The Atlanta Hawks (6-17) visit the Miami Heat (17-6) Tuesday at 8 p.m. ET at AmericanAirlines Arena. We analyze the Hawks-Heat odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
Both teams are coming off Sunday wins. The Hawks won at the Charlotte Hornets 122-107 with PG Trae Young leading the charge with 30 points and nine assists. They won two of three last week after enduring a 10-game losing streak.
The Heat, behind SG Tyler Herro’s 27 points and last-minute, go-ahead 3-pointer, beat the visiting Chicago Bulls 110-105 in overtime for a second consecutive win. Miami has won five of six, and 11 of 14.
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Hawks at Heat: Key injuries
Hawks
- C Alex Len (flu) probable
- PF John Collins suspension (eligible Dec. 23)
Heat
- C Bam Adebayo (groin) questionable
- PG Goran Dragic (groin) out
- SF KZ Okpala (Achilles) questionable
- SG Dion Waiters (illness) questionable
- SF Justice Winslow (back) out
Hawks at Heat: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Heat 119, Hawks 106
Moneyline (ML)
The Heat (-385) are 10-0 at home this season, explaining why they’re such a big ML favorite. Every $3.85 wagered profits only $1 on an outright win for Miami. One could bet $384.62 to win $100, but that’s just not “smart betting” – an NBA team is always one injury away from losing its advantage.
The Hawks (+290) offer nearly a 3-to-1 payoff where every $1 wagered would profit $2.90 (or $100 bet profits $290) if they win, but that’s not happening. Atlanta is 3-9 on the road. AVOID.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
The HEAT (-9.5, +105) are the STRONGEST PLAY. Miami swept Atlanta in back-to-back games in late October by a combined 24 points (112-97 and 106-97), but the Hawks’ Young was injured in the second quarter of the first game and didn’t play the second game. The young point guard’s presence won’t make a difference here. Miami is the best home team against the spread at 8-2.
Over/Under (O/U)
A slight lean to the OVER 218.5 (-105). Miami averages 111.0 points per game, while Atlanta averages 108.7 PPG. On the defensive end, Miami allows 105.5 PPG, while Atlanta allows 117.3 PPG.
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Johnny’s NBA record: 8-5. Strongest NBA plays: 4-2.
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