The San Antonio Spurs (17-21) visit the Miami Heat (27-12) Wednesday at AmericanAirlines Arena for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the Spurs-Heat odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup. This is their first meeting of the season – they’ll face off again in San Antonio Sunday afternoon.
The Spurs rallied from an 18-point deficit to beat the Toronto Raptors 105-104 Sunday, to improve to 2-1 on a current four-game road trip.
The Heat enter on a two-game skid, falling at the New York Knicks 124-121 Sunday and the Brooklyn Nets 117-113 Friday.
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Spurs at Heat: Key injuries
Heat
- SF Justice Winslow (back) out
Spurs at Heat: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Wednesday at 1:25 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Heat 122, Spurs 114
Moneyline (ML)
AVOID. Miami (-223) is 17-1 at home, running off six in a row since a mid-December loss to the Los Angeles Lakers. Meanwhile, San Antonio (+180) is 6-12 on the road. I’m going to PASS and focus on the spread.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
The HEAT (-5.5, -106) are worth a small play. I usually would back the Spurs (+5.5, -115) in such a situation, but I’m counting on:
- Miami being zoned in and focused following the back-to-back road losses at the Nets and Knicks.
- San Antonio running out of gas down the stretch as this is the final game of its four-game trip. Plus, I’d guess the Spurs have been a little distracted, enjoying South Florida after playing in Toronto Sunday.
New to sports betting? Every $1.06 wagered on the Heat spread will profit $1 if they win by 6 points or more.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 221.5 (-106) is the STRONGEST PLAY. The Spurs average 113.9 points a game, ranking sixth in the league, while the Heat are 11th at 111.7 PPG. Plus, the Spurs rank fifth from the bottom in average points allowed at 115.0. Throw in that these are the top two NBA teams in Overs this season – San Antonio is 21-14, while Miami is 21-14-1 – and I like my chances to cash an Over ticket at the window.
Want some action on this game? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting tips and advice, visit SportsbookWire.com.
Johnny’s January record: 10-5-1. Strongest plays: 7-1.
Record since Dec. 1: 32-15-2. Strongest plays: 18-4.
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