MLS Western Conference Final: LA Galaxy vs. Seattle Sounders FC odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s LA Galaxy vs. Seattle Sounders FC odds and lines, with expert MLS picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Galaxy welcome the Seattle Sounders FC to Dignity Health Sports Park Saturday for the MLS Western Conference semifinal. Kickoff is set for 10 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s soccer odds around the LA Galaxy vs. Seattle Sounders FC odds, and make our best MLS picks and predictions.

The Galaxy finished second in the West with a 19-7-8 record and a +19 goal differential, having netted a conference-high 69 goals in the regular season. They finished 13-3-1 at home. Los Angeles, winners of 10 of its last 13, beat Minnesota United 6-2 in the conference semifinal at home Sunday. It took down the Colorado Rapids by an aggregate of 9-1 in Round 1.

The Sounders closed out the regular season 16-9-9 with a +16 goal differential. Their strength has been their backline, allowing a conference-best 35 goals. Seattle, which hasn’t lost since August 31, drew the Houston Dynamo in both Round One games, winning each in penalty kicks. The Sounders beat LAFC on the road 2-1 in the conference semifinal on Nov. 23.

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LA Galaxy vs. Seattle Sounders FC odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of soccer odds. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: LA Galaxy -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Seattle Sounders FC +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | Draw +260
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -135 | U: -105)

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LA Galaxy vs. Seattle Sounders FC picks and predictions

Prediction

LA Galaxy 1, Seattle Sounders 0

Moneyline (ML)

BET LA GALAXY (-110).

The Sounders didn’t get many results on the road, ending with 7 losses in 17 regular season road matches. They have played twice on the road in the playoffs and have had fewer expected goals than their opponent in both of those, closing out the battle with LAFC with half a many (0.9 to 1.8).

The Galaxy have been throttling opponents and appear unstoppable, outscoring their foes 15-3 in their 3 playoff games. Los Angeles has had double the expected goals of its opponent in 3 straight home games.

Back LA GALAXY (-110).

Over/Under (O/U)

BET UNDER 2.5 (-105).

The Galaxy have been on fire offensively. That’s easy to see in their results, but against Seattle, it has been the opposite story. Both regular season games went Under 2.5 goals and each actually went Under 1.5. Los Angeles had 1.2 expected goals in those games combined.

Seattle has held a clean sheet in 6 of its last 10 games and has allowed fewer than 1.0 expected goals in 7 of those 10. It has depended on it defense often, scoring more than once in just 2 of its last 7.

Considering those trends and the thought that this level of postseason battle should be more high-stakes and low-scoring, also keeping in mind that this has been bet up from +115, take UNDER 2.5 (-105).

Check out Pro Soccer Wire: For the American soccer fan, USA TODAY Sports Media Group’s website provides a fresh look at the beautiful game.

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