The No. 25 Kentucky Wildcats (10-4, 1-1 SEC) take on the No. 7 Alabama Crimson Tide (12-2, 2-0) Saturday. Tip from Coleman Coliseum is set for 1 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Kentucky vs. Alabama odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
Kentucky edged LSU 74-71 Monday but failed to cover as a 10.5-point home favorite. It is 0-7-1 in its last 8 games against the spread (ATS) and is just 4-9-1 on the season. The Wildcats rank 12th in the nation for 3-point percentage (39.02%) and 11th in offensive rebounds per game (13.17).
The Crimson Tide throttled Mississippi 84-62 Monday to cover as 11-point home favorites. They are currently on a 2-game ATS win streak but had dropped their previous 3 games ATS and are 8-6 ATS on the season. Alabama is the top-ranked team in the country for total rebounds per game (46.5) and ranks 9th for opponents’ 3-point percentage (28%).
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Kentucky at Alabama odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Kentucky +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Alabama -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Kentucky +5.5 (-105) | Alabama -5.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 152.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Kentucky at Alabama picks and predictions
Prediction
Alabama 81, Kentucky 73
Moneyline
PASS.
The moneyline odds do not present enough return on investment to make a play worth it.
Against the spread
BET ALABAMA -5.5 (-115).
The Wildcats have been on an ATS cold streak recently, going 0-7-1 in their last 8 games. Until they are able to break that streak and beat the spread, it is tough to recommend backing them — especially on the road against a top-10 ranked Crimson Tide squad.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 152.5 (-110).
This is a lot of points, which is what merits the lean recommendation, but the Over has hit 4 straight times for Kentucky and is 3-2 in Alabama’s last 5 games.
Furthermore, the Crimson Tide are tied for 14th in the nation with 83.3 points per game, another reason to lean OVER 152.5 (-110).
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