The Atlanta Hawks (36-36) head to the Motor City Wednesday to play the Detroit Pistons (19-53) at Little Caesars Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Pistons odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Atlanta has alternated between winning and losing the last five games — 3-2 straight up (SU) and 2-3 against the spread (ATS) — with the most recent being a 117-111 road victory at the New York Knicks Tuesday.
Detroit has lost 6 of its last 7 games (5-2 ATS) including two straight at the Cleveland Cavaliers Saturday (113-109) and the tanking Portland Trail Blazers Monday (119-115).
These teams are tied 1-1 SU and ATS in their head-to-head series this season and the total is 1-1 Over/Under as well.
Hawks at Pistons odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:42 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Hawks -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Pistons +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
- Against the spread: Hawks -5.5 (-107) | Pistons +5.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
Hawks at Pistons key injuries
Hawks (not yet submitted)
- PF John Collins (foot) out
Pistons
- PG Hamidou Diallo (sprain) out
[tipico]
Hawks at Pistons odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Pistons 117, Hawks 113
Money line
SPRINKLE on the PISTONS (+175) with the plan of hitting their spread harder because Detroit’s victory over the Hawks (-220) March 7 wasn’t a fluke. In fact, the Pistons outperformed the Hawks in three of the “four factors” and they tied in the fourth.
Furthermore, Atlanta should be a bigger favorite considering Hawks PG All-Star Trae Young put on a virtuoso performance at Madison Square Garden Tuesday and the Pistons lost to a terrible Trail Blazers squad.
Also, Young has struggled in his four visits to Detroit, averaging just 18.3 points on 32.8% field goal shooting (25.7% from behind the arc) with 8.8 assists to 5.5 turnovers in those four games.
Again, the sharper wager is Detroit’s spread but I’ll SPRINKLE on the PISTONS (+175).
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Against the spread
Definitely BET the PISTONS +5.5 (-115) heavier than or instead of their ML since this is an awful spot for the Hawks -5.5 (-107) and the presumed sharp side of the market is backing Detroit.
For instance, the Hawks are 4-9 ATS in the second of a back-to-back with a minus-2.6 ATS margin, 5-8 ATS as road favorites and 0-6 ATS in their last six games versus teams with a losing record. Also, the Pistons are 17-12-1 ATS as home underdogs and 9-5 ATS as 5-to-7-point underdogs.
On top of that, this is a Pros versus Joe’s scenario in the betting market. Nearly 60% of the cash is on the Pistons but more than 85% of the bets placed are on the Hawks, according to Pregame.com.
Since sharps wager more money than the public, the cash column is seen as the sharp side of the betting market.
The PISTONS PLUS THE POINTS is my favorite wager in this game.
Over/Under
LEAN to the OVER 227.5 (-112) but we’d be getting the worst of the number since the Hawks-Pistons game opened with a 224.5-point total (per Pregame.com).
Atlanta is 8-5 O/U in the second of a back-to-back, Detroit is 10-6 O/U when playing with a rest advantage and these teams have a combined 37-22 O/U versus teams with a losing record.
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