Fantasy football: Where to draft Green Bay Packers WR Jayden Reed

Analyzing Green Bay Packers WR Jayden Reed’s 2024 fantasy football ADP and where to target him in fantasy drafts.

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Green Bay Packers WR Jayden Reed is primed to explode onto the scene in his 2nd NFL season. The Michigan State product was taken by the Packers in the 2nd round of the 2023 NFL Draft. Below, we look at Jayden Reed’s 2024 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.

Reed, who turned 24 in April, played in 16 games with 13 starts during his rookie year. He led the Packers in receptions, receiving yards and tied for a team-best 8 receiving TDs.

Entering 2024, Reed is expected to take a big step in his development and could blossom into a top-30 fantasy receiver in the league. His big-play threat makes him intriguing in terms of fantasy value.

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Jayden Reed’s ADP: 85.32

(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)

Reed’s 85.32 ADP in redraft leagues puts him in the range of the 8th to 11th round depending on the size of the league. His ADP ranks 4th on the Packers. RB Josh Jacobs (33.61) is 1st, followed by QB Jordan Love (65.69) and WR Christian Watson’s (81.77).

Among all wide receivers, Reed’s ADP ranks 39th at the position, just behind teammate Watson, Kansas City’s Xavier Worthy (80.49) and Tennessee’s Calvin Ridley (77.35). Carolina’s Diontae Johnson (85.48) is 40th, followed by Chicago rookie Rome Odunze (88.33) and .Jacksonville’s Brian Thomas Jr. (96.32).

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Jayden Reed’s 2023-24 stats

Games: 16

Receptions | targets: 94 | 64

Receiving yards: 793

Receiving touchdowns: 8

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Where should you draft Reed?

Reed’s fantasy value should get a boost this year with the continued development of QB Love. The exodus of pass-catching RB Aaron Jones to the rival Vikings should open up some of the target share for Reed, too.

Reed saw 94 targets last season, starting just 13 games. He should see a jump in that and eclipse 100 targets. He had a solid 68.1% catch rate and was the 18th overall receiver, getting some help from the 8 TDs. Reed is the highest-drafted Packers receiver as his potential could make him Love’s No. 1 target by the end of the season.

There is some competition in Green Bay, but Love threw for 4,159 yards last season, completing 372 passes out of 579 attempts. That kind of volume is going to allow for multiple players to be starter-worthy fantasy options. Reed is one of them. He’s being drafted like a WR3, and that’s a good spot for him as he was a touchdown-dependent player last season.

Draft Reed over Watson given his potential in the offense. He should be taken in the 7th round and is more valuable in standard leagues. If he continues to progress, he should be good for 80-plus catches and just over 1,000 yards.

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Fantasy football outlook: Green Bay Packers wide receivers

Trying to make sense of all that is the Green Bay receiving corps.

The Green Bay Packers have one of the most complex fantasy football wide receiver rooms as any team in the league. Their 2024 salaries combined are just $11.5 million, but the Packers had surprising production with a group approach that included rookies Jayden Reed and Dontayvion Wicks and second-year players Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs. At one point or another, each player was the go-to receiver for Jordan Love, but none of them sustained it over the course of the season, making all of them have slowly descending value with none of them viewed as a dominant fantasy starter.

Fantasy football: Green Bay Packers’ passing attack breakdown

Revisiting the Packers’ passing game through the lens of fantasy football.

Although training camp and the preseason can only tell us so much, from all accounts there are plenty of reasons to be optimistic about Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love, who has looked comfortable running the offense in his first season as the starter. Love is hardly the only up-and-comer in Green Bay this season, however, so it’s a good time to look at his young supporting class and see what fantasy owners can expect from this group in 2023.

Please note this will not include a breakdown of RBs Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon, both of whom are well established in the NFL. Consider the. draftable as a high-end RB2 and middling RB3, respectively.

2023 NFL Draft Scouting Report: WR Jayden Reed, Michigan State

Reed is fun to watch after the catch, but will he land in an optimal city for his skill set?

Michigan State wide receiver Jayden Reed joined the Spartans after spending the 2018 season with Central Michigan and having to sit out the 2019 campaign due to transfer rules. He was an immediate contributor as a true freshman and enjoyed a breakout 2021 season that resulted in second-team All-Big Ten honors.

Height: 5-foot-10 7/8
Weight: 191 pounds
40 time: 4.45 seconds

Reed would see his stats dip in his redshirt senior season over all 11 games played, though his all-around contributions were enough to warrant another second-team All-Big Ten selection.

His talent and potential weren’t fully displayed in FBS action, and he very well could be “outdrafted” in relation to his production. Don’t be surprised if a team takes a shot on him in Round 3, and Reed shouldn’t fall out of the fourth round.

Table: Jayden Reed stats (2018-22)

Year School Class G Receiving Rushing
Rec Yds Avg TD Att Yds Avg TD
*2018 Western Michigan Fr 12 56 797 14.2 8 1 -9 -9.0 0
2020 Michigan State rSo 7 33 407 12.3 3 6 17 2.8 0
*2021 Michigan State rJr 13 59 1,026 17.4 10 7 34 4.9 1
2022 Michigan State rSr 11 55 636 11.6 5 4 11 2.8 0

*includes postseason/bowl games (stats from Sports Reference)

Pros

  • Lines up all over the field and can be utilized in any number of offensive systems
  • Extremely dangerous after the catch — quite possibly his best trait thanks to agility and instant access to top speed
  • Tracks the ball well on deep throws
  • Displays a natural feel for exploiting zone coverage but also is unfazed by facing larger cornerbacks in press coverage
  • Three punt returns for TDs to his credit and has experience handling kickoffs
  • Highly competitive and should take well to NFL coaching — has major upside that may prove he is a better pro than collegian

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Cons

  • Adequate hands in general but wasn’t at his best in traffic — in fairness, he faced a ton of contested catches
  • Saw his production markedly drop in 2022 thanks to injuries and offensive shortcomings
  • Will be 23 years old as a rookie
  • So-so athletic profile in relation to his size — quicker than fast and will require volume to excel over the long haul
  • Inconsistent route runner who can get sloppy at times

Fantasy football outlook

In many ways, Reed profiles as a poor man’s Golden Tate. The latter was more athletic overall, but their measurables and overall skill sets are cut from the same cloth. The versatility will endear Reed to any number of NFL teams, and his ability to create after the grab will make fantasy owners happy when he’s given an opportunity. Unless he winds up in a fortuitous situation via injury during the season, it’s improbable that will happen in Year 1.

In the best-case scenario, Reed is a point-per-reception WR2 in 2024 or ’25. A fairer vision has him in the conversation for fantasy depth with matchup utility. His dynasty value is depressed by entering his rookie season being as old as some third-year players.