Nola’s last 7 stats have had totals of 10 or more runs.

BET OVER 9 (+100).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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