Grizzlies Thunder odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Memphis Grizzlies (22-42) and Oklahoma City Thunder (44-19) meet Sunday. Tip-off from Paycom Center is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Thunder lead 1-0

The Grizzlies, who were 3.5-point underdogs, snapped a 2-game winning streak with a 99-92 loss vs. the Atlanta Hawks Friday as the Under (215) hit. F Jaren Jackson Jr. scored a team-high 21 points, and F Jake LaRavia and F Vince Williams Jr. added 14 each.

The Thunder have failed to cover in 3 straight games after winning 107-100 vs. the Miami Heat Friday with the Under (226.5) cashing in Oklahoma City. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 23 second-half points — he had 37 on the night — but it wasn’t enough for his side to cover as an 8.5-point favorite.

In a Dec. 18 meeting, the Thunder covered as 10.5-point home favorites with a 116-97 victory over the Grizzlies as the Under (228.5) hit. Gilgeous-Alexander led Oklahoma City with 30 points in 3 quarters.

Grizzlies at Thunder odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +725 (bet $100 to win $725) | Thunder -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +14.5 (-105) | Thunder -14.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Grizzlies at Thunder key injuries

Grizzlies

G Desmond Bane (ankle) out
G Jordan Goodwin (Achilles) doubtful
F GG Jackson (knee) questionable
G Luke Kennard (knee) questionable
G John Konchar (ankle) doubtful
G Ja Morant (shoulder) out
G Marcus Smart (finger) out

Thunder

None

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Grizzlies at Thunder picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 120, Grizzlies 110

Moneyline

The Thunder (-1200) will likely win, but it’s easier to beat markets that are -110 on both sides.

PASS. Look to the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

The Thunder were covering machines from Feb. 11-25, reeling off 6 straight ATS wins. However, it seems the market has finally caught up to Oklahoma City and is possibly overvaluing it.

The Grizzlies are bad, but Oklahoma City is in no shape to be laying 14.5 points at home.

BET GRIZZLIES +14.5 (-105).

Over/Under

Overs aren’t hitting at the same rate in Oklahoma City games as they were before — 8-0 from Feb. 2-23 — but they’re still 3-1 in the Thunder’s last 4 after the Under cashes in their previous outing. I’m not off of the Thunder-Over train, and this total is low enough that I’m willing to play it Sunday.

BET OVER 219.5 (-110).

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Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (51-30) close out the regular season on the road to face the Oklahoma City Thunder (39-42) Sunday. Tip from Paycom Center is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Thunder odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Grizzlies are streaking to end the regular slate with a 7-3 mark in the last 10. They will wait for the winner between the Los Angeles Lakers and New Orleans Pelicans as the 2-seed in the West. For this game, they’ll be resting 5 of their top 6 guys.

OKC snuck into the play-in tournament as the 10-seed and will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves next week. They have slumped down the stretch, going just 4-6 over the last 10. They’re resting their starters as well.

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Grizzlies at Thunder odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:28 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Thunder -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +1.5 (-110) | Thunder -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Grizzlies at Thunder key injuries

Grizzlies

G Desmond Bane (knee) doubtful
G Dillon Brooks (groin) doubtful
F Jaren Jackson Jr. (elbow) doubtful
G Tyus Jones (foot) doubtful
G Ja Morant (hand) doubtful

Thunder

F Luguentz Dort (rest) out
G Josh Giddey (rest) out
G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (rest) out
F Jalen Williams (rest) out
F Jaylin Williams (rest) out
G Kenrich Williams (wrist) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Grizzlies at Thunder picks and predictions

Prediction

Thunder 110, Grizzlies 101

Moneyline

OKC will be led by 23-year-old G Isaiah Joe, who scored in double figures in 5 of the last 7 games. That includes a 2-game stretch where he dropped 33 and 20 in late March as he went 11-for-21 (52.4%) from the 3-point line. He’ll energize a young squad to close out their season at home with a win. The spread is miniscule and cheaper, though.

PASS.

Against the spread

The Thunder are 23-17 at home in what has been one of their best seasons in 4 years. OKC isn’t as deep as Memphis, but their depth contains more firepower than Memphis’ supporting cast. Memphis is also 16-24 on the road.

Take the THUNDER -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

This is a really high total, and it figures to drop a few points once Memphis’ starters are fully ruled out. The O/U is under .500 for all 3 referees in this game, and with the skeleton squads on the court, we’ll LEAN UNDER 229.5 (-110).

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Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (46-22) open a four-game road trip Sunday against the Oklahoma City Thunder (20-46). Tip-off is 7 p.m. ET at Paycom Center. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Thunder odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Grizzlies have won their last two games, most recently a 118-114 home victory over the New York Knicks Friday. They are tied with the Golden State Warriors for second in the Western Conference and trail the Phoenix Suns by 7.5 games.

The Thunder are riding a four-game losing skid and have been losing badly. The smallest margin of defeat along that span is 13 points while the largest is 37 points. They have the second-worst record in the Western Conference.

Grizzlies at Thunder odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:34 a.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100) | Thunder +650 (bet $100 to win $650)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -13.5 (-107) | Thunder +13.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Grizzlies at Thunder key injuries

Grizzlies

F Dillon Brooks (ankle) questionable

Thunder

G Lu Dort (shoulder) out
C Derrick Favors (back) out
G Josh Giddey (hip) out
G Ty Jerome (sports hernia) out
G Tre Mann (ankle) questionable
C Mike Muscala (ankle) out
C Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (foot) out
F Kenrich Williams (knee) out

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Grizzlies at Thunder odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 124, Thunder 109

Money line

PASS on the money line.

You just can’t place a single bet and wager 11 times what you can win to bet on the Grizzlies and you shouldn’t bet the Thunder when they only have nine home wins all season and have been getting blown out in every game over the last four games.

You could use the Grizzlies on the money line in a parlay bet, but that is all that is worth it. The Thunder have the second-fewest home wins in the league. The Grizzlies, at 22-12 on the road, have the second-most road victories.

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Against the spread

The Thunder have lost their last four games by an average of 26.8 points per game. The smallest margin of defeat in their six losses since the All-Star break was 13 points. They are 16-13-4 ATS at home this season.

The Grizzlies are 23-11 ATS on the road. They beat the Thunder 152-79 in their first meeting and lost 102-99 in the second.

Take the GRIZZLIES -13.5 (-107).

Over/Under

The Grizzlies have scored no fewer than 116 points and have averaged 125.1 points per game across their last 11 wins.

In the two games between the teams this season, the totals have been 231 and 201 points.

The Thunder have averaged 110.6 points in their last 11 games overall.

Take OVER 229.5 (-115).

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Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Memphis Grizzlies (17-17) travel to meet the Oklahoma City Thunder (16-22) at Chesapeake Energy Arena on Sunday for a 2 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Grizzlies-Thunder odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Grizzlies at Thunder: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:20 a.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Thunder +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
Against the spread/ATS: Grizzlies -5.5 (-110) | Thunder +5.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 220.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Grizzlies at Thunder: Key injuries

Grizzlies

PF Jaren Jackson, Jr. (knee) out

Thunder

SF Darius Bazley (shoulder) out
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (quadriceps) out
SF Trevor Ariza (personal) out
PG George Hill (thumb) out

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Grizzlies at Thunder: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Grizzlies 116, Thunder 100

Money line (ML)

The Grizzlies (-225) are looking to make it a terrible weekend homestand for the Thunder (+190). OKC was roughed up 119-97 as short ‘dogs on their home floor against the Knicks in Saturday’s matinee action, and now they have to contend with the red-hot Grizz.

However, you can’t risk two and a half times your potential return, as that’s not a good long-term wagering strategy.

AVOID, and look to the spread.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The GRIZZLIES -5.5 (-110) are coming off a 103-102 loss at home against the Denver Nuggets on Friday, but they have won three of the past five while covering in all five of the outings.

They also topped OKC by a 122-113 score on Feb. 17 on the banks of the Mississippi River, covering a 7-point number as the Over (227) connected. Look for another MEMPHIS WIN and COVER on OKC’s home hardwood.

Over/Under (O/U)

UNDER 220.5 (-105) is the lean here, as OKC has really had difficulty scoring the basketball of late. They have posted 107 or fewer points in four of the past five, and they have 97 or fewer points in three of those outings.

While the Over hit in the first meeting with Memphis, that’s a rarity for the Grizzlies. Memphis has hit the Under in seven of its past eight overall.

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Also see:

5 takeaways: Thunder fall to Knicks as Lu Dort takes ball handling duties (Thunder Wire)
Hoops Hype rumors: Grizzlies | Thunder

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