The No. 5 seed Iowa Hawkeyes (26-9) are heavily favored (-10.5) to beat the No. 12 seed Richmond Spiders (23-12) in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday at KeyBank Center. The contest tips off at 3:10 PM. Here are some insights into this Midwest Regional Region contest for those filling out their brackets.
Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Iowa has put together a 25-13-0 record against the spread this season, while Richmond is 16-18-1. The Hawkeyes have a 25-13-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Spiders have a record of 15-20-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams combine to score 155.5 points per game, five more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 contests, Iowa has a 9-1-0 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall. Richmond has gone 4-5-1 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 matches.
Get ready for this matchup with what you need to know about Thursday’s college basketball action.
Richmond at Iowa odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list.
- Spread: Iowa -10.5
- Total: 150.5
- Moneyline: Iowa -568, Richmond +413
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Richmond at Iowa odds, spread, & more
Prediction
Iowa 79, Richmond 69
Moneyline
- The Hawkeyes have won 82.1% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (23-5).
- Iowa has won all 13 games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -568 or shorter.
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Hawkeyes have an implied win probability of 85.0%.
- This season, the Spiders have been the underdog 10 times and won four of those games.
- Richmond has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +413.
- The implied probability of a win by the Spiders based on the moneyline is 19.5%.
Against the spread
- The Hawkeyes score 15.5 more points per game (83.8) than the Spiders give up (68.3).
- Iowa is 18-10 against the spread and 21-7 overall when scoring more than 68.3 points.
- Richmond has a 13-13-1 record against the spread and a 19-8 record overall when allowing fewer than 83.8 points.
- The Spiders’ 71.7 points per game are only 0.4 more points than the 71.3 the Hawkeyes give up.
- Richmond has put together an 8-6-1 ATS record and an 11-4 overall record in games it scores more than 71.3 points.
- Iowa has an ATS record of 11-3 and a 13-1 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 71.7 points.
- The Hawkeyes have scored a total of 437 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 12.5 per game), and the Spiders have out-scored opponents by 120 points on the season (3.4 more per game).
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Over/Under
- The Hawkeyes’ average implied point total this season is the same as their implied total for Thursday’s game (80.2 points).
- So far this season, Iowa has scored more than 81 points in a game 23 times.
- The Spiders’ implied point total in this matchup (70 points) equals the team’s season average.
- This season, Richmond has scored more than 70 points 21 times.
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