WATCH: Prominent college football analyst ‘back’ in on Wisconsin entering 2024

College football analyst ‘back’ in on Wisconsin entering 2024

On3 college football analyst J.D. PicKell was with many of us entering the 2023 season in expecting instant success for Luke Fickell at Wisconsin.

For anyone paying attention, that success did not follow. Phil Longo’s air raid offense experienced significant growing pains while the Badgers struggled to a 7-6 overall record that included inexplicable losses to Indiana and Northwestern.

Related: Big Ten Football Power Index Rankings for 2024: Which teams are underrated, overrated?

2024 is a new beginning for the program, as this offseason included another round of roster turnover to cater specifically to Longo and Fickell’s respective systems. The team should be much improved when it takes the field in Week 1 against Western Michigan.

The biggest issue is the schedule. Wisconsin has home games against Alabama, Penn State and Oregon, plus road battles against USC, Iowa and Nebraska. Start to finish, it’s one of the toughest schedules in the country.

But despite missing on the Badgers in 2023 (as many of us did) and the team’s clear roadblocks entering 2024, PicKell is ‘back in’ on a resurgence in Madison, Wisconsin.

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On3 ranks LSU’s Garrett Nussmeier among top 10 college football QBs in 2024

Garrett Nussmeier has just one career start under his belt, but that hasn’t stopped him from receiving a lot of attention this offseason.

[autotag]JD Pickell[/autotag] of On3 recently released his projected list of the top 10 quarterbacks for the 2024 season. LSU’s new signal caller [autotag]Garrett Nussmeier[/autotag] made the cut.

Nussmeier is entering his redshirt junior season on the Bayou, and the gunslinger already has some experience under his belt as he is coming off a fantastic performance in his first career start against Wisconsin in the bowl game.

Nussmeier has appeared in 18 games over three seasons, throwing for 1,720 yards, 11 touchdowns and seven interceptions. In the bowl game against Wisconsin, he finished the game 31-for-45 as he threw for 395 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions.

Seven out of the 10 quarterbacks in the top 10 are SEC quarterbacks, including Texas and Oklahoma.

Nussmeier has the talent to get [autotag]Brian Kelly[/autotag] over the hump and win a national championship with him while at LSU.

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The problem with Clemson football is not using the transfer portal, says JD PicKell

Dabo Swinney and the transfer portal have been like oil and water. Is it time to change that?

It’s been three seasons since Clemson made the College Football Playoff. Granted, those three years, the Tigers finished with records nearly any team in the country would be happy to have, but Clemson has been to the playoffs more than any team in the country except Alabama, six years in a row.

Elite success breeds high expectations, and Clemson hasn’t lived up to it in some peoples’ eyes, especially in the national media.

The host of On3 Sports’ “The Hard Count,” JD PicKell, illustrates it perfectly. “If you want to keep enjoying these champagne problems, if you want to keep enjoying champagne,” Clemson needs to continue making the playoffs. His suggestion to Dabo Swinney and the Tigers is to use the transfer portal.

“Dabo not using the portal isn’t a new thing. Nobody was complaining about him not using the portal when they were reeling off college football playoff appearances, but the fact they’ve missed the college football playoff, now, the last three seasons. It’s becoming more of a talking point, becoming more of an issue…

“It’s no longer the situation in college football where you can maybe use the portal, maybe not use the portal. It’s not an option anymore. Everyone and their mama that is winning at a high level is utilizing the transfer portal…”

Going a step further, PicKell makes the point that the teams Clemson is losing to are teams that make a point to utilize the portal. Of the Tigers’ four losses in 2023, NC State had the least incoming transfers with six. Duke had 9, FSU had 12, and Miami had a whopping 17.

PicKell also points out that the transfers, themselves, are making a difference against Clemson. “Keon Coleman made the game-winning grab for a touchdown. He was a guy that was in the portal that Clemson, I’m sure, very much could have made a play for.”

Swinney is hesitant to use the transfer portal because of its potential effect on the culture. But PicKell doesn’t believe the culture has to suffer. Instead, he thinks of the portal as an “apology” for missing on high school recruiting.

“The portal is like an apology. Hey, we missed on this kid. Hey, we missed at this position. Hey, we don’t have enough depth here. Let’s go to the portal and remedy that.”

Clemson had 12 outgoing transfers to one incoming last season. This its 12 and zero, respectively. That by itself is not sustainable. Sure, they can fill the vacancies with high school recruits, but to what end? Every team in the country is recruiting high school prospects. Clemson won’t get every player they want and will have to settle for less talented players.

Future teams will increasingly become less talented and younger if the Tigers don’t start using the transfer portal. With Clemson trying to leave the ACC to, assumedly, the SEC or Big Ten, that won’t be a recipe for success. Quality team depth and experience will matter.

JD PicKell discusses what happens if Texas wins it all in 2024

One college football analyst thinks a national title changes the conversation around Steve Sarkisian.

Steve Sarkisian has endured his fair share of outside criticism since taking over as the head coach of the Texas Longhorns. The doubt persisted last offseason.

College football analyst Tim Brando famously suggested Texas could duplicate Texas A&M’s 2022 season in which the Aggies went 5-7. Others doubted that Sarkisian would ever win 10 games in Austin.

Nearly a year later, those beliefs look as off base and premature as they sounded then. Texas won 12 games, won the Big 12, throttled Alabama on the road and made a College Football Playoff.

One college football analyst thinks the Longhorns can move even higher and into the top tier of the sport with one accomplishment in particular. On3 Sports’ JD PicKell voiced what winning a national title would mean for the Texas football program on his podcast, The Hard Count.

“If they win the national championship and do what I just said they could potentially do with how they would reload on the line of scrimmage defensively and how they could have those weapons translate, we talk about Sark as a great builder.

I think if Texas gets it done this upcoming season and wins it all, I think you put Texas in that Tier 1 category (with Georgia).”

PicKell believes the key to Texas winning a title begins with further development from its quarterback, Quinn Ewers.

“I think the first ingredient is Quinn Ewers staying healthy, something he hasn’t done just yet in Austin. And then you also see him take another massive step as QB1 in Austin. … (In 2023), he threw for 3,400-plus yards, 22 touchdowns, six picks, completed 69% of his passes.”

The On3 Sports college football analyst specified what a national title season looks like for Ewers.

“Now, if you’re going to make the jump to national title kind of quarterback, I think you probably have those numbers somewhere in the range of 3,700, 3,800 yards. I wanna see probably 35 touchdowns. And I wanna see somewhere in the range of five interceptions or less. Keep that completion percentage number about where it is.”

For Ewers, that would mean a 13 touchdown increase from his 2023 campaign. With his four top receiving targets in Adonai Mitchell, Xavier Worthy, Ja’Tavion Sanders and Jordan Whittington all departing, that leaves a high bar for the Longhorns signal caller to reach.

It’s uncertain if Ewers can elevate his game to that level with minimal chemistry between he and his top receiving targets for 2024. If he can, Texas is primed for a title run.

JD PicKell previews Week 2 matchup between Texas, Michigan

One college football analyst weighs in on Texas vs. Michigan.

Seldom does a Week 2 game determine a team’s postseason fate. One early meeting in Ann Arbor has playoff implications for two blue bloods.

The Texas Longhorns and Michigan Wolverines play this season. It’s their first meeting since Texas quarterback Vince Young carried the Longhorns to a Rose Bowl one-point victory in the 2004 season.

The winner of the game launches itself toward the top of college football. The loser significantly decreases its margin for error.

On3 Sports’ JD PicKell described the Michigan team Texas will face on his show, The Hard Count.

“You’ve got some really key pieces back… with Kenneth Grant (and) Mason Graham on the D-line, with (tight end) Coleston Loveland, but it’s a new team in regards to, you’re gonna have a new quarterback, I believe they are 128th in returning production. For context, there’s only 134 teams.”

In contrast, PicKell views the game as an opportunity to prove Texas’ 2023 season wasn’t a fluke.

”For Texas, this is a chance for them to reemphasize what happened last year and say, ‘no, no, no. That’s who we are now. Folks talk about Texas having a flash in the pan… ‘Texas will come back to being Texas. Don’t worry about it.’ You go and beat the national champion at their place early on in the season? That is an identity defining thing for this team and for Steve Sarkisian and what he’s built there.”

Despite the above points in Texas’ favor, PicKell reasons that a game played in the 20’s could favor Michigan. The Wolverines figure to have a strong defense despite all that they lose. That said, there’s a reason Texas has been viewed as a road favorite. The reason is the other side of the football.

Michigan is set to replace starting quarterback JJ McCarthy, all five offensive linemen and its top two wideouts from last season. It’s not much different than what LSU lost on offense after its 2019 national title season. The Tigers fell back to earth the following season.

More concerning for the team is the inability to exploit the Longhorns’ defensive weakness: Its pass defense.

Without returning its downfield threats, Michigan can’t stress the Texas secondary like teams with speedy downfield threats could in Oklahoma and Washington. And while Coleston Loveland is an elite tight end, Texas could neutralize him far easier than it could slow Washington receivers.

The Texas defense could thrive against a run-dependent attack forced to play football in a 20-yard box. Alex Orji, who has just one college pass attempt, could be asked to lead the Michigan offense at quarterback with few viable downfield receiving threats. He could need an offensive line with five new starters to dominate the line of scrimmage.

It’s possible that Texas struggles against the Michigan defense, but it’s unlikely they get outplayed by the Wolverines offense. Should Texas score 20 or more points, the Longhorns might be in the driver’s seat.

We’ll see how the game unfolds when Texas and Michigan battle in Week 2.

On3 lists Garrett Nussmeier as a breakout star in 2024

On3’s JD Pickell has high hopes for Garrett Nussmeier in 2024.

With [autotag]Jayden Daniels[/autotag] off to the NFL, [autotag]Garrett Nussmeier[/autotag] is set to be LSU’s next starting quarterback.

Nussmeier’s time has been long awaited and highly anticipated. He’s played sparingly his first three years in Baton Rouge but has 1,720 yards and 11 touchdowns under his belt.

Now taking over the full-time role, the hopes are high. On3’s JD Pickell agrees.

“If he’s guilty of anything, it’s loving to sling that football downfield,” Pickell said.

With LSU’s talent at wide receiver and [autotag]Joe Sloan[/autotag] taking over at offensive coordinator, Pickell expects the offense to look similar to what it was last year.

“Dude can sling it. I want to make sure you leave this segment knowing that,” Pickell said.

“I think you’ll see that offense continue to churn at a really high level,” he added.

Nussmeier led LSU to a win in the bowl game, throwing for 395 yards and three touchdowns, including leading a game-winning 98-yard touchdown drive.

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CFB analyst JD PicKell says ‘Texas has arrived’

Competing for a national championship is much more important than being “back” ever was for Texas.

The Texas Longhorns are about to play for a spot in the national championship. In fact, they are favored to win their semifinal match with Washington and trend as a predicted title winner for several college football analysts. With that comes the dreaded debate of whether or not the team is “back.”

The debate over whether or not the team is back has always been silly, but hasn’t prevented many from bringing up the phrase.

College football analyst JD PicKell echoed the sentiment that debating the phrase is just debating semantics. There’s no truly agreed upon measure of what being back means. According to PicKell some are always going to disagree with the sentiment.

The college football voice shared that even if Texas were to win a national title this January, somebody somewhere will argue that they won’t win consistently in the SEC. The nonsensical fan to which he refers certainly exists and probably had Texas, not Alabama, losing by double digits in Tuscaloosa a couple months ago.

PicKell shared that while Texas may not be back, it has arrived. Texas is competing for a national championship and just won its conference. That’s all Longhorns faithful really cared about doing. Whether or not that means the team is back doesn’t matter.

Texas is different. It’s a wholly different Longhorns squad that will take the field in the College Football Playoff than in any past season. This team is a force to be reckoned with and not to be messed with.

Texas will look to take home its first ever College Football Playoff win when it takes on Washington on New Year’s Day.

J.D. PicKell identifies depth, continuity as reason to buy ‘Horns

J.D. PicKell isn’t overthinking on the Texas Longhorns. They aren’t back, but they’re for real.

J.D. PicKell has no intention of overthinking his Texas prediction. Put simply, the depth and continuity is such that it should put the Longhorns firmly into the Big 12 title conversation. If everything falls right, the team’s ceiling could be even higher.

PicKell sees depth as a key component to this Longhorns squad that separates it from past teams on the Forty Acres. He shared the following of the team’s talented depth.

“The difference in this Texas team vs other Texas teams is the depth and the continuity.

They’re not just talented at one position group. They’re talented across the board and they’re deep across the board. … The depth there is very, very real. I had someone tell me this is one of the deepest teams they’ve had in the last decade.”

It is by far the deepest roster the Longhorns have had over the last decade. There haven’t been many deep Texas teams in recent years because the development was not there in the past two regimes.

This staff is different. It would seem head coach Steve Sarkisian and his coaching staff have wisely prioritized development over winning games over early in their time in Austin. And now that the development is such that the team can go out and win in 2023. PicKell discussed what Texas could look like in its third season.

“If you don’t have it together by Year Three, I don’t know what to tell you. I think at this point in time there’s some good faith baked in there with what they’ve done in terms of a positive trajectory from the last couple of years. So bottom line, Texas, back or not back I don’t know. But I promise you they are for real.”

There’s little reason to overthink Texas in 2023. The depth, continuity and collection of proven commodities should translate to more wins this season.

JD PicKell: Texas reaching ceiling is tied to starting QB Quinn Ewers

The plan for 2023 success is straightforward: Texas needs a great season from Quinn Ewers.

Texas’ path to a Big 12 title is simple and straightforward. The team needs starting quarterback Quinn Ewers to be a championship level starter.

JD PicKell agrees with that sentiment and shared the following thoughts on Ewers’ importance.

“If he reaches his ceiling, if he’s a top five quarterback for Texas, they’re gonna be in Jerry World.”

The above statement is true, and perhaps much more. If the Longhorns get a top five quarterback in the country with this offensive line and receiver room, Texas is going to the College Football Playoff.

In reality, he probably will not be that good. He probably will not be in New York for the Heisman, and I would be stunned if he completed anywhere near 70% of his passes.

A realistic expectation goes as follows: 3,000 yards, 30 touchdowns and between 62% and 64% completion rate. With the current receiving corps and how long his offensive time will give him to throw, that expectation is well within reason.

Texas’ season hinges on Quinn Ewers being solid and stable. If he gives the team that kind of performance, the Longhorns will win 10 games and a conference title.

WATCH: JD PicKell says time for patience with Texas football is over

The Longhorns are no longer given any slack if they struggle in 2023.

As a college football head coach you are only given so long of a grace period to find success before you are shown the door. Continue reading “WATCH: JD PicKell says time for patience with Texas football is over”