New York Jets at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Jets at Buffalo Bills odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Jets (7-5) meet the Buffalo Bills (9-3) for Week 14 matchup Sunday. Kickoff at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y., is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Jets vs. Bills odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Jets are coming off a 27-22 loss on the road as 2.5-point underdogs against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 13, and New York has lost its last 2 road games since winning in Denver in Week 7. New York was a 10-point underdog when it beat Buffalo 20-17 in Week 9 in East Rutherford, N.J.

The Bills are on a 3-game win streak, and they have scored 23 or more points in 4 straight games, and 8 of the last 9 outings. The lone exception is the 17 points they managed in the 1st meeting against Gang Green.

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Jets at Bills odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 6:29 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Jets +350 (bet $100 to win $350) | Bills -450 (bet $450 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Jets +10 (-113) | Bills -10 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -107 | U: -113)

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Jets at Bills key injuries

Jets

  • DE Micheal Clemons (illness) questionable

Bills

  • OT Dion Dawkins (ankle) questionable
  • FB Reggie Gilliam (ankle) out
  • LB Matt Milano (knee) questionable
  • NT Jordan Phillips (shoulder) out

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Jets at Bills picks and predictions

Prediction

Bills 24, Jets 16

Moneyline

The Bills will cost you 4 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s way too expensive, even at home, against a Jets side which beat them earlier this year.

AVOID.

Against the spread

Playing the JETS +10 (-113) is a much better value.

The Bills have failed to cover their last 3 games as a double-digit favorite, including the straight-up loss against the Jets in Week 9. And while the Jets have fallen off a little, dropping 3 of the last 5 games, each of the losses are 1-score games.

Over/Under

UNDER 43.5 (-107) is the lean here.

The weather forecast is calling for a mix of rain and snow showers with breezy conditions at 9-13 mph, before the precipitation changes completely to snow in the 2nd half. The weather conditions might limit the amount of passing we see, keeping the ball on the ground. Running keeps the clock moving, which Under bettors love.

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New York Jets at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s New York Jets at Buffalo Bills odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The New York Jets‘ (4-12) miserable 2021 season will come to a close on Sunday when they visit the playoff-bound Buffalo Bills (10-6). Kickoff for this AFC East tilt from Highmark Stadium will be at 4:25 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Jets vs. Bills odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Jets are coming off a heartbreaking 28-24 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 17. QB Tom Brady threw a touchdown pass in the final seconds to give the Bucs the win, preventing the Jets from winning their second straight game. The Jets are just 3-7 in their last 10 games, although they have scored at least 24 points in each of their last three.

The Bills are riding a three-game win streak into this one, taking all three of those games by at least 12 points. They’re now in control of the AFC East after beating the New England Patriots two weeks ago, putting themselves in a position to host a playoff game in the wild-card round with a victory Sunday.

Jets at Bills odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:53 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Jets +850 (bet $100 to win $850) | Bills -1800 (bet $1,800 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): +16.5 (-112) | Bills -16.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Jets at Bills key injuries

Jets

  • WR Braxton Berrios (thigh) out

Bills

  • DE Efe Obada (ankle) out
  • WR Emmanuel Sanders (knee) doubtful

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Jets at Bills odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Bills 31, Jets 17

Money line

The Bills won 45-17 the last time these teams met. It was a completely dominant performance from a Buffalo team that was favored by 13.5 points in that one. However, the Bills have been susceptible to letdowns as big favorites with outright losses to the Jacksonville Jaguars as 14.5-point favorites and the Indianapolis Colts as 7-point favorites.

I expect the Bills to win this one but it’s not worth a wager at -1800. PASS.

Against the spread

The Jets have played surprisingly well in the last three weeks, keeping things close with the Miami Dolphins and Tampa Bay, and beating Jacksonville by 5 points. They’re 3-0 ATS in their last three games and have built some momentum.

I like the JETS +16.5 (-112) getting the points and covering Sunday.

Over/Under

The Jets have played much better offensively in their last 10 games, and the total has gone over seven times in that span as a result. The Bills have remained steady and scored at least 27 points in five of their last six games, with the only exception being a windy 14-10 loss to the Patriots.

Bet the OVER 40.5 (-112) in this game. The Bills could hit that number themselves.

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