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The Memphis Grizzlies (22-42) and Oklahoma City Thunder (44-19) meet Sunday. Tip-off from Paycom Center is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Thunder lead 1-0
The Grizzlies, who were 3.5-point underdogs, snapped a 2-game winning streak with a 99-92 loss vs. the Atlanta Hawks Friday as the Under (215) hit. F Jaren Jackson Jr. scored a team-high 21 points, and F Jake LaRavia and F Vince Williams Jr. added 14 each.
The Thunder have failed to cover in 3 straight games after winning 107-100 vs. the Miami Heat Friday with the Under (226.5) cashing in Oklahoma City. G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 23 second-half points — he had 37 on the night — but it wasn’t enough for his side to cover as an 8.5-point favorite.
In a Dec. 18 meeting, the Thunder covered as 10.5-point home favorites with a 116-97 victory over the Grizzlies as the Under (228.5) hit. Gilgeous-Alexander led Oklahoma City with 30 points in 3 quarters.
Grizzlies at Thunder odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:06 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +725 (bet $100 to win $725) | Thunder -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +14.5 (-105) | Thunder -14.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Grizzlies at Thunder key injuries
Grizzlies
- G Desmond Bane (ankle) out
- G Jordan Goodwin (Achilles) doubtful
- F GG Jackson (knee) questionable
- G Luke Kennard (knee) questionable
- G John Konchar (ankle) doubtful
- G Ja Morant (shoulder) out
- G Marcus Smart (finger) out
Thunder
- None
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Grizzlies at Thunder picks and predictions
Prediction
Thunder 120, Grizzlies 110
Moneyline
The Thunder (-1200) will likely win, but it’s easier to beat markets that are -110 on both sides.
PASS. Look to the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
The Thunder were covering machines from Feb. 11-25, reeling off 6 straight ATS wins. However, it seems the market has finally caught up to Oklahoma City and is possibly overvaluing it.
The Grizzlies are bad, but Oklahoma City is in no shape to be laying 14.5 points at home.
BET GRIZZLIES +14.5 (-105).
Over/Under
Overs aren’t hitting at the same rate in Oklahoma City games as they were before — 8-0 from Feb. 2-23 — but they’re still 3-1 in the Thunder’s last 4 after the Under cashes in their previous outing. I’m not off of the Thunder-Over train, and this total is low enough that I’m willing to play it Sunday.
BET OVER 219.5 (-110).
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