The Los Angeles Dodgers (36-28) take on the Philadelphia Phillies (31-32) Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citizens Bank Park is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Dodgers lead 3-1
The Dodgers lost the series opener 5-4 on Friday, their 5th loss in their last 6 games. Los Angeles has fallen 2 1/2 games behind the Arizona Diamondbacks for the lead in the NL West.
The Phillies picked up their 6th consecutive win Friday. Philadelphia has also won 5 consecutive games at home but remains 8 games behind the Atlanta Braves for the top spot in the NL East.
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Dodgers at Phillies projected starters
RHP Bobby Miller vs. RHP Aaron Nola
Miller (2-0, 1.06 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.77 WHIP, 4 BB and 16 K through 17 IP in his rookie season.
- Has not allowed more than 1 run in any start so far
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 4-1 loss to the New York Yankees Sunday
Nola (5-4, 4.30 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 81 2/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 3 R (0 ER), 1 H, 3 BB, 12 K in 8-3 win over the Detroit Tigers Monday
- Had 4.93 ERA across 6 starts in May
- At Los Angeles on May 3: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 5 K in a 10-6 loss
Dodgers at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:53 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Phillies -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+145) | Phillies +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Dodgers at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 6, Phillies 4
Moneyline
The Dodgers have not had a stretch like their current 1-5 record in 6 games at any other point this season, but that may change Saturday as Miller has been fantastic so far in his 3 MLB starts.
The Phillies have been held to 3 or fewer runs 3 times in their last 9 games.
Expect a bounce-back game for the Dodgers (-115) on Saturday, and their moneyline isn’t a bad wager. However, when L.A. wins it usually does so by 2 or more runs and that should provide even more value.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Betting the Dodgers on the run line is often a good play despite how they have done in the last week. Eighteen of their last 21 wins have been by 2 or more runs.
While the Phillies have won 6 straight games, at 25-38 ATS overall this season, they have not been a great ATS bet. Fifteen of the Phillies’ last 18 losses have been by 2 or more runs.
BET DODGERS -1.5 (+145).
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Over/Under
The highest total in Miller’s 3 starts this season has been 9 runs.
Eight of the Dodgers’ last 13 games have had 10 or more total runs and another 2 games finished on exactly 9.
Three of the 4 meetings between the 2 teams have had 9 or more runs.
Five of Nola’s last 7 stats have had totals of 10 or more runs.
BET OVER 9 (+100).
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