Charlotte Hornets at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Charlotte Hornets at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Charlotte Hornets (23-50) take on the New Orleans Pelicans (35-37) Thursday. Tip from Smoothie King Center is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Hornets vs. Pelicans odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Charlotte took down the Indiana Pacers 115-109 Monday as a 2-point underdog. The victory snapped a 4-game losing skid. The Hornets are 3-7 straight up (SU) and 4-6 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games, slipping to 32-38-3 ATS on the season.

New Orleans trampled the San Antonio Spurs 119-84 Tuesday as a 13.5-point home favorite. It has now won back-to-back games and is 5-5 SU/ATS in its last 10 outings. The Pelicans are 33-39 ATS this season.

The Pelicans beat the Hornets 124-112 to cover as 7-point road underdogs on Oct. 21 as the Over (226.5) cashed in their only other meeting this season.

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Hornets at Pelicans odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Hornets +270 (bet $100 to win $270) | Pelicans -330 (3bet $330 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Hornets +8.5 (-115) | Pelicans -8.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Hornets at Pelicans key injuries

Hornets

  • F Cody Martin (knee) out
  • C Mark Williams (thumb) out

Pelicans

  • G Jose Alvarado (leg) out
  • F Zion Williamson (hamstring) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Hornets at Pelicans picks and predictions

Prediction

Pelicans 111, Hornets 106

Moneyline

PASS.

The Pelicans (-330) are justifiably heavy favorites facing a Hornets team that is 23-50 overall and 11-26 on the road this season. With that said, there is no reason to risk more than 3 times your potential return with New Orleans on the moneyline.

Against the spread

LEAN HORNETS +8.5 (-110).

While they have struggled against the spread at home this season, the Hornets are 18-17-2 ATS on the road including a 3-1 ATS record in their last 4 road games. The Hornets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New Orleans.

New Orleans is just 3-4 ATS in its last 7 home games, 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games following an outright victory of 10 or more points and 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following an ATS victory.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 225.5 (-110).

The Under is 4-0 in the Hornets’ last 4 road games, 7-1 in their last 8 games following an outright win, 5-1 in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning outright record and 13-3 in their last 16 Thursday games.

The Under is 6-1 in the Pelicans’ last 7 games playing on 1 day of rest, 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 100 or more points in their previous game and 5-0 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400.

As it stands, this would be the second-lowest closing line in New Orleans’ last 10 games, a stretch in which the Under is 8-2.

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Charlotte Hornets at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Charlotte Hornets at New Orleans Pelicans odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The New Orleans Pelicans (27-39) host the Charlotte Hornets (32-25) Friday at the Smoothie King Center for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Hornets vs. Pelicans odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Charlotte is 3-4 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) post-All-Star break. The Hornets have lost back-to-back games to the Brooklyn Nets Tuesday (132-121) and the Boston Celtics Wednesday (115-101).

NOLA enters on a 3-game losing skid following a 4-game winning streak to start its final stretch. The Pelicans are 4-3 SU and ATS since the All-Star game after Wednesday’s 108-102 loss to the Orlando Magic at home as 8.5-point favorites.

Hornets at Pelicans odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Hornets -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Pelicans +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Against the spread: Hornets -2.5 (-112) | Pelicans +2.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Hornets at Pelicans key injuries

Hornets

  • SF Gordon Hayward (ankle) out
  • SF Jalen McDaniels (ankle) probable

Pelicans

  • SF Brandon Ingram (hamstring) out
  • SG C.J. McCollum (health and safety protocols) out

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Hornets at Pelicans odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hornets 118, Pelicans 109

Money line

BET the HORNETS (-145) for 1.25 units mostly due to the major absences for the Pelicans (+120).

NOLA wing Brandon Ingram was ballin’ before he got sidelined with a hamstring injury, averaging 29.4 points per game (PPG) on 58.5% shooting with a plus-21 net rating post-All-Star break.

Ingram’s recent dominance is a big reason the Pelicans took control of the 10-seed in the West. Also, the Pelicans are scoring 12.7 fewer points per 100 possessions when Ingram is off the floor, which grades in the 96th percentile for wings, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Another major contributor to NOLA’s recent success has been trade deadline acquisition McCollum, who’s averaging 27.1 PPG on 52.7% shooting since joining the Pelicans Feb. 10.

There’s some value on the Hornets here since they’ve lost seven of their previous 10 games. But those losses came against quality competition including the Nets, Celtics, Milwaukee Bucks, Miami Heat and Memphis Grizzlies.

Furthermore, Charlotte is ninth in the East but only 1.5 games ahead of the 11th-place Washington Wizards and need this game for the playoff race. Also, the Hornets are 5-2 SU as road favorites with a plus-9.4 margin of victory and the Pelicans are 8-15 SU as home underdogs.

For the record, I’d play the HORNETS (-145) up to -160 before just laying the points with Charlotte.

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Against the spread

PASS unless Charlotte’s ML goes north of -160 at which point I’d bet the Hornets up to -5 in this spot.

Charlotte is profitable as a road favorite (4-3 ATS) while NOLA is not profitable as a home underdog (11-12 ATS).

Also, the Hornets are 5-2 ATS when laying 1-2.5 points and the Pelicans are 2-4 ATS when being spotted that many points.

Over/Under

PASS because there’s not a big enough margin between my prediction and the projected total. There’s no value for me in this number and the situational trends are pointing in both directions.

Charlotte is 32-34-1 O/U and NOLA is 25-39-2 O/U.

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Charlotte Hornets at New Orleans Pelicans odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Charlotte Hornets at New Orleans Pelicans NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Charlotte Hornets (3-5) wrap up a four-game road trip with a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off against the New Orleans Pelicans (4-4) at the Smoothie King Center. Below, we analyze the Hornets-Pelicans NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Charlotte snapped a three-game losing streak by beating the Atlanta Hawks 102-94 as 6-point road underdogs Wednesday. Hornets newly acquired SF Gordon Hayward had his best game in his early Charlotte tenure, scoring 44 points 15-for-25 shooting with 7 assists.

The Pelicans have lost back-to-back games entering Friday’s contest, both by a single bucket, including a 111-110 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder Jan. 6. New Orleans was a little lazy, getting outscored 27-8 in fast-break points and were terrible from deep, making 4 of 22 threes.

These teams only met once last year—a 115-110 New Orleans victory—and it was way back on Nov. 9, 2019. It’s hard to put any stock into prior head-to-head meetings as both have had a lot of roster turnover.

Hornets at Pelicans: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Hornets +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Pelicans -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Hornets +6.5 (-120) | Pelicans -6.5 (-100)
  • Over/Under: 217.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Hornets at Pelicans: Key Injuries

Hornets

  • C Cody Zeller (hand) out

Pelicans

  • SG J.J. Redick (knee) questionable

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Hornets at Pelicans: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Hornets 108, Pelicans 104

Money line (ML)

Since I like Charlotte plus the points, I lean HORNETS (+190) for a quarter-unit even though they could be a little tired from four straight games on the road. If it’s one or the other, I’d definitely say take the points with Charlotte.

Against the spread (ATS)

This is as much a bet against the Pelicans as it is a bet on the Hornets, but New Orleans is just laying too many points here. Charlotte has played tougher competition to start the season: The Hornets have played the fourth-toughest schedule and the Pelicans the 16th-toughest (according to Basketball-Reference.com).

Also, Pelicans SG J.J. Redick only played eight minutes against the Thunder after exiting with a bruised knee, and his pending Friday status is important for New Orleans. Outside of Brandon Ingram, no one on the Pelicans is a good shooter, and even Redick is just 24.3% from deep this season. Charlotte has the 13th-best defensive rating in NBA and is fifth in opponent’s 3-point percentage.

These lineups match up very well against one another, and most NBA junkies think Hayward vs. Ingram is a near draw. Plus the Hornets have more depth, especially if Redick is out, and Charlotte’s bench is outscoring New Orleans’ 35.0-24.9 in points per game. In fact, the Pelicans have the lowest-scoring bench in the NBA.

GIMME HORNETS +6.5 (-120) for 1.75 units.

Over/Under (O/U)

Hornets-Pelicans have a combined 5-11 O/U record to start the year, and I think there’s value in fading this New Orleans offense occupied with intriguing talent but only has the 22nd-highest offensive rating. I lean UNDER 217.5 (-105) for a half-unit.

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