Kentucky at Alabama odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Kentucky at Alabama odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 25 Kentucky Wildcats (10-4, 1-1 SEC) take on the No. 7 Alabama Crimson Tide (12-2, 2-0) Saturday. Tip from Coleman Coliseum is set for 1 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Kentucky vs. Alabama odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Kentucky edged LSU 74-71 Monday but failed to cover as a 10.5-point home favorite. It is 0-7-1 in its last 8 games against the spread (ATS) and is just 4-9-1 on the season. The Wildcats rank 12th in the nation for 3-point percentage (39.02%) and 11th in offensive rebounds per game (13.17).

The Crimson Tide throttled Mississippi 84-62 Monday to cover as 11-point home favorites. They are currently on a 2-game ATS win streak but had dropped their previous 3 games ATS and are 8-6 ATS on the season. Alabama is the top-ranked team in the country for total rebounds per game (46.5) and ranks 9th for opponents’ 3-point percentage (28%).

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Kentucky at Alabama odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Kentucky +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Alabama -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kentucky +5.5 (-105) | Alabama -5.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 152.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Kentucky at Alabama picks and predictions

Prediction

Alabama 81, Kentucky 73

Moneyline

PASS.

The moneyline odds do not present enough return on investment to make a play worth it.

Against the spread

BET ALABAMA -5.5 (-115).

The Wildcats have been on an ATS cold streak recently, going 0-7-1 in their last 8 games. Until they are able to break that streak and beat the spread, it is tough to recommend backing them — especially on the road against a top-10 ranked Crimson Tide squad.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 152.5 (-110).

This is a lot of points, which is what merits the lean recommendation, but the Over has hit 4 straight times for Kentucky and is 3-2 in Alabama’s last 5 games.

Furthermore, the Crimson Tide are tied for 14th in the nation with 83.3 points per game, another reason to lean OVER 152.5 (-110).

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Kentucky at Alabama odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Kentucky at Alabama odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 7 Kentucky Wildcats (18-4, 7-2 SEC) travel to Coleman Coliseum to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (14-8, 4-5) Saturday. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Kentucky vs. Alabama odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Things are a go for this premiere SEC matchup although it wasn’t known if Kentucky would be able to make it down to Alabama due to an ice storm in Kentucky.

The Wildcats have the second-best conference record, trailing just the 9-0 Auburn Tigers. Kentucky is 7-2 in the SEC play but just 3-6 against the spread (ATS) in conference matchups. The ‘Cats have won 3 straight which included an 18-point win at Allen Fieldhouse against Kansas in the Big 12/SEC Challenge.

The Crimson Tide also had a big-time win in the Big 12/SEC Challenge as they defeated the reigning champions Baylor Bears 87-78 last Saturday. Alabama is just 8-13-1 ATS on the season but is 10-1 straight up at home. The Crimson Tide possess a conference-worst 1-8 ATS record in SEC games.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Kentucky at Alabama odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Kentucky +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Alabama -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Kentucky +1.5 (-110) | Alabama -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 156.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Kentucky at Alabama odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kentucky 80, Alabama 77

Money line

BET on KENTUCKY (+105).

The Wildcats have everything it takes to win at a high level in college basketball. They have a steady, pass-first point guard, a dominant big man, shooting and playmaking. Transfer C Oscar Tshiebwe leads the team in scoring (16.1 points per game) and rebounding (15.2 rebounds per game).

Kentucky is averaging 81.9 points per game, but its defense — ranked 61st in opponents scoring and eighth in rebounding — is what will carry it in this game. The Wildcats hold opponents to under 40.9% from the field.

Alabama ranks 11th in points per game in the nation but ranks 327nd in opponents’ points per game. It’s a one-sided team and I expect the balanced Wildcats to pull out the victory.

Alabama is also 2-7-1 ATS over its last 10 games. That’s relevant as the spread is a mere 1.5 points.

Kentucky also recently went into a difficult Allen Fieldhouse and destroyed a top-10 Kansas team. The ‘Cats have experience with just one freshman starter and they’ll be able to handle the raucous crowd.

Against the spread

PASS on the money line. I prefer the plus-money money line odds in this SEC battle.

Over/Under

PASS with a slight lean to the Over. It’s an extremely high total for a college game, but it’s hard to bet against it with two dynamic offenses in play.

Given how many easy buckets the ‘Cats offense is able to produce, it’s tough betting against them scoring 78 or more points. The same can be said of the lethal Alabama backcourt.

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Kentucky at Alabama odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Kentucky Wildcats at Alabama Crimson Tide sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Kentucky Wildcats (3-4 overall, 3-4 SEC) and Alabama Crimson Tide (6-0, 6-0) meet in Tuscaloosa, Ala., for a 4 p.m. ET kickoff Saturday. Below, we analyze the Kentucky-Alabama college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Alabama is ranked No. 1 in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Kentucky at Alabama: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:28 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Kentucky +1400 (bet $100 to win $1,400) | Alabama -5000 (bet $5,000 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Kentucky +30 (-110) | Alabama -30 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 57.5 (O: -115 | U: -106)

Kentucky at Alabama: Three things to know

  1. The Wildcats limp into this one, barely escaping a poor Vanderbilt side last week by a 38-35 score. The good news is that they’re underdogs, and they have covered their past two when not favored. In addition, Kentucky is 4-0 ATS in its past four as a double-digit dog.
  2. The last time these cross-division SEC rivals met was Oct. 1, 2016, a 34-6 victory by the Crimson Tide at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The Wildcats covered the 37-point number, however.
  3. Alabama dusted Mississippi State 41-0 as a 29-point favorite on Halloween, the Crimson Tide’s last game. Alabama is 2-0 ATS in the past three as a favorite of three or more touchdowns after failing to cover in the first two such situations earlier in the season – against Ole Miss and Mizzou.

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Kentucky at Alabama: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Alabama 47, Kentucky 20

Money line (ML)

Alabama (-5000) is not losing to Kentucky. However, you cannot risk $100 for every $2 won. That’s just bad gambling over the long haul. AVOID.

Against the spread (ATS)

KENTUCKY +30 (-110) is worth a small-unit play, although it’s easy to see this one getting away from the Wildcats if the Crimson Tide defense continues to show improvement. Alabama allowed 28.8 points per game over the first four games, but just 8.5 PPG across the past two. The Wildcats should still be able to get into the teens, and keep this within a four-touchdown game.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 57.5 (-115) is also worth playing lightly, as the Alabama offense can go bonkers and score at the drop of the hat. It has posted 38 or more points in every game this season, and 41 or more in each of the past five. ‘Bama will hit the 40’s again here, so that’s not a problem. As long as Kentucky can grab an early score or two, this won’t be a sweat shop.

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