Why Wisconsin fans should root for Penn State to win the national title
The Penn State Nittany Lions face the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the College Football Playoff semifinal (Orange Bowl) on Thursday night.
The game is the first of two CFP semifinals — Ohio State plays Texas in the Cotton Bowl on Friday.
Related: Big Ten Football Power Rankings after bowl season, CFP quarterfinals: Ohio State is back
Some in the college football world are bracing for a worst-case scenario with either Penn State or Notre Dame playing for a national title. Today, I’m here to argue that Wisconsin fans should put aside any dislike for James Franklin’s team, whether due to the 2016 Big Ten title game or any of the Badgers’ six straight losses to the East Coast rival.
The reason: Penn State defeating Notre Dame and winning the national title is in the best interests of the future of Wisconsin football.
Here’s why.
The reality of the new College Football Playoff format.
Penn State, which finished the regular season 11-1 before a Big Ten title loss to Oregon, undeniably caught a favorable path through the playoff. It began at home against ACC runner-up SMU. The 38-10 final score tells an accurate story of how the game played out. The Nittany Lions then faced Mountain West champion Boise State. While the game was closer than the 31-14 final score portrays, the Broncos were far from the quality of other potential quarterfinal opponents (Georgia, Oregon).
The Nittany Lions’ path to and through the CFP is a blueprint the Badgers must follow if they are to reach this stage. Wisconsin is unlikely to win the Big Ten given the conference’s top powers. An at-large bid is the program’s most feasible way into the field. Once the Badgers make it, they will likely need a path like the one Penn State has taken to this point.
The benefit of the doubt.
This is the most important factor. Either Penn State or Ohio State could win the national title and achieve this for the rest of the Big Ten.
Put simply: the SEC currently receives the benefit of the doubt from college football fans and media. Alabama, which went 9-3 during the regular season with losses to Tennessee, Vanderbilt and Oklahoma, received a groundswell of national support after Indiana fell to Notre Dame 27-17 in the CFP first round. Many argued that Indiana, despite going 11-1 during the regular season, should not have made the field due to its manageable schedule. The argument stated that Alabama or South Carolina’s 9-3 records were more impressive, given the circumstances.
The Crimson Tide then lost their bowl game to Michigan, ending the conversation surrounding their perceived quality. South Carolina and several other SEC teams losing head-to-head matchups against Big Ten opponents further eliminated that argument.
Looking forward, an all-Big Ten national title game would continue to shift that conversation.
This is pertinent for Wisconsin fans because the team’s best path to the CFP is an Indiana-like season — an 11-1 or 10-2 record against a manageable schedule (for Big Ten standards). The Badgers are sure to make the field under those circumstances if the Big Ten is given the same benefit of the doubt that the SEC currently receives.
In other words, a Penn State national title would establish the Big Ten as the best conference in the sport. Wisconsin would benefit from that perception.
A valuable measuring stick.
Penn State does not provide Wisconsin a blueprint for on-field success, as the Badgers won’t be able to replicate Penn State’s talent level. The Nittany Lions’ class of 2024 finished No. 14 in the nation, their class of 2023 finished No. 15, class of 2022 No. 8, and so on. They are the most talented team in the Big Ten behind Ohio State and Oregon.
Luke Fickell currently has the Badgers hovering around the top 25 of each recruiting class — a significant step above the program’s classic recruiting performance. Even if Fickell brings those classes a step or two higher, the team would still fall far behind Penn State’s top-of-the-sport talent level.
But Penn State does present a valuable measuring stick for the Badgers. Wisconsin had Penn State on the ropes when the two teams met on Oct. 26. While it’s challenging to look at one result and extrapolate through an entire season, Wisconsin should be able to find a silver lining in its 5-7 2024 campaign if it arguably should’ve beaten the eventual national champion.
Summary.
These takeaways all consider what’s best for Wisconsin long-term. A Penn State national title provides a clear path through the CFP as an at-large from the Big Ten, it will hand the conference the benefit of the doubt nationally and, most significantly, it may show that Wisconsin isn’t as far off as we all believe.
All of those reasons should outweigh any dislike of Franklin or the Nittany Lions. A Penn State national title in the best interest of Wisconsin football.
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