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Inter Miami (8 wins, 4 draws, 15 losses) welcomes Toronto FC (4-10-14) to DRV PNK Stadium Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (Apple TV). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Inter Miami vs. Toronto FC odds, and make our best expert MLS picks and predictions.
Inter Miami has exploded onto the scene since acquiring star F Lionel Messi. They won the Leagues Cup and are in the final of the U.S. Open Cup. Since Messi’s arrival, Inter is 3-1-1 in MLS action, but they are still far from being a playoff-caliber side given their struggles for much of the season. F Leonardo Campana has the most goals for the team in MLS action with 9, followed by Josef Martinez with 6. Miami lost 5-2 without Messi to Atlanta United Saturday.
Toronto FC’s struggle has been scoring, having tallied 24 goals in 28 matches. Its 2 leading scorers, F Deandre Kerr and F Federico Bernardeschi, have just 5 goals each. Toronto recently snapped an 8-game losing streak with a 3-1 home win over Philadelphia. However, it quickly got back to its losing ways in a 2-1 home loss to Vancouver. Toronto has yet to win on the road and is just 0-4-9 in away matches this season.
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Inter Miami vs. Toronto FC odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:33 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Inter Miami -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | Toronto FC +625 (bet $100 to win $625) | Draw +425 (bet $100 to in $425)
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +105 | U: -145)
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Inter Miami vs. Toronto FC picks and predictions
Prediction
Inter Miami 3, Toronto FC 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
Even if Messi doesn’t play, there’s no reason to think Toronto can compete with Miami. Inter added players like D Jordi Alba and M Sergio Busquets to go along with Messi, and the trio has created one of the best teams in the MLS.
Toronto has been awful on the road while Miami has looked strong with its new additions, even when Messi isn’t on the pitch, although he’s expected to play Wednesday. Miami’s new-look roster should trump Toronto with ease, but at -275, there’s no value on a moneyline bet for Miami.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 3.5 (+105).
Now, taking the Over is a bet on the home side. Miami has scored 3 or more goals in 2 of its last 3 games, and it has allowed multiple goals in 2 of those 3 as well. It has allowed 8 goals over its last 3 games. Miami’s defense has given up 1.63 goals per game, so even a weak Toronto side should have some opportunity.
Toronto has allowed 2 or more goals in 3 of its last 4 games and has allowed 3 or more goals in 4 road matches this season. Its defense may not be able to hold up against the level of attack the Messi-led side will bring. Back OVER 3.5 (+105).
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