In a welterweight bout on the main card, Jack Della Maddalena and Bassil Hafez meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 224 — also known as UFC on ESPN 49 and UFC Vegas 77 — at UFC Apex in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 224: Maddalena vs. Hafez odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.
The prelims are on ESPN/ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET and the main card is on ESPN/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET.
Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.
Records: Della Maddalena (14-2-0) | Hafez (8-3-1)
Della Maddalena heads to the octagon with 4 victories in 4 tries since making his UFC debut in January 2022, all of which have been via 1st round stoppages. That includes a submission victory over Randy Brown at 2:13 of the opening round at UFC 284 in February.
The 26-year-old has posted an impressive 8.27 significant strikes landed per minute while posting a 51.55% significant strike accuracy percentage. He also has a 0.57 submission average.
Hafez makes his UFC debut at 31 years old. He previously fought at Fury FC, posting a 3rd-round knockout of Evan Cutts last time out at Fury FC 75 in February. The welterweight has gone the distance in 4 of his past 6 outings.
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UFC Fight Night 224: Della Maddalena vs. Hafez odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Della Maddalena -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Hafez +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
- Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +160 | Under -210)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +450 | No -750)
UFC Fight Night 224: Della Maddalena vs. Hafez picks and predictions
Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)
The veteran Della Maddalena (-550) will cost you 5 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s just too expensive, even as part of a multi-fighter parlay.
The Aussie has won 3 of his 4 fights via KO/TKO in the 1st round since making his UFC debut. However, taking Della Maddalena by KO/TKO or DQ (-275) is still just too steep of a price. Instead, consider DELLA MADDALENA BY KO/TKO/DQ IN ROUND 1 (-120) for a much better value.
Over/Under (O/U)
Will the fight go the distance? No (-750) will cost you 7 1/2 times your potential return, and that’s obviously too expensive too. Under 1.5 Rounds (-210) will also cost you more than 2 times your return. It’s probably best to just AVOID, and focus on the method of victory.
Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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