The Miami Heat (26-10) visit the Indiana Pacers (23-14) Wednesday at Bankers Life Fieldhouse for 7 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the Heat-Pacers odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Heat at Pacers: Key Injuries
Heat
- SF Jimmy Butler (back) probable
- PG Justise Winslow (back) questionable
Pacers
- SG Malcolm Brogdon (back) questionable
- SG Victor Oladipo (knee) out
- PF Domantas Sabonis (knee) questionable
- SG Naz Mitrou-Long (ankle) out
Heat at Pacers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 8 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Heats 99, Pacers 92
Moneyline (ML)
Both teams enter off of wins with the Heat (-106) beating the Portland Trail Blazers 122-111 at home Sunday and the Pacers (-115) taking down the Charlotte Hornets 115-104 on the road Monday. Indiana is 5-5 across its last 10 games overall and 15-4 at home for the season. Miami is 7-3 across its last 10 games but just 9-9 on the road.
Back the HEAT (-106) as a slight road dog. While the injury to Butler looms large in this one, he’s closer to full health than both Sabonis and Brogdon, who rank second and third, respectively, on the Pacers in points per game. Sabonis also leads the team in rebounding, while Brogdon leads in assists. The Heat’s extra day of rest also factors in. They’re 8-1 straight up with a rest advantage this season. Miami claimed a 113-112 home win Dec. 27 in the season’s first meeting between the two.
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Heat to win returns a profit of $9.43.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
With the Heat (+1.5, -115) getting lower odds on the spread with just a single point of insurance in the event of a loss, we’ll turn to the alternate line of HEAT (-2.5, +120) where they’ll need to win by at least 3 points. Miami is 21-13 against the spread overall but just 8-9 on the road. Indiana is 20-16 ATS overall and 11-7 at home. The Pacers have dropped four of their last six games for their worst stretch of the season since opening with three straight losses.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take the UNDER 207.5 (+105) at plus-money amid the injury concerns, particularly for the Pacers. Miami is 21-14-1 against the O/U for the season while Indiana is 18-18-1. The Heat were held below 90 points in two of their last three games
Esten’s NBA betting record: 126-97
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