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The Los Angeles Angels (63-70) and Philadelphia Phillies (74-58) meet Wednesday as they cap off a 3-game interleague series at Citizens Bank Park. First pitch is set for 1:05 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Phillies odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Philadelphia leads 2-0
August cannot end soon enough for Los Angeles. The Angels have gone 7-19 while being outscored 171-95 and find themselves 12 1/2 games back of the final AL Wild Card.
The Phillies are on a home stand that has thus far seen them go 7-1. Since July 15, the Phils have gone 19-8 in their home yard and hold the top NL Wild Card.
Angels at Phillies projected starters
LHP Reid Detmers vs. LHP Cristopher Sanchez
Detmers (3-10, 5.03 ERA) makes his 24th start of the season. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 through 120 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 2 BB, 3 K in 7-3 home loss vs. Cincinnati Reds last Wednesday
- 2023 road stats: 1-6, 5.69 ERA in 49 IP across 10 starts
- Has never faced the Phillies as a starter
- Owns a 6.82 ERA over 7 starts in the 2nd half
Sanchez (2-3, 3.33 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.01 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 70 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 6 K in 7-2 home win vs. St. Louis Cardinals Friday
- 2023 home stats: 2-3, 4.20 ERA in 49 1/3 IP across 9 starts
- Has never faced the Angels as a starter
- Figures to see more lefty bats in the Angel lineup than in most orders against southpaws. Has held left-handed bats to a .540 OPS.
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Angels at Phillies odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:32 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Angels +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Phillies -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-140) | Phillies -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Angels at Phillies picks and predictions
Prediction
Phillies 4, Angels 3
Moneyline
The banged-up Angels have a bit more growth potential in their overall team numbers. They are a no-go here but a slightly more palatable option on the Run Line.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Detmers has been undone by a .318 batting average with balls in play this season and is perhaps a bit undervalued. However, he has registered a 7.88 ERA over his last eight starts and with little sign of breaking out of such a slump, that’s difficult to reconcile.
Perhaps with a different starter, Los Angeles would be more of a lean here, especially getting a run-and-a-half in a contest with an Under lean. But we should want a better price (perhaps circle back to see if the Angels +1.5 could be had for -135).
OTHERWISE, AVOID.
Over/Under
Both sides have quite good, but overcooked (not fully supported by analytics), numbers against lefties. Overall, the Philadelphia offense has also had some big run-production games lately that have been driven by clutch batting percentages.
The business ends of both bullpens are in good shape, and some morning rains in the Philly area are slated to give way to less humid air. The chances of this game landing between 5-8 runs are good enough, and 9 is a guardrail as a push.
BACK THE UNDER 9 (+100).
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