Virginia vs. Illinois odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Virginia vs. Illinois odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No.14 Virginia Cavaliers (3-0) will take on the No. 20 Illinois Fighting Illini (4-0) in Las Vegas Sunday at 3 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Virginia vs. Illinois odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

After cancelling a game earlier in the week because of a shooting on its campus, Virginia came out Friday with an emphatic 86-79 win over 6th-ranked Baylor as a 4.5-point underdog. The victory against the Bears means a title game against Illinois in the Continental Tire Main Event tournament.

Illinois played its own superb game Friday, winning 79-70 and covering as a 3.5-point underdog against No. 7 UCLA.

In what should be another great matchup, this game is going to be lower scoring then Friday’s games. But it will still be fun as 2 of the top teams in the country face off.

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Virginia vs. Illinois odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Virginia -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Illinois -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Virginia +1.5 (-115) | Illinois -1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 132.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Virginia vs. Illinois picks and predictions

Prediction

Virginia 75, Illinois 70

Moneyline

BACK VIRGINIA (-105).

Virginia looked good in its win over Baylor, but Illinois looked good too in its win over a talented UCLA squad. The Cavaliers have shown an ability to play all types of basketball this season. Whether they want to slow down the game to a snail’s pace or speed it up a bit, the Cavaliers have been adaptable.

VIRGINIA (-105) is my FAVORITE PLAY.

Against the spread

PASS.

Unless you want the security of taking 1.5 points with Virginia, stick to the ML play above.

This should be a great game between 2 top-20 teams.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 132.5 (-115).

While Virginia can play at all speeds as needed, its preferred speed is slow which could lead to an Under in this game. But Illinois will increase the pace enough where Virginia will need to score some to win. It may not be the high-scoring affair of both teams’ 1st games in this Las Vegas 4-team tourney, but it should be high scoring enough to go over the total.

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Illinois vs. Baylor odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Baylor Bears sports betting odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Illinois Fighting Illini (3-0) play the Baylor Bears (2-0) Wednesday at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Ind., in the Jimmy V Classic. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Illinois-Baylor college basketball betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

USA TODAY Sports ranked the Bears No. 1 and the Fighting Illini No. 10 in the preseason Men’s Basketball Poll.

Illinois vs. Baylor: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Illinois +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Baylor -209 (bet $209 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Illinois +4.5 (-110) | Baylor -4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 142.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Illinois vs. Baylor: Three things to know

  1. Fourth-year head coach Brad Underwood has Illinois trending up even after its 21-10 truncated 2019-20 campaign. This is Illinois’ highest ranking since 2012-13 and this is the biggest game in the Underwood-era at Illinois. The Fighting Illini easily won and covered the spread in their first two games this season but eked past Ohio 77-75 as 15.5-point favorites.
  2. The 2020-21 season has started out business as usual in Baylor’s 18th season under coach Scott Drew. The Bears demolished and covered against their first two opponents this year. Baylor has been ranked in several seasons since Drew has taken over and the Bears have made eight NCAA tournaments (would’ve been nine last season) during his tenure.
  3. USA TODAY Sports and the Associated Press may be higher on Illinois than college hoops bettors. Advanced college basketball guru Ken Pomeroy ranks Baylor No. 2 but Illinois just No. 22 in his college basketball ratings.

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Illinois vs. Baylor: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Baylor 78, Illinois 69

Money line (ML)

One of my tenets of sports gambling (right or wrong) is that I will not lay -170 in regular-season NBA or anything college hoops. Forget about Baylor -209 and I am not crazy about money line parlays for college hoops, either.

Baylor is the right side but PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.

Against the spread (ATS)

It might be a good time to buy stock in the Illinois basketball program moving forward but not for this game. Baylor is more used to these intense games between ranked competition than the neophyte Fighting Illini.

Since Underwood took over Illinois, the Illini are 4-8 ATS in neutral-site games, 10-12 ATS vs. ranked opponents and 14-18-1 ATS in non-conference games with a plus-12.8-point average margin. Over that same time span, Baylor is 11-4 ATS in neutral-site games, 14-11-2 ATS vs. ranked opponents and 22-15 ATS in non-conference games.

The lopsided margin in Illinois’ non-conference games is due to the Fighting Illini playing weaker out of conference opponents. Look at their first three games: All home games against non-Power 5 opponents, two of which were double-digit blowout wins.

GIMME BAYLOR -4.5 (-110) for 2 units.

Over/Under (O/U)

Unofficially, I lean Over 142.5 (-110) because Baylor’s offense has been balling this season and we have a pretty low total; however, I am not as dialed into totals as sides, so officially I PASS ON THE TOTAL.

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