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The Kentucky Wildcats (3-5, 1-5 SEC) and Tennessee Volunteers (6-1, 3-1) renew acquaintances in a Saturday battle in Knoxville. Kickoff at Neyland Stadium will be at 7:45 p.m. ET (SEC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around Kentucky vs. Tennessee odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Kentucky lost 24-10 as a 2-point home favorite to the Auburn Tigers last Saturday. The Wildcats went just 4-for-12 in converting third downs, and they were more-than-doubled-up in total yardage (498-224) in losing their third consecutive game.
Tennessee, which is No. 7 in the US LBM Coaches Poll, is coming off a bye week following back-to-back home wins. In the Volunteers’ last game on Oct. 19, they downed then-No. 7 Alabama 24-17. The Vols were 3.5-point home underdogs in what was an upset triumph. UT ranks eighth in the nation in yards per game (473.6) and third in yards allowed (259.0).
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Kentucky at Tennessee odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 6:23 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Kentucky +625 (bet $100 to win $625) | Tennessee -1000 (bet $1,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kentucky +17.5 (-110) | Tennessee -17.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Kentucky at Tennessee picks and predictions
Prediction
Tennessee 31, Kentucky 13
Moneyline
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Against the spread
Tennessee is is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
In last year’s contest, the Volunteers covered as 4-point favorites in a 33-27 triumph in Lexington. Tennessee rambled for 254 yards on the ground, though, and was somewhat undone by 9 penalties. UT has covered in 3 straight series meetings and in 5 of the last 6. The Vols are also 6-2 ATS in the last 8 head-to-head meetings at home.
The Tennessee defensive line looms as a major factor in Saturday’s game, and the Vols should control the game in the trenches. Look for UT to work its way to a 2- or 3-score lead and then have a good shot at prevailing against the number with its ability to limit explosive plays while causing havoc.
But the leverage here is minimal: consider a partial-unit play on TENNESSEE 17.5 (-110).
Over/Under
The total (45.5) has cashed in 6 of UK’s last 8 games and in 4 of UT’s last 5. Series meetings in Knoxville have seen the Under has go 6-2-1 since 2006.
Both teams are proficient with their red-zone defense. Both have decent kickers (Kentucky especially so), and some 3-by-3 ball could well develop in stretches. And the Wildcats play at a deliberate pace when they are finding success gaining yards.
Some havoc-turnover-short-field edge by UT could make this a battle, but the UNDER 45.5 (-110) is a slight lean.
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